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Suppose the probability of remaining with a particular company 10 years or longer is \(1 / 6 .\) A man and a woman start work at the company on the same day. a. What is the probability that the man will work there less than 10 years? b. What is the probability that both the man and the woman will work there less than 10 years? (Assume they are unrelated and their lengths of service are independent of each other.) c. What is the probability that one or the other or both will work 10 years or longer?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The probability that one or the other or both will work 10 years or longer at the company is \(\frac{11}{36}\).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the given probability and its complement

We are given the probability that a person remains with the company for 10 years or longer, which is \(1/6\). We need to find the probability that the man will work there less than 10 years, which is the complement of the given probability.
02

Calculate the complementary probability

To find the probability that the man will work there less than 10 years, we just need to subtract the given probability from \(1\): \(P(\text{man works less than 10 years}) = 1 - P(\text{man works 10 years or more})\) \(P(\text{man works less than 10 years}) = 1 - \frac{1}{6}\) \(P(\text{man works less than 10 years}) = \frac{5}{6}\). b. Probability that both the man and the woman will work there less than 10 years
03

Use the independence and multiplication rule

Since the man's and woman's lengths of service are independent, we can calculate the probability that both work less than 10 years by simply multiplying their individual probabilities: \(P(\text{both work less than 10 years}) = P(\text{man works less than 10 years}) \times P(\text{woman works less than 10 years})\) \(P(\text{both work less than 10 years}) = \frac{5}{6} \times \frac{5}{6}\) \(P(\text{both work less than 10 years}) = \frac{25}{36}\). c. Probability that one or the other or both will work 10 years or longer
04

Calculate the probability of various scenarios and use the addition rule

We can break this down into three cases: (1) the man works 10 years or longer and the woman works less than 10 years, (2) the woman works 10 years or longer and the man works less than 10 years, and (3) both work 10 years or longer. We then compute the probabilities of these cases separately and sum them up: \(P(\text{one or both work 10 years or more}) = P(\text{man works 10 years or more, woman works less than 10 years})\) \(+ P(\text{woman works 10 years or more, man works less than 10 years})\) \(+ P(\text{both work 10 years or more})\) \(P(\text{one or both work 10 years or more}) = \frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{5}{6} + \frac{5}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{6}\) \(P(\text{one or both work 10 years or more}) = \frac{5}{36} + \frac{5}{36} + \frac{1}{36}\) \(P(\text{one or both work 10 years or more}) = \frac{11}{36}\).

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