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Stock \(X\) has an expected return of 10 percent, a beta coefficient of \(0.9,\) and a standard deviation of expected returns of 35 percent. Stock \(Y\) has an expected return of 12.5 percent, a beta coefficient of \(1.2,\) and a standard deviation of expected returns of 25 percent. The risk-free rate is 6 percent, and the market risk premium is 5 percent. a. Calculate each stock's coefficient of variation. b. Which stock is riskier for diversified investors? c. Calculate each stock's required rate of return. d. On the basis of the two stocks' expected and required returns, which stock would be most attractive to a diversified investor? e. Calculate the required return of a portfolio that has \(\$ 7,500\) invested in Stock \(X\) and \(\$ 2,500\) invested in Stock \(Y\) f. If the market risk premium increased to 6 percent, which of the two stocks would have the largest increase in their required return?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) CV_X = 3.5, CV_Y = 2.0 b) Stock Y is riskier. c) r_X = 10.5%, r_Y = 12% d) Stock Y is more attractive. e) Portfolio r_p = 10.875% f) Stock Y's required return increases more.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Coefficient of Variation for Stock X and Y

The coefficient of variation (CV) is calculated by dividing the standard deviation by the expected return. For Stock X: \[ CV_X = \frac{35\%}{10\%} = 3.5 \] For Stock Y: \[ CV_Y = \frac{25\%}{12.5\%} = 2.0 \] The coefficient of variation measures relative risk per unit of return.
02

Analyze Risk for Diversified Investors

For diversified investors, risk is typically measured by beta rather than standard deviation, as beta represents the stock's sensitivity to market movements. Stock X has a beta of 0.9 while Stock Y has a beta of 1.2, suggesting Stock Y is riskier.
03

Calculate Required Return Using CAPM

The required return can be calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): \[ r_i = r_f + \beta_i (r_m - r_f) \] where \( r_f = 6\% \) and \( r_m - r_f = 5\% \). For Stock X, the required return is: \[ r_X = 6\% + 0.9 \times 5\% = 10.5\% \] For Stock Y, the required return is: \[ r_Y = 6\% + 1.2 \times 5\% = 12\% \].
04

Compare Expected and Required Returns

Stock X has an expected return of 10% and a required return of 10.5%, yielding an expected return less than required. Stock Y has an expected return of 12.5% and a required return of 12%, yielding an expected return more than required. Therefore, Stock Y is more attractive.
05

Calculate Required Return of Portfolio

The portfolio's required return is the weighted average of the required returns of the individual stocks: \[ r_p = \frac{7500}{10000} \times 10.5\% + \frac{2500}{10000} \times 12\% = 10.875\% \].
06

Effect of Increased Market Risk Premium

With an increase in the market risk premium to 6%, the new required return for each stock is calculated. For Stock X: \[ r_X = 6\% + 0.9 \times 6\% = 11.4\% \].For Stock Y: \[ r_Y = 6\% + 1.2 \times 6\% = 13.2\% \].The increase in required return is 0.9% for Stock X and 1.2% for Stock Y. Thus, Stock Y has the largest increase.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Beta Coefficient
The beta coefficient is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market. In simpler terms, it tells us how much a stock's price might change when the market moves. A beta greater than 1 indicates that the stock is more volatile than the market, meaning it will likely experience larger swings in price. If beta is less than 1, the stock is less volatile than the market and generally has smaller price fluctuations.
A beta coefficient of 1 means the stock's price moves exactly with the market. If the market goes up 10%, the stock will likely do the same. In our exercise, Stock X has a beta of 0.9, suggesting it is less volatile than the market. Stock Y, with a beta of 1.2, is more volatile, thus considered riskier by diversified investors who rely on beta to gauge risk because it captures how stocks react to market conditions.
Required Rate of Return
The required rate of return is the minimum annual percentage return needed by an investor to consider an investment worthwhile. It accounts for the risk-free rate combined with the risk of the investment as captured by its beta. This rate helps investors evaluate if the potential gains on an investment are worth its risks compared to other opportunities.
Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), this can be calculated with the formula: \[ r_i = r_f + \beta_i (r_m - r_f) \]Where \( r_f \) is the risk-free rate, \( \beta_i \) is the beta of the stock, and \( (r_m - r_f) \) is the market risk premium. Investors use this to decide whether a stock's potential rewards outweigh its risks. For example, if a stock's expected return is lower than its required return, it may be considered less appealing.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a fundamental financial theory used to determine the expected return on an asset, considering its risk compared to the market. This model serves as a cornerstone for investors, providing a formula to evaluate whether a stock offers a reasonable return for its associated risk.
The CAPM formula is expressed as:\[ r_i = r_f + \beta_i (r_m - r_f) \]Here, \( r_f \) is the risk-free rate, such as government bond yields, and \( (r_m - r_f) \) represents the market risk premium. The value \( \beta_i \) quantifies the asset's market risk. The model holds that the expected return should compensate investors for both the time value of money (the risk-free rate) and the risk taken above a safe investment. It helps align expectations of returns with inherent risks across different assets, aiding diversified investors in portfolio decisions.
Market Risk Premium
Market risk premium (MRP) is a key element of the CAPM. It reflects the extra return that investors require for choosing a risky investment over a risk-free one. This premium is essential because it helps to quantify the risk-reward trade-off of investing in the market.
  • If the MRP is higher, it suggests that investors see the market as riskier and demand higher returns for taking on that risk.
  • Conversely, a lower MRP implies the market is perceived as less risky.
The MRP plays a significant role in calculating the required rate of return through CAPM by influencing how much return above the risk-free rate an investor expects. In the exercise, a change in MRP directly affects the required returns for Stocks X and Y, highlighting its impact on investor decision-making.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A stock's expected return has the following distribution: $$\begin{array}{lcc} \begin{array}{l} \text { DEMAND FOR THE } \\ \text { COMPANY'S PRODUCTS } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { PROBABILITY OF THIS } \\ \text { DEMAND OCCURRING } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { RATE OF RETURN } \\ \text { IF THIS DEMAND } \\ \text { OCCURS } \end{array} \\ \hline \text { Weak } & 0.1 & (50 \%) \\ \text { Below average } & 0.2 & (5) \\ \text { Average } & 0.4 & 16 \\ \text { Above average } & 0.2 & 25 \\ \text { Strong } & 0.1 & 60 \\ & 1.0 & \\ \hline \end{array}$$ Calculate the stock's expected return, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

The Kish Investment Fund, in which you plan to invest some money, has total capital of \(\$ 500\) million invested in five stocks: $$\begin{array}{ccc} \text { STOCK } & \text { INVESTMENT } & \text { STOCK'S BETA COEFFICIENT } \\\ \hline \mathrm{A} & \$ 160 \text { million } & 0.5 \\ \mathrm{B} & 120 \text { million } & 2.0 \\ \mathrm{C} & 80 \text { million } & 4.0 \\ \mathrm{D} & 80 \text { million } & 1.0 \\ \mathrm{E} & 60 \text { million } & 3.0 \end{array}$$ The beta coefficient for a fund like Kish Investment can be found as a weighted average of the fund's investments. The current risk-free rate is 6 percent, whereas market returns have the following estimated probability distribution for the next period: $$\begin{array}{cc} \text { PROBABILITY } & \text { MARKET RETURN } \\ \hline 0.1 & 7 \% \\ 0.2 & 9 \\ 0.4 & 11 \\ 0.2 & 13 \\ 0.1 & 15 \end{array}$$ a. What is the estimated equation for the Security Market Line (SML)? (Hint: First determine the expected market return.) b. Calculate the fund's required rate of return for the next period. c. Suppose Bridget Nelson, the president, receives a proposal for a new stock. The investment needed to take a position in the stock is \(\$ 50\) million, it will have an expected return of 15 percent, and its estimated beta coefficient is \(2.0 .\) Should the new stock be purchased? At what expected rate of return should the fund be indifferent to purchasing the stock?

Suppose \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{RF}}=9 \%, \mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{M}}=14 \%,\) and \(\mathrm{b}_{\mathrm{i}}=1.3\) a. What is \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{i}}\), the required rate of return on Stock i? b. Now suppose \(k_{R F}(1)\) increases to 10 percent or (2) decreases to 8 percent. The slope of the SML remains constant. How would this affect \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{M}}\) and \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{i}}\) c. Now assume \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{RF}}\) remains at 9 percent but \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{M}}(1)\) increases to 16 percent or (2) falls to 13 percent. The slope of the SML does not remain constant. How would these changes affect \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{i}}\)

Stocks A and B have the following historical returns: $$\begin{array}{lcc} \text { YEAR } & \text { STOCK A'S RETURNS, } \mathbf{k}_{\mathrm{A}} & \text { STOCK B'S RETURNS, } \mathbf{k}_{\mathbf{B}} \\ \hline 1997 & (18.00 \%) & (14.50 \%) \\ 1998 & 33.00 & 21.80 \\ 1999 & 15.00 & 30.50 \\ 2000 & (0.50) & (7.60) \\ 2001 & 27.00 & 26.30 \end{array}$$ a. Calculate the average rate of return for each stock during the period 1997 through 2001 b. Assume that someone held a portfolio consisting of 50 percent of Stock \(A\) and 50 percent of Stock B. What would have been the realized rate of return on the portfolio in each year from 1997 through 2001 ? What would have been the average return on the portfolio during this period? c. Calculate the standard deviation of returns for each stock and for the portfolio. d. Calculate the coefficient of variation for each stock and for the portfolio. e. If you are a risk-averse investor, would you prefer to hold Stock \(\mathrm{A}\), Stock \(\mathrm{B}\), or the portfolio? Why?

Suppose you won the Florida lottery and were offered (1) \(\$ 0.5\) million or (2) a gamble in which you would receive \(\$ 1\) million if a head were flipped but zero if a tail came up. a. What is the expected value of the gamble? b. Would you take the sure \(\$ 0.5\) million or the gamble? c. If you choose the sure \(\$ 0.5\) million, are you a risk averter or a risk seeker? d. Suppose you actually take the sure \(\$ 0.5\) million. You can invest it in either a U.S. Treasury bond that will return \(\$ 537,500\) at the end of a year or a common stock that has a \(50-50\) chance of being either worthless or worth \(\$ 1,150,000\) at the end of the year. (1) What is the expected dollar profit on the stock investment? (The expected profit on the T-bond investment is \(\$ 37,500\).) (2) What is the expected rate of return on the stock investment? (The expected rate of return on the T-bond investment is 7.5 percent. (3) Would you invest in the bond or the stock? (4) Exactly how large would the expected profit (or the expected rate of return) have to be on the stock investment to make \(y\) ou invest in the stock, given the 7.5 percent return on the bond? (5) How might your decision be affected if, rather than buying one stock for \(\$ 0.5\) million, you could construct a portfolio consisting of 100 stocks with \(\$ 5,000\) invested in each? Each of these stocks has the same return characteristics as the one stock - that is, a \(50-50\) chance of being worth either zero or \(\$ 11,500\) at year-end. Would the correlation between returns on these stocks matter?

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