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A probability experiment is conducted in which the sample space of the experiment is, \(S=\\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12\\} .\) Let event \(E=\\{2,3,4,5,6,7\\},\) event \(F=\\{5,6,7,8,9\\},\) event \(G=\\{9,10,11,12\\},\) and event \(H=\\{2,3,4\\} .\) Assume each outcome is equally likely. List the outcomes in \(E\) or \(H .\) Now find \(P(E \text { or } H\) ) by counting the number of outcomes in \(E\) or \(H .\) Determine \(P(E \text { or } H)\) using the General Addition Rule.

Short Answer

Expert verified
P(E or H) = \( \frac{1}{2} \)

Step by step solution

01

List outcomes in E or H

List all unique outcomes that are in either event E or event H. E = {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7} and H = {2, 3, 4}. The union (E or H) is {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7}.
02

Count outcomes in E or H

Count the number of outcomes in the set {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7}. The number of outcomes is 6.
03

Find the total number of outcomes

The total number of possible outcomes in the sample space S is given. |S| = 12.
04

Calculate the probability P(E or H) by counting

Use the formula for probability: \[ P(E \text{ or } H) = \frac{\text{Number of outcomes in } (E \text{ or } H)}{\text{Total number of outcomes in } S} \] Using the counts, we find: \[ P(E \text{ or } H) = \frac{6}{12} = \frac{1}{2} \]
05

Determine P(E or H) using the General Addition Rule

The General Addition Rule states: \[ P(E \text{ or } H) = P(E) + P(H) - P(E \cap H) \] First find: \[ P(E) = \frac{|E|}{|S|} = \frac{6}{12} = \frac{1}{2} \] \[ P(H) = \frac{|H|}{|S|} = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4} \] Find the intersection set E ∩ H = {2, 3, 4}, which has 3 outcomes. \[ P(E \cap H) = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4} \] Substitute in the rule: \[ P(E \text{ or } H) = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{4} - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{2} \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
In probability and statistics, we often talk about 'sample space'. The sample space, usually denoted by the symbol \(S\), is the set of all possible outcomes in a probability experiment. Imagine you're rolling a die. The sample space for this experiment would be \(\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}\) because these are all the possible results you can get from a single roll. Each outcome in the sample space is equally likely if the die is fair.
For the given exercise, our sample space is \(S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12\}\). This tells us there are 12 possible outcomes when the probability experiment is conducted. Knowing the sample space helps us understand the full range of possible outcomes and serves as the foundation for calculating probabilities.
Probability Calculation
The next step in solving our probability problem is calculating probabilities themselves. Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur, ranging from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). For a simple event from our sample space, the probability is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space.
For example, if event \(E=\{2,3,4,5,6,7\}\), event \(F=\{5,6,7,8,9\}\), event \(G=\{9,10,11,12\}\), and event \(H=\{2,3,4\}\), these sets represent subsets of the sample space. To find the probability of one of these events occurring, we use the formula:
\ P(Event) = \frac{\text{Number of outcomes in the event}}{\text{Total number of outcomes in the sample space}} \
For event \(E\), the probability is:
\ P(E) = \frac{|E|}{|S|} = \frac{6}{12} = \frac{1}{2} \
This means there is a 50% chance that event \(E\) will occur.
General Addition Rule
The General Addition Rule in probability helps us to find the probability of either of two events happening. If you want to calculate the probability of either event \(E\) or event \(H\) happening, we need to be careful not to count the outcomes that could be common to both events twice. The rule is given by:
\ P(E \text{ or } H) = P(E) + P(H) - P(E \cap H) \
This rule subtracts the intersection of \(E\) and \(H\) since it is counted twice otherwise. For our problem, event \(E\) has 6 outcomes, and event \(H\) has 3 outcomes. The intersection set \(E \cap H = \{2,3,4\}\) with 3 outcomes. Let's calculate it step-by-step:
\ P(E) = \frac{|E|}{|S|} = \frac{6}{12} = \frac{1}{2} \
P(H) = \frac{|H|}{|S|} = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4} \
P(E \cap H) = \frac{|E \cap H|}{|S|} = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4} \
Substitute these values into the General Addition Rule:
\ P(E \text{ or } H) = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{4} - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{2} \
So, the probability of either \(E\) or \(H\) occurring is \(\frac{1}{2}\) or 50%.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In the game of roulette, a wheel consists of 38 slots numbered \(0,00,1,2, \ldots .36 .\) The odd-numbered slots are red, and the even-numbered slots are black. The numbers 0 and 00 are green. To play the game, a metal ball is spun around the wheel and is allowed to fall into one of the numbered slots. (a) What is the probability that the metal ball lands on green or red? (b) What is the probability that the metal ball does not land on green?

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