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Standard Normal Probabilities I Let \(z\) be a standard normal random variable with mean \(\mu=0\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=1 .\) Use Table 3 in Appendix \(I\) to find the probabilities. $$ P(z>1.96) $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Solution: The probability that a standard normal random variable \(z\) is greater than 1.96 is approximately 0.0250.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the standard normal distribution table

To find the probability, we will use the standard normal distribution table (also known as the z-table). This table shows the probabilities for a standard normal distribution, which is a normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. The left column of the table represents the value of the random variable \(z\), and the top row represents the second decimal place of the \(z\) value. The intersection of the rows and columns give the probability \(P(z \leq x)\).
02

Locate the row and column for the z-value

Our goal is to find the probability \(P(z > 1.96)\). First, we need to find \(P(z \leq 1.96)\) using the z-table. Look for the row corresponding to \(z = 1.9\) (the first decimal place) and then locate the column corresponding to \(z = 0.06\) (which represents the second decimal place).
03

Find the probability in the table

The intersection of the row for \(z = 1.9\) and the column for \(z = 0.06\) gives us the value 0.9750. This means that the probability of a standard normal random variable being less than or equal to 1.96 is \(P(z \leq 1.96) = 0.9750\).
04

Calculate the desired probability

We now have the probability \(P(z \leq 1.96) = 0.9750\). However, we are asked for the probability of \(z\) being greater than 1.96, which is \(P(z > 1.96)\). Since the total probability under the standard normal curve is equal to 1, we can find the desired probability by subtracting the probability we found in the previous step from 1: $$ P(z > 1.96) = 1 - P(z \leq 1.96) = 1 - 0.9750 = 0.0250 $$ So, the probability \(P(z > 1.96) \approx 0.0250\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a crucial concept in statistics, characterized by a symmetric, bell-shaped curve known as the Gaussian curve. This distribution is standardized in such a way that its mean (average) value is zero \( \mu = 0 \) and its standard deviation (a measure of spread) is one \( \sigma = 1 \). Every normal distribution can be transformed into the standard normal distribution through a process called standardization, which involves subtracting the mean and dividing by the standard deviation.

Understanding the properties of the standard normal distribution is essential because it allows for the calculation of probabilities for a wide array of phenomena assuming that the data is normally distributed. It is the foundational block for many statistical methods, including hypothesis testing and confidence intervals.
Z-Table
The z-table, also known as the standard normal probability table, is a reference chart that provides the probability of a standard normal variable \(z\) being less than or equal to a specific value. The table is organized such that the \(z\)-scores are listed down the rows, and the corresponding probabilities are in the columns.

The leftmost column of the z-table lists the \(z\)-score up to the first decimal place. The top row then adds the second decimal place, allowing for a more precise lookup. To use the table, locate the intersection that corresponds to the full \(z\)-score, which will give you \(P(z \leq x)\), the probability that the variable is less than or equal to that \(z\)-score.
As an example, if the \(z\)-score is 1.96, find the row corresponding to 1.9 and match it with the column of 0.06 to find the cumulative probability up to that point in the distribution.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation in the context of the standard normal distribution often involves finding the likelihood that a standard normal variable falls within a certain range. This process usually uses the z-table to identify the cumulative probability for a given \(z\)-score and then applying basic probability rules.

For instance, to find \(P(z > 1.96)\), one would first look up \(P(z \leq 1.96)\) in the z-table. With cumulative probabilities, the table provides the probability from the far left of the distribution up to the \(z\)-score of interest. To find the probability of \(z\) being above a certain point (a right-tail probability), subtract the cumulative probability from one. In various statistical analyses, this is an important step for determining p-values and thus critical for decision-making in hypothesis testing.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion or spread of a set of data points in relation to its mean. It is denoted by the Greek letter sigma \(\sigma\) and is calculated as the square root of the variance. In a normal distribution, approximately 68% of values lie within one standard deviation from the mean, 95% within two standard deviations, and 99.7% within three.

For the standard normal distribution, the standard deviation is set to 1. This makes computations easier and allows for direct comparisons across different data sets by converting them into a common scale through the process of standardization. Understanding standard deviation is important for interpreting variability in data—smaller standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be close to the mean, while a larger standard deviation indicates they are spread out over a wider range of values.

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