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Hamburger Meat Exercise 8.35 involved packages of ground beef in a small tray, intended to hold 1 pound of meat. A random sample of 35 packages in the small tray produced weight measurements with an average of 1.01 pounds and a standard deviation of .18 pound. a. If you were the quality control manager and wanted to make sure that the average amount of ground beef was indeed 1 pound, what hypotheses would you test? b. Find the \(p\) -value for the test and use it to perform the test in part a. c. How would you, as the quality control manager, report the results of your study to a consumer interest group?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: There is not enough evidence to conclude that the average weight of the packages is different from 1 pound.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Null and Alternative Hypotheses

Let \(\mu\) be the true average weight of the ground beef in the packages. Then the null and alternative hypotheses for this test are: - Null Hypothesis \((H_0)\): \(\mu = 1\) - Alternative Hypothesis \((H_a)\): \(\mu \neq 1\) For part b: Perform the hypothesis test and find the p-value.
02

Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic we will use for this hypothesis test is the \(t\) -statistic since we have a small sample size (35) and the population standard deviation is unknown. The formula for calculating the \(t\) -statistic is: $$ t = \frac{\overline{x}-\mu_0}{(s/\sqrt{n})} $$ where \(\overline{x}\) is the sample mean, \(\mu_0\) is the hypothesized mean, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. In this case, \(\overline{x} = 1.01\), \(\mu_0 = 1\), \(s = 0.18\), and \(n = 35\). Plugging these values into the formula, we get $$ t = \frac{1.01 - 1}{(0.18/\sqrt{35})} $$ Calculating the t-statistic: $$ t \approx 0.38 $$
03

Find the p-value

Since the alternative hypothesis \((H_a)\) is a two-tailed test (\(\mu \neq 1\)), we need to find the probability of getting a \(t\) -statistic as extreme as the one calculated in the previous step. We use a two-tailed test, so the p-value is simply the sum of the two-tailed probabilities. Using a t-distribution table or software, we can find the p-value associated with the calculated t-statistic (\(0.38\)) and degrees of freedom \((n-1) = 34\). The p-value is approximately 0.71. For part c: As the quality control manager, explain the results of this hypothesis test to a consumer interest group.
04

Interpret the Results of the Hypothesis Test

We conducted a hypothesis test to check if the average amount of ground beef in the packages is indeed 1 pound. Our null hypothesis was that the average weight is equal to 1 pound, and our alternative hypothesis was that the average weight is not equal to 1 pound. The p-value we obtained from the hypothesis test is approximately 0.71. In order to make a decision about the null hypothesis (whether to reject it or fail to reject it), we need to compare the p-value to a predetermined significance level (usually denoted as \(\alpha\), with a common value of \(0.05\)). Since the p-value (\(0.71\)) is greater than the significance level (\(0.05\)), we fail to reject the null hypothesis. This means that there is not enough evidence to conclude that the average amount of ground beef in the packages is different from 1 pound. In other words, we cannot say with enough confidence that the average weight of the packages is not 1 pound. To report this result to a consumer interest group, you could say: "Based on our sample of 35 packages of ground beef and a thorough hypothesis test, there is not enough evidence to suggest that the average weight of the packages is different from 1 pound. We will continue to monitor the weight of our packages to ensure quality and consistency."

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
When conducting a hypothesis test with a small sample size, like the 35 packages of ground beef, and when the population standard deviation is unknown, it's important to use the t-distribution. This distribution is similar to the normal distribution but has thicker tails. It accounts for the extra variability we might encounter when estimating the population standard deviation from the sample.
  • The t-distribution is more spread out than the normal distribution, which helps compensate for smaller sample sizes.
  • As the sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution.
  • In this exercise, utilize the t-distribution because the sample size is 35 and the true population standard deviation is unknown.
The t-distribution is used to calculate the t-statistic in our test. For the exercise, the calculated t-statistic helps us to determine if there is a significant difference between the observed average weight and the hypothesized weight of 1 pound.
null hypothesis
A hypothesis test begins with a null hypothesis. It is a statement that there is no effect or no difference, and in this context, it proposes that the average weight of ground beef packages is 1 pound.
The goal is to test this hypothesis against a sample of data to confirm or reject it.
  • The null hypothesis is denoted as \(H_0\).
  • If the null hypothesis is accepted, it suggests no significant evidence against what is considered to be the standard condition or status quo.
  • In this exercise, \(H_0 : \mu = 1\), meaning the population mean weight is hypothesized to be exactly 1 pound.
By maintaining this hypothesis, you are essentially asserting that there is no deviation from the expected single pound average weight.
p-value
In hypothesis testing, the p-value quantifies the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. It essentially tells us how probable our sample results are, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
For the ground beef packages in the exercise, we calculated a p-value to determine if there was enough statistical evidence to claim that the average weight is not 1 pound.
  • The smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis.
  • A common threshold for comparing p-values is significance level \(\alpha = 0.05\).
    • If p-value \(< \alpha\), there is strong evidence against the null hypothesis.
    • If p-value \(> \alpha\), the evidence is not strong enough, and we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
  • In this exercise, the p-value was found to be approximately 0.71, which is substantially larger than 0.05.
This suggests there is not enough evidence to indicate that the average weight of the packages deviates from 1 pound.
quality control
Quality control involves ensuring consistent performance and reliability of products. In this context, it means confirming that each package of ground beef consistently contains 1 pound as advertised.
When the hypothesis test results in a high p-value, as in this case, it implies that there's not enough significant evidence of any issues with package weights.
  • Regular testing and analysis, like the hypothesis test conducted, are critical processes in quality control.
  • Consistent results help maintain consumer trust, reinforcing that packages contain the expected amount on average.
  • The quality control manager can use these results to reassure both the company and consumers that the product meets standards.
The responsibility of quality control is not only to react to potential issues but also proactively assure that standards are continually met, as demonstrated when explaining results to concerned consumer groups.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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