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Let \(X\) be a random variable. If \(m\) is a positive integer, the expectation \(E\left[(X-b)^{m}\right]\), if it exists, is called the \(m\) th moment of the distribution about the point \(b\). Let the first, second, and third moments of the distribution about the point 7 be 3,11, and 15 , respectively. Determine the mean \(\mu\) of \(X\), and then find the first, second, and third moments of the distribution about the point \(\mu\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean of \(X\) is 10. The first, second, and third moments of the distribution about the point \(\mu = 10\) are 0, 2, and -19 respectively.

Step by step solution

01

Compute the Mean

To find the mean \(\mu\), use the formula for the first moment about \(b\) which is defined as \(E[X - b] = \mu - b\). Since we know the first moment \(E[X - 7]\) is 3, calculate: \(\mu = 3 + 7 = 10\)
02

Find the first moment about the Mean

The first moment about the mean \(\mu\) is always zero by definition, since it is \(E[X - \mu]\), which implies: \(E[X - 10] = 0\)
03

Calculate the second moment about the Mean

Use the formula for the second moment about a point different from the mean, that is \(E[(X - b)^2] = E[(X - \mu)^2] + (\mu - b)^2\). In this case, we have b as 7, \(\mu\) as 10, and \(E[(X - 7)^2]\) as 11. Hence \(E[(X - 10)^2] = 11 - (10 - 7)^2 = 11 - 9 = 2\)
04

Calculate the third moment about the Mean

Similarly, apply the formula for the third moment about a point different from the mean, that is \(E[(X - b)^3] = E[(X - \mu)^3] + 3(\mu - b)E[(X - \mu)^2] + (\mu - b)^3\). Here \(E[(X - 7)^3]\) is 15, \(\mu\) is 10, b is 7, and \(E[(X - 10)^2]\) found in step 3 is 2. Hence \(E[(X - 10)^3] = 15 - 3(10 - 7)(2) - (10 - 7)^3 = -19\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Random Variables
In statistics, a random variable is a concept that allows us to describe outcomes of a statistical experiment in numerical terms. It is a variable that can take on different values, each associated with a probability. A random variable can be either discrete or continuous. A discrete random variable can assume a finite or countably infinite number of values (like the roll of a die), whereas a continuous random variable can take on an infinite number of values within a given range (like the height of individuals in a population).

Random variables are used to model real-world phenomena where we are interested in numerical outcomes. With this model, we can assign probabilities to these outcomes to predict statistical patterns. For example, in our exercise, the random variable is denoted by \( X \). The goal is to understand and calculate its moments about a point so that we can derive meaningful statistical measures such as the mean. Notice that the outcome values and probabilities associated with \( X \) allow us to talk about its distribution and properties through moments.
Expectation: The Heart of Moments
Expectation, denoted by \( E[X] \), is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics that represents the average or "expected" value of a random variable. It's akin to finding the center of a distribution. Think of it as a weighted average of all the possible values that a random variable can take, weighted by the probabilities of each of these outcomes.

For any random variable \( X \), the expectation is calculated using the formula: \[ E[X] = \sum_{i} p_i x_i \] where \( p_i \) is the probability that \( X \) assumes value \( x_i \). In the case of continuous random variables, an integral replaces the sum.

The expectation acts as a building block for calculating moments in this context. Moments provide valuable insight into the shape and characteristics of a distribution by measuring its skewness, spread, and other features. Knowing the expectation typically leads us to further investigations, such as finding the variance or higher moments—like the first, second, and third moments mentioned in our exercise.
Mean: The Foundation of Distribution Analysis
The mean, also known as the average, is a simple yet crucial measure in statistics. It gives us an idea about the central tendency of the data. The mean of a random variable \( X \) is a specific instance of expectation. In mathematical terms, if \( \mu \) represents the mean, then the relationship \( \mu = E[X] \) holds.

In our exercise, calculating the mean provides a crucial step toward analyzing all higher moments of the distribution. With the mean calculated as 10 in the original solution, it anchors our understanding of where the distribution centers, providing clarity on how data points are distributed around this central point.

It is important to understand that the first moment around any point other than the mean is simply the expectation minus the point, while around the mean it is zero. The second and third moments highlight the variance and skewness, respectively. By calculating moments around the mean, we uncover details about spread and asymmetry which help in statistical modeling and predicting patterns.

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