Chapter 17: Problem 9
The time it takes Kevin to get to school every day is normally distributed with a mean of 12 minutes and standard deviation of 2 minutes. Estimate the number of days when he takes a) longer than 17 minutes b) less than 10 minutes c) between 9 and 13 minutes. There are 180 school days in Kevin's school.
Short Answer
Step by step solution
Understand the Problem
Calculate Z-scores
Use Z-table to Find Probabilities
Calculate Estimated Number of Days
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Mean
The mean is calculated by summing up all individual data points and dividing the total by the number of points.
- For our problem, Kevin's travel to school has a mean of 12 minutes.
- This tells us that on average, it takes Kevin 12 minutes to commute.
In many real-world processes, like commute times, the mean gives us a helpful baseline for understanding typical outcomes, even though individual instances may vary.
Standard Deviation
For a normal distribution:
- About 68% of data will fall within one standard deviation of the mean.
- Approximately 95% within two standard deviations.
- Almost 99.7% within three standard deviations.
This means the majority of his commute times fall within 10 to 14 minutes.
A smaller standard deviation indicates data points are close to the mean, while a larger one indicates more data variability. Understanding the standard deviation helps predict how often events are outliers.
Z-score
It is a simple but powerful tool for comparing different data points within the same or different distributions.
- The Z-score formula is: \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
- Where \( X \) is the data point, \( \mu \) is the mean, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation.
The Z-score would be \( \frac{17 - 12}{2} = 2.5 \). This indicates 17 minutes is 2.5 standard deviations above the mean.
Z-scores are invaluable because they enable us to calculate the probability of a score occurring within our normal distribution and are essential for interpreting the probabilities in normally distributed data.
Probability Table
This is crucial when you want to determine the likelihood of an event occurring beyond or below certain data points in a normal distribution.
- The Z-table provides areas under the standard normal curve corresponding to specific Z-scores.
- For a Z-score of 2.5, the table indicates the cumulative probability up to that point.
In the example of Kevin's commute time longer than 17 minutes, we subtract the cumulative probability from 1 to find the probability for more extreme times.
Probability tables simplify complex probability computations, making them easily accessible for practical application.