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Suppose you choose at random a real number \(X\) from the interval [2,10] . (a) Find the density function \(f(x)\) and the probability of an event \(E\) for this experiment, where \(E\) is a subinterval \([a, b]\) of [2,10] . (b) From (a), find the probability that \(X>5,\) that \(50\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Density function is \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), event probability \( \frac{b-a}{8} \). (b) \( P(X > 5) = \frac{5}{8} \), \( P(50) = \frac{3}{4} \).

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Density Function

The interval [2, 10] represents a uniform distribution. The density function for a continuous uniform distribution is constant over the interval. Given the interval has length \( 10 - 2 = 8 \), the density function is: \[ f(x) = \frac{1}{8}, \text{ for } x \in [2, 10] \] This means any number within the interval [2, 10] is equally likely to be chosen.
02

Find the Probability of Event E

The probability that \( X \) lies within any subinterval \([a, b]\) of \([2, 10]\) is calculated using the density function. The formula is: \[ P(a \leq X \leq b) = \int_{a}^{b} f(x) \, dx = \int_{a}^{b} \frac{1}{8} \, dx = \frac{b - a}{8} \] The result gives the fraction of the interval's length relative to the total interval.
03

Probability That X > 5

To find the probability that \( X > 5 \), consider the subinterval \([5, 10]\). The probability is: \[ P(X > 5) = \frac{10 - 5}{8} = \frac{5}{8} \]
04

Probability That 5 < X < 7

For \( 5 < X < 7 \), the subinterval is \([5, 7]\). The probability is: \[ P(5 < X < 7) = \frac{7 - 5}{8} = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4} \]
05

Probability That X^{2} - 12X + 35 > 0

First, solve the inequality \( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \). The roots of the equation \( X^2 - 12X + 35 = 0 \) are found using the quadratic formula: \[ X = \frac{12 \pm \sqrt{12^2 - 4 \cdot 1 \cdot 35}}{2} = \frac{12 \pm \sqrt{4}}{2} = \frac{12 \pm 2}{2} \] The roots are \( X = 7 \) and \( X = 5 \). For the inequality \( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \), test the intervals: - \( X < 5 \) - \( 5 < X < 7 \) - \( X > 7 \)The quadratic is positive for \( X < 5 \) and \( X > 7 \). Thus, probabilities are: - \( P(X < 5) = \frac{5 - 2}{8} = \frac{3}{8} \) - \( P(X > 7) = \frac{10 - 7}{8} = \frac{3}{8} \)The total probability is:\[ P(X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0) = \frac{3}{8} + \frac{3}{8} = \frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4} \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Density Function
In probability theory, a density function helps us determine how often an event will occur for a continuous random variable. For a continuous uniform distribution, like choosing a random number from the interval [2, 10], every number within that range is equally possible. The density function for a uniform distribution on this interval is constant, meaning it doesn't change value inside the interval. To find this function, you consider the length of the interval. Here, the interval is 8 units long (from 2 to 10). Thus, the density function is calculated as:
  • \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), for \( x \in [2, 10] \)
This means every point within [2, 10] has the same likelihood of being selected, making this function a fundamental tool in determining probabilities for subintervals in continuous uniform distributions.
Probability of Events
The probability of an event in a continuous uniform distribution represents the size of the subinterval relative to the total interval. With a density function of \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), the probability that the random variable falls between two points, say \( a \) and \( b \), is the area under the density function over that interval. This is calculated by integrating the density function from \( a \) to \( b \):
  • \( P(a \leq X \leq b) = \int_{a}^{b} \frac{1}{8} \, dx = \frac{b-a}{8} \)
Integration here simplifies to just comparing the lengths of subintervals since 1 divided by the total interval length equals the consistent probability across the whole interval. This method is amazingly straightforward for finding probabilities in uniform distributions.
Continuous Uniform Distribution
A continuous uniform distribution occurs when all outcomes in a range are equally likely. If you think of it like spinning a wheel or rolling a perfectly uniform die, every angle on the wheel or number on the die has the same chance. With our interval [2, 10], any number you point to has the same chance of being your random choice. The density function doesn't spike or dip here—it's flat. This distribution is characterized by:
  • Constant density function: \( f(x) = \frac{1}{8} \), unchanged within [2, 10]
  • Equal likelihood: Every subinterval probability depends solely on its length, \( \frac{b-a}{8} \).
The uniform nature makes it simple and intuitive for students when confirming they grasp these concepts. Even complex real-life systems often start with uniform distribution assumptions to simplify the math.
Quadratic Inequality
Solving a quadratic inequality involves finding out where a quadratic expression is greater or lesser than a given value. In our exercise, it was phrased as:\( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \).First, find where the expression equals zero. Using the quadratic formula reveals it does this at the roots \( X = 5 \) and \( X = 7 \). Breaking this down further, the number line splits into segments:
  • \( X < 5 \)
  • \( 5 < X < 7 \)
  • \( X > 7 \)
By testing values in each segment, you identify that the inequality holds true when \( X < 5 \) and \( X > 7 \). Thus, the entire probability is the sum of the chances that \( X \) falls outside [5, 7]. In a uniform distribution:
  • \( P(X < 5) = \frac{3}{8} \)
  • \( P(X > 7) = \frac{3}{8} \)
Combining, the total probability of \( X^2 - 12X + 35 > 0 \) is \( \frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4} \). Quadratic inequalities reveal how a distribution spreads beyond simply falling in a range.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Three points are chosen at random on a circle of unit circumference. What is the probability that the triangle defined by these points as vertices has three acute angles? Hint: One of the angles is obtuse if and only if all three points lie in the same semicircle. Take the circumference as the interval \([0,1] .\) Take one point at 0 and the others at \(B\) and \(C\).

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Alter the program MonteCarlo to estimate the area under the graph of \(y=\sin \pi x\) inside the unit square by choosing 10,000 points at random. Now calculate the true value of this area and use your results to estimate the value of \(\pi\). How accurate is your estimate?

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