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Let two independent random samples, each of size 10 , from two normal distributions \(N\left(\mu_{1}, \sigma^{2}\right)\) and \(N\left(\mu_{2}, \sigma^{2}\right)\) yield \(\bar{x}=4.8, s_{1}^{2}=8.64, \bar{y}=5.6, s_{2}^{2}=7.88\). Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the difference between the means \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) is (-3.53, 1.93).

Step by step solution

01

Compute sample standard error

The first step is to compute the standard error (SE) of the difference in sample means, which is given by the formula: \(SE = \sqrt{\frac{s_{1}^{2}}{n_1} + \frac{s_{2}^{2}}{n_2}}\). Substituting the provided values, we get: \(SE = \sqrt{\frac{8.64}{10} + \frac{7.88}{10}} = \sqrt{0.864 + 0.788} = \sqrt{1.672} \approx 1.29\).
02

Calculate degrees of freedom

Next, we compute the degrees of freedom (df) for the t-distribution. For two independent samples, it's given by \(df = n_1 + n_2 - 2 = 10 + 10 - 2 = 18\).
03

Find critical value from t-distribution

We're seeking a 95% confidence interval, hence this corresponds to a 5% significance level (alpha = 0.05). With a two-tailed test, we distribute this alpha evenly on both sides, getting alpha/2 = 0.025. Therefore, we have to find the t-value for df = 18 and alpha/2 = 0.025. Consulting the t-distribution table, we find the critical t-value is approximately 2.101.
04

Construct the confidence interval

The 95% confidence interval for the difference between the means \(\mu_{1} - \mu_{2}\) is given by: \(\bar{x}-\bar{y} \pm t_{\alpha/2,df}\times SE\). Substituting the obtained values, we get: \(4.8 - 5.6 \pm 2.101\times 1.29 \) which simplifies to -0.8 \pm 2.73.
05

Final Result

Thus, the 95% confidence interval for the difference between the means \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) is (-3.53, 1.93)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

T-distribution
The t-distribution is a critical tool in statistical analysis, especially when working with smaller sample sizes, typically less than 30. This distribution is similar to the normal distribution but wider and has heavier tails, which means it accounts for more variability. When calculating confidence intervals for the mean, especially when variance is unknown and the sample size is small, the t-distribution is used instead of the normal distribution.
The t-distribution is defined by the degrees of freedom, which influences its shape. More degrees of freedom lead to a shape closer to the standard normal distribution. When you have fewer degrees of freedom, the tails of the t-distribution are heavier, reflecting more variability in estimates and wider confidence intervals.
Degrees of Freedom
Degrees of freedom (df) describe the number of independent values that can vary in an analysis without breaking any constraints. For confidence intervals using two samples, degrees of freedom are crucial to determine the right critical value from the t-distribution.
In the context of confidence intervals for the difference between two means from independent samples, the formula is simple: add the sample sizes and subtract two, as shown:
  • Degrees of Freedom, df = n鈧 + n鈧 - 2
This formula ensures the right shape of the t-distribution is used, reflecting the sample's size and variability."
Standard Error
Standard Error (SE) measures how much the estimated means (\(ar{x}\) and \(ar{y}\)) fluctuate due to sampling variability. It tells us about the precision of the sample mean by considering both the sample size and sample variance.
  • Formula: SE = \( \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}} \)
  • Calculate the variances of both groups, divide each by their respective sample sizes, take the square root after combining, for the final SE
With SE calculated, you gain insight into the variability between sample means which is then used to construct confidence intervals. Smaller SE means the means are closely aligned with each true population mean.
Independent Samples
Independent samples are crucial when comparing two different groups to determine if there's a significant difference in their means. Independence implies that observations in one sample don't influence or relate to observations in another. For instance, measurements from two separate groups or treatments where neither affects each other.
When samples are independent, it's valid to use the standard error formula for two means, assuming variances are roughly equal. By taking independent samples, you ensure that each observation is a random outcome from its own population.
This is vital for conducting valid statistical tests and ensuring that derived statistics, like confidence intervals, are meaningful and accurate. Independent samples allow for straightforward calculation of the degrees of freedom for the t-distribution, making it integral for confidence intervals for the difference in means.

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