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To test \(H_{0}: \mu=50\) versus \(H_{1}: \mu<50,\) a random sample of size \(n=24\) is obtained from a population that is known to be normally distributed with \(\sigma=12\) (a) If the sample mean is determined to be \(\bar{x}=47.1\) compute the test statistic. (b) If the researcher decides to test this hypothesis at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance, determine the critical value. (c) Draw a normal curve that depicts the critical region. (d) Will the researcher reject the null hypothesis? Why?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The test statistic is -1.18. The critical value is -1.645. Do not reject the null hypothesis because -1.18 is not in the critical region.

Step by step solution

01

Compute the test statistic

The formula for the test statistic in a z-test is given by \[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \]where \( \bar{x} = 47.1 \), \( \mu = 50 \), \( \sigma = 12 \), and \( n = 24 \). Plugging in these values, we get: \[ z = \frac{47.1 - 50}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{24}}} \]This simplifies to: \[ z = \frac{-2.9}{\frac{12}{4.9}} \]Further simplifying: \[ z = \frac{-2.9}{2.45} \approx -1.18 \]
02

Determine the critical value

For a one-tailed test at the \( \alpha = 0.05 \) level of significance, the critical value can be found using the z-table. A z-score corresponding to the 0.05 level of significance in the left tail is approximately -1.645.
03

Draw a normal curve and depict the critical region

Draw a normal curve and shade the region to the left of the critical value of -1.645. This shaded area represents the critical region where we would reject the null hypothesis.
04

Determine if the null hypothesis should be rejected

Compare the computed test statistic \( z = -1.18 \) to the critical value \( z = -1.645 \). Since \( -1.18 > -1.645 \), the test statistic does not fall into the critical region. Therefore, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

test statistic
A test statistic helps us to determine if our sample data significantly deviates from the null hypothesis. It's a standardized value that tells us how many standard deviations our sample mean is away from the population mean under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true. In our problem, the test statistic is calculated using the formula: \ \[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - u}{\frac{u}{u}} \] We use the given sample mean (\bar{x} = 47.1), population mean (\bar{x} = 50), standard deviation (\bar{x} = 12), and sample size ( = 24). By plugging in these values, we get \ \( z \ = \ \bar\bar{x} - 50 = \qquad {-2.9}{2.45} = -1.18 \). This means our sample mean is \ approximately \ -1.18 standard deviations below the population mean.
critical value
The critical value is a threshold that our test statistic must exceed to reject the null hypothesis. It depends on the significance level ( Δ ħ e) of the test. A common significance level used is 0.05, meaning there's a 5% risk of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. In a one-tailed test, we focus on one end of the distribution. For our problem, we look at the left tail because the alternative hypothesis suggests fewer than 50. Using the z-table, we find the z-score corresponding to 0.05, which is approximately -1.645. This score marks the boundary below which we reject the null hypothesis.
normal distribution
A normal distribution is a bell-shaped curve that is symmetric about the mean. In hypothesis testing, we assume the population from which the sample is drawn follows a normal distribution. This allows us to use z-scores to determine probabilities and critical values. In our situation, we use the normal curve to visualize regions of acceptance and rejection based on standard deviations from the mean. When we shade the area to the left of the critical value -1.645, we define the critical region. If our test statistic falls within this shaded region, we reject the null hypothesis.
null hypothesis
The null hypothesis, denoted as Η0, is a statement we aim to test. It assumes no effect or difference, and it’s what we seek to nullify. In the exercise, the null hypothesis states that the population mean, Η0 μ = 50. We subject this presumption to testing with our sample data. If we find enough evidence, based on our test statistic falling in the critical region, we reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise, as in our case where the test statistic (-1.18) is greater than the critical value (-1.645), we do not reject it. This means we conclude that there isn't sufficient evidence to say the mean is less than 50.

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