Chapter 2: Problem 1
Suppose you choose at random a real number \(X\) from the interval [2,10] .
(a) Find the density function \(f(x)\) and the probability of an event \(E\) for
this experiment, where \(E\) is a subinterval \([a, b]\) of [2,10] .
(b) From (a), find the probability that \(X>5,\) that \(5
Short Answer
Expert verified
(a) Density function is \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), event probability \( \frac{b-a}{8} \). (b) \( P(X > 5) = \frac{5}{8} \), \( P(50) = \frac{3}{4} \).
Step by step solution
01
Determine the Density Function
The interval [2, 10] represents a uniform distribution. The density function for a continuous uniform distribution is constant over the interval. Given the interval has length \( 10 - 2 = 8 \), the density function is: \[ f(x) = \frac{1}{8}, \text{ for } x \in [2, 10] \] This means any number within the interval [2, 10] is equally likely to be chosen.
02
Find the Probability of Event E
The probability that \( X \) lies within any subinterval \([a, b]\) of \([2, 10]\) is calculated using the density function. The formula is: \[ P(a \leq X \leq b) = \int_{a}^{b} f(x) \, dx = \int_{a}^{b} \frac{1}{8} \, dx = \frac{b - a}{8} \] The result gives the fraction of the interval's length relative to the total interval.
03
Probability That X > 5
To find the probability that \( X > 5 \), consider the subinterval \([5, 10]\). The probability is: \[ P(X > 5) = \frac{10 - 5}{8} = \frac{5}{8} \]
04
Probability That 5 < X < 7
For \( 5 < X < 7 \), the subinterval is \([5, 7]\). The probability is: \[ P(5 < X < 7) = \frac{7 - 5}{8} = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4} \]
05
Probability That X^{2} - 12X + 35 > 0
First, solve the inequality \( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \). The roots of the equation \( X^2 - 12X + 35 = 0 \) are found using the quadratic formula: \[ X = \frac{12 \pm \sqrt{12^2 - 4 \cdot 1 \cdot 35}}{2} = \frac{12 \pm \sqrt{4}}{2} = \frac{12 \pm 2}{2} \] The roots are \( X = 7 \) and \( X = 5 \). For the inequality \( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \), test the intervals: - \( X < 5 \) - \( 5 < X < 7 \) - \( X > 7 \)The quadratic is positive for \( X < 5 \) and \( X > 7 \). Thus, probabilities are: - \( P(X < 5) = \frac{5 - 2}{8} = \frac{3}{8} \) - \( P(X > 7) = \frac{10 - 7}{8} = \frac{3}{8} \)The total probability is:\[ P(X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0) = \frac{3}{8} + \frac{3}{8} = \frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4} \]
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Density Function
In probability theory, a density function helps us determine how often an event will occur for a continuous random variable. For a continuous uniform distribution, like choosing a random number from the interval [2, 10], every number within that range is equally possible. The density function for a uniform distribution on this interval is constant, meaning it doesn't change value inside the interval. To find this function, you consider the length of the interval. Here, the interval is 8 units long (from 2 to 10). Thus, the density function is calculated as:
- \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), for \( x \in [2, 10] \)
Probability of Events
The probability of an event in a continuous uniform distribution represents the size of the subinterval relative to the total interval. With a density function of \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), the probability that the random variable falls between two points, say \( a \) and \( b \), is the area under the density function over that interval. This is calculated by integrating the density function from \( a \) to \( b \):
- \( P(a \leq X \leq b) = \int_{a}^{b} \frac{1}{8} \, dx = \frac{b-a}{8} \)
Continuous Uniform Distribution
A continuous uniform distribution occurs when all outcomes in a range are equally likely. If you think of it like spinning a wheel or rolling a perfectly uniform die, every angle on the wheel or number on the die has the same chance. With our interval [2, 10], any number you point to has the same chance of being your random choice. The density function doesn't spike or dip here—it's flat. This distribution is characterized by:
- Constant density function: \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), unchanged within [2, 10]
- Equal likelihood: Every subinterval probability depends solely on its length, \( \frac{b-a}{8} \).
Quadratic Inequality
Solving a quadratic inequality involves finding out where a quadratic expression is greater or lesser than a given value. In our exercise, it was phrased as:\( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \).First, find where the expression equals zero. Using the quadratic formula reveals it does this at the roots \( X = 5 \) and \( X = 7 \). Breaking this down further, the number line splits into segments:
- \( X < 5 \)
- \( 5 < X < 7 \)
- \( X > 7 \)
- \( P(X < 5) = \frac{3}{8} \)
- \( P(X > 7) = \frac{3}{8} \)