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Microtech Corporation is expanding rapidly and currently needs to retain all of its earnings, hence it does not pay dividends. However, investors expect Microtech to begin paying dividends, beginning with a dividend of \(\$ 1.00\) coming 3 years from today. The dividend should grow rapidly-at a rate of 50 percent per year-during Years 4 and \(5,\) but after Year 5 growth should be a constant 8 percent per year. If the required return on Microtech is 15 percent, what is the value of the stock today?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The value of the stock today is \$19.90.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Future Dividends

The first dividend (D_3) is expected to be \( \\(1.00 \\) that will be paid 3 years from today. This dividend will grow by 50\% annually for two years. Hence, we calculate the next two dividends: \( D_3 = \\)1.00 \) \( D_4 = D_3 \times (1 + 0.50) = \\(1.00 \times 1.50 = \\)1.50 \) \( D_5 = D_4 \times (1 + 0.50) = \\(1.50 \times 1.50 = \\)2.25 \).
02

Constant Growth Calculation

From Year 6 onwards, the dividends grow at a constant rate of 8\%. Thus, we calculate D_6 using the growth rate from D_5:\( D_6 = D_5 \times (1 + 0.08) = \\(2.25 \times 1.08 = \\)2.43 \).
03

Calculate Terminal Value (Year 5)

The terminal value at the end of Year 5 (P_5) can be calculated using the formula for a perpetuity growing at a constant rate: \( P_5 = \frac{D_6}{r - g} = \frac{\\(2.43}{0.15 - 0.08} = \frac{\\)2.43}{0.07} = \$34.71 \).
04

Present Value of Dividends and Terminal Value

We need to find the present value of future cash flows, which includes the dividends from Years 3 to 5 and the terminal value. \( PV(D_3) = \frac{\\(1.00}{(1 + 0.15)^3} = \frac{\\)1.00}{1.520875} = \\(0.66 \) \( PV(D_4) = \frac{\\)1.50}{(1 + 0.15)^4} = \frac{\\(1.50}{1.749006} = \\)0.86 \)\( PV(D_5) = \frac{\\(2.25}{(1 + 0.15)^5} = \frac{\\)2.25}{2.011357} = \\(1.12 \)\( PV(P_5) = \frac{\\)34.71}{(1 + 0.15)^5} = \frac{\\(34.71}{2.011357} = \\)17.26 \).
05

Calculate Present Value of Stock Today

To find the value of the stock today, sum up the present values of D_3, D_4, D_5, and P_5: \( P_0 = PV(D_3) + PV(D_4) + PV(D_5) + PV(P_5) = \\(0.66 + \\)0.86 + \\(1.12 + \\)17.26 = \$19.90 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Dividend Discount Model
Stock valuation can be understood clearly through the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). This financial model asserts that the value of a stock is the present value of all future dividends it will pay.
The steps for using this model involve estimating all future dividends and calculating their present values using a discount rate.
The discount rate, often an investor's required rate of return, brings the future dividend values back to the present time frame.
  • For stocks that pay dividends consistently, the DDM is a reliable method.
  • It's particularly useful for companies expected to grow dividends at a constant rate.
The exercise above showcases a scenario where a company, Microtech Corporation, will start paying dividends after a few years of growth.
Constant Growth Rate
The concept of a Constant Growth Rate is crucial even when dividends vary initially. It's applied primarily after a period of rapid dividend growth. For Microtech, after significant growth in Years 4 and 5 (50% per year), the company adopts a stable long-term growth rate of 8%.
This implies that beyond certain years, the dividends grow at this constant rate indefinitely.
  • Constant Growth Rate is often linked to the company's sustainable growth expectations based on market conditions.
  • Used alongside the Gordon Growth Model, a variation of DDM when dividends grow at a steady rate.
This rate of 8% helps in determining the terminal value and simplifies the calculation of long-term stock value.
Present Value Calculation
Understanding Present Value Calculation is essential for evaluating company shares. It involves discounting future dividend payments to understand what they are worth today.
In the exercise, the dividends predicted in Years 3, 4, and 5 are each discounted back to their present value because a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received in the future.
The formula used is: \[ PV = \frac{D_n}{(1 + r)^n} \]
Where:
  • \(D_n\) is the dividend in future year \(n\)
  • \(r\) is the required return or discount rate
Calculations start from Year 3 and continue through Year 5, with the terminal value calculated for the remainder of the stock's anticipated growth period.
Perpetuity Valuation
Perpetuity Valuation comes into play for valuing assets that provide a constant stream of cash flows indefinitely. This is highly applicable in stock valuation during the constant growth phase after Year 5.
For Microtech, once the dividends start growing at an 8% constant rate, we use the perpetuity formula to determine the stock's value at the end of the rapid growth period.
The formula is:\[ P_n = \frac{D_{n+1}}{r - g} \] where
  • \(P_n\) represents the terminal value at time \(n\)
  • \(D_{n+1}\) is the dividend expected in the next year
  • \(r\) is the required return rate
  • \(g\) is the growth rate
This encapsulates the long-term value, effectively taking the constant dividend growth into perpetuity.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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