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Suppose that \(P(A)=.3\) and \(P(B)=.5\). If events \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, find these probabilities: a. \(P(A \cap B)\) b. \(P(A \cup B)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The probabilities are: a. The probability of the intersection of A and B is 0 (P(A ∩ B) = 0). b. The probability of the union of A and B is 0.8 (P(A ∪ B) = 0.8).

Step by step solution

01

Recall what mutually exclusive events are

Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur at the same time, which means they have no common outcomes. In other words, the intersection of two mutually exclusive events is always an empty set, and their probability is 0. For mutually exclusive events, we have the property: \(P(A \cap B) = 0\)
02

Find the probability of the intersection of A and B

Since \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive events, their intersection is the empty set. Therefore, the probability of the intersection of \(A\) and \(B\) is 0: \(P(A \cap B) = 0\)
03

Recall the formula for the union of events

To find the probability of the union of events \(A\) and \(B\), we can use the formula: \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\)
04

Find the probability of the union of A and B

We now have all the probabilities we need to find the probability of the union of \(A\) and \(B\). We just need to substitute these values into the formula: \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\) \(P(A \cup B) = 0.3 + 0.5 - 0\) \(P(A \cup B) = 0.8\) So, the probabilities for the given exercise are: a. \(P(A \cap B) = 0\) b. \(P(A \cup B) = 0.8\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Intersection
When understanding the probability of intersection, it's essential to grasp that this concept deals with the likelihood of two events occurring simultaneously. Imagine you have two events, A and B. The intersection of events A and B, denoted as \(A \cap B\), represents all the outcomes that are common to both A and B.

In the context of mutually exclusive events—where events cannot happen at the same time—the intersection is an empty set, meaning that there are no shared outcomes. Consequently, the probability of their intersection \(P(A \cap B)\) is zero. For example, the flip of a coin resulting in both heads and tails at the same time is impossible, hence this event pair is mutually exclusive with an intersection probability of zero.
Probability of Union
The probability of union concerns itself with the chance of either one event or another occurring, or both. In probability notation, we express the union of two events A and B as \(A \cup B\).

The formula to calculate the union's probability is \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\). However, when dealing with mutually exclusive events, like in the textbook exercise, the intersection term \(P(A \cap B)\) drops out because its value is zero. So, the probability of the union simplifies to simply the sum of the probabilities of the two individual events, making it easier to calculate. Assuming event A represents drawing a red card from a deck and event B represents drawing a club, since no card is both a red card and a club, they are mutually exclusive and their union probability is the sum of each individual probability.
Empty Set in Probability
An empty set in probability, symbolized as \(\varnothing\), plays a special role, particularly within the realm of mutually exclusive events. It signifies a set with no elements and thus no possible outcomes. As a result, the probability of an empty set occurring is zero.

This concept is intuitive when you consider an event that cannot happen—such as rolling a standard six-sided die and getting a result of seven. The set of outcomes that include a seven is an empty set, reinforcing the idea that probability is a measure of the likelihood of a particular set of outcomes. In mutually exclusive scenarios, the empty set becomes significant as it defines the intersection of those events.
Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with calculating the likelihood of events. It's the bedrock that allows us to make sense of uncertainty and model real-world random processes. The foundations of probability theory involve concepts such as outcomes, events, mutually exclusive events, intersections, and unions.

Understanding probability theory enables us to determine risks, predict outcomes, and make informed decisions in everyday situations. For instance, it can predict the weather, analyze risks in insurance, or determine strategies in games. The exercise on mutually exclusive events gives a glimpse into how probability theory models situations where certain outcomes cannot occur together, which is invaluable for statistical analysis across various disciplines.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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