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Let \(x\) and \(y\) be chosen at random from the interval \([0,1] .\) Show that the events \(x>1 / 3\) and \(y>2 / 3\) are independent events.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The events are independent because \( P(x > \frac{1}{3} \text{ and } y > \frac{2}{3}) = P(x > \frac{1}{3}) \cdot P(y > \frac{2}{3}) = \frac{2}{9}.\)

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Independence

Two events are independent if the occurrence of one does not change the probability of the occurrence of the other. Mathematically, events are independent if \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \), where \( A \) is \( x > \frac{1}{3} \) and \( B \) is \( y > \frac{2}{3} \).
02

Compute Probability of Event A

The event \( x > \frac{1}{3} \) means that \( x \) must be greater than \( \frac{1}{3} \) within the interval \([0,1]\). The probability of this event is \( P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \).
03

Compute Probability of Event B

The event \( y > \frac{2}{3} \) means that \( y \) must be greater than \( \frac{2}{3} \) within the interval \([0,1]\). The probability of this event is \( P(B) = 1 - \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{3} \).
04

Compute Joint Probability

The event \( x > \frac{1}{3} \) and \( y > \frac{2}{3} \) both occurring is the intersection \( A \cap B \). Within the square \([0,1] \times [0,1]\), this intersection corresponds to the area where both conditions hold, which is a smaller rectangle with dimensions \( \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{3} \). Thus, \[ P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{9}.\]
05

Verify Independence

Now, compare \( P(A \cap B) \) with \( P(A) \cdot P(B) \). We calculate the product: \[ P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{9}. \] Since \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \), the events \( x > \frac{1}{3} \) and \( y > \frac{2}{3} \) are independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

probability theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood of events happening. It is a foundational component in fields such as statistics, finance, science, and engineering.
When discussing probability, we often talk about events and their probabilities. An event is any outcome or set of outcomes from an experiment. The probability of an event, denoted as \( P(A) \) for event \( A \), is a number between 0 and 1 that represents the likelihood of the event occurring.
If \( P(A) = 0 \), it means the event is impossible, while \( P(A) = 1 \) indicates that the event is certain. Probability theory helps us make informed predictions and decisions based on how likely different outcomes are. It also provides us with the tools to analyze and understand random processes.
joint probability
Joint probability is concerned with the probability of two events happening at the same time. In the problem at hand, we looked at the events \( A \) and \( B \), which are defined as \( x > \frac{1}{3} \) and \( y > \frac{2}{3} \) respectively.
The joint probability, represented as \( P(A \cap B) \), refers to the probability that both events \( A \) and \( B \) occur simultaneously. In simple terms, it's like asking, "What is the probability of \( x \) being greater than \( \frac{1}{3} \) *and* \( y \) being greater than \( \frac{2}{3} \)?"
To compute this, you consider the overlap of the two events in the probability space. For instance, if each event corresponds to a condition within a geometric area (like segments of an interval or regions in a plane), their joint probability is the size of the overlap relative to the total size.
In our case, the overlap area was a smaller rectangle within a larger square, and the joint probability turned out to be \( \frac{2}{9} \). This process is crucial for understanding how multiple conditions interact.
interval probability
Interval probability is the concept of determining the probability of events within specific intervals of a continuous range. In our example, both \( x \) and \( y \) are chosen randomly from the interval \([0,1]\).
Computing probabilities within intervals involves assessing how many outcomes fit within the desired portion of the interval. For \( x > \frac{1}{3} \), the probability is calculated by determining the fraction of the interval \([0,1]\) that satisfies this condition. This is done by considering the length of the interval \([\frac{1}{3},1]\), which is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
Similarly, for \( y > \frac{2}{3} \), you look at the interval \([\frac{2}{3},1]\), which has a probability of \( \frac{1}{3} \) because it occupies that fraction of the total interval.
Understanding interval probability helps in quantifying the likelihood of an outcome that falls within certain boundaries of a continuous random variable. This approach is especially vital in real-life applications, where outcomes often aren't simple, distinct events but rather exist along a spectrum.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that \(A\) and \(B\) are events such that \(P(A \mid B)=P(B \mid A)\) and \(P(A \cup B)=\) 1 and \(P(A \cap B)>0\). Prove that \(P(A)>1 / 2\).

In Exercise 2.2 .12 you proved the following: If you take a stick of unit length and break it into three pieces, choosing the breaks at random (i.e., choosing two real numbers independently and uniformly from [0,1]\()\), then the probability that the three pieces form a triangle is \(1 / 4\). Consider now a similar experiment: First break the stick at random, then break the longer piece at random. Show that the two experiments are actually quite different, as follows: (a) Write a program which simulates both cases for a run of 1000 trials, prints out the proportion of successes for each run, and repeats this process ten times. (Call a trial a success if the three pieces do form a triangle.) Have your program pick \((x, y)\) at random in the unit square, and in each case use \(x\) and \(y\) to find the two breaks. For each experiment, have it plot \((x, y)\) if \((x, y)\) gives a success. (b) Show that in the second experiment the theoretical probability of success is actually \(2 \log 2-1\)

Luxco, a wholesale lightbulb manufacturer, has two factories. Factory A sells bulbs in lots that consists of 1000 regular and 2000 softglow bulbs each. Random sampling has shown that on the average there tend to be about 2 bad regular bulbs and 11 bad softglow bulbs per lot. At factory B the lot size is reversed - there are 2000 regular and 1000 softglow per lot- and there tend to be 5 bad regular and 6 bad softglow bulbs per lot. The manager of factory A asserts, "We're obviously the better producer; our bad bulb rates are 2 percent and .55 percent compared to B's .25 percent and .6 percent. We're better at both regular and softglow bulbs by half of a tenth of a percent each." "Au contraire," counters the manager of B, "each of our 3000 bulb lots contains only 11 bad bulbs, while A's 3000 bulb lots contain 13\. So our .37 percent bad bulb rate beats their .43 percent." Who is right?

A coin is tossed three times. Consider the following events A: Heads on the first toss. B: Tails on the second. \(C:\) Heads on the third toss. \(D:\) All three outcomes the same \((\mathrm{HHH}\) or TTT). \(E:\) Exactly one head turns up. (a) Which of the following pairs of these events are independent? (1) \(A, B\) (2) \(A, D\) (3) \(A, E\) (4) \(D, E\) (b) Which of the following triples of these events are independent? (1) \(A, B, C\) (2) \(A, B, D\) (3) \(C, D, E\)

A student is applying to Harvard and Dartmouth. He estimates that he has a probability of .5 of being accepted at Dartmouth and .3 of being accepted at Harvard. He further estimates the probability that he will be accepted by both is .2. What is the probability that he is accepted by Dartmouth if he is accepted by Harvard? Is the event "accepted at Harvard" independent of the event "accepted at Dartmouth"?

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