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You have been hired to value a new 25 -year callable convertible bond. The bond has a 6.20 percent coupon, payable annually. The conversion price is \(\$ 140,\) and the stock currently sells for \(\$ 41.12 .\) The stock price is expected to grow at 12 percent per year. The bond is callable at \(\$ 1,200\) but, based on prior experience, it won't be called unless the conversion value is \(\$ 1,300 .\) The required return on this bond is 10 percent. What value would you assign?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The bond value can be calculated by discounting the future cash flows at the required return rate. First, calculate the future stock price at the end of the 25-year period: \(\$41.12 \times (1+0.12)^{25}\). Then, determine the conversion ratio: \(\frac{\$1,000}{\$140}\). Next, compute the conversion value: \(Conversion\:Ratio \times Future\:Stock\:Price\). Finally, calculate the bond value using the formula: \[ Bond\:Value = \frac{\$62}{(1 + 0.1)^{1}} + \frac{\$62}{(1 + 0.1)^{2}} + ... + \frac{Minimum(\$1,200,\:Conversion\: Value) + \$62}{(1 + 0.1)^{25}} \] Make sure to choose the minimum value between the call value and conversion value when calculating the last cash flow.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Future Stock Price

First, we need to calculate the future stock price at the end of the 25-year period. To do this, we will use the formula for compound interest, which is: \[ Future\:Stock\:Price = Current\:Stock\:Price \times (1 + growth\:rate)^{years} \] Since the current stock price is \(\$41.12\) and the growth rate is \(12\%\) per year, the future stock price after 25 years is calculated as follows: \[ Future\:Stock\:Price = \$41.12 \times (1 + 0.12)^{25} \]
02

Calculate Conversion Ratio

Now, we will calculate the conversion ratio, which is the number of shares that can be obtained when converting the bond into stock. The conversion ratio is given by: \[ Conversion\:Ratio = \frac{Bond\:Face\:Value}{Conversion\:Price} \] Since the face value of the bond is \(\$1,000\) and the conversion price is \(\$140\), the conversion ratio is: \[ Conversion\:Ratio = \frac{\$1,000}{\$140} \]
03

Calculate Conversion Value

Next, we will calculate the conversion value, which is the market value of all the shares obtained after converting the bond into stock. The conversion value is given by: \[ Conversion\:Value = Conversion\:Ratio \times Stock\:Price \] As we calculated the conversion ratio and the future stock price in the previous steps, we can calculate the conversion value as: \[ Conversion\:Value = Conversion\:Ratio \times Future\:Stock\:Price \]
04

Calculate Bond Value

Finally, we will calculate the bond value by discounting the future cash flows at the required return rate. The bond value is given by: \[ Bond\:Value = \frac{Coupon\:Payment}{(1 + required\:return)^{1}} + \frac{Coupon\:Payment}{(1 + required\:return)^{2}} + ... + \frac{Minimum(Call\:Value, Conversion\:Value) + Coupon\:Payment}{(1 + required\:return)^{years}} \] Since the coupon rate is \(6.2\%\) and the face value of the bond is \(\$1,000\), the coupon payment is: \[ Coupon\:Payment = 0.062 \times \$1,000 = \$62 \] Given that the required return is \(10\%\), we can now calculate the bond value using the formula above. Remember that based on prior experience, the bond will be called at \(\$1,200\) but won't be called unless the conversion value is \(\$1,300\). When calculating the last cash flow, compare the call value and conversion value and choose the minimum value to ensure the conditions stated in the problem are met.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Compound Interest Formula
When it comes to investments and savings, the compound interest formula is a critical concept to understand. Compound interest is the addition of interest to the principal sum of a loan or deposit, where the interest also earns interest from that point on. This effect can cause wealth to grow exponentially over time.

The mathematical formula for compound interest is:
\[ A = P(1 + r/n)^{nt} \]
where:
  • \(A\) is the future value of the investment/loan, including interest,
  • \(P\) is the principal amount,
  • \(r\) is the annual interest rate (decimal),
  • \(n\) is the number of times that interest is compounded per year, and
  • \(t\) is the number of years.
In the exercise, the compound interest formula is used to predict the future stock price, a necessary step when evaluating the long-term value of a convertible bond. The formula elevates simple interest calculations by considering ongoing interest accrual, rather than just the initial principal.
Conversion Ratio Calculation Explained
The conversion ratio is an integral part of the valuation of convertible bonds. It determines how many shares of the company's stock a bondholder would receive upon converting their bond into equity. The higher the conversion ratio, the more valuable the bond is to investors who may anticipate growth in the company's share price.

The conversion ratio is calculated using the formula:
\[ Conversion\:Ratio = \frac{Bond\:Face\:Value}{Conversion\:Price} \]
In the provided exercise, the face value of the bond, typically set at issuance, is divided by the conversion price, which is the price a bondholder must effectively 'pay' to convert each bond into stocks. A proper understanding of the conversion ratio aids in evaluating the potential benefits of converting a bond into shares versus holding the bond to maturity.
The Basics of Discounted Cash Flow
Discounted cash flow (DCF) is a valuation method used to estimate the value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows. By calculating the present value of expected future cash flows, investors can make more informed decisions about the true value of an investment adjusted for the time value of money.

To apply DCF:
  • Estimate the investment's future cash flows,
  • Determine the appropriate discount rate to apply,
  • Calculate the present value of each future cash flow using the discount rate,
  • Sum all the present values to get the total current value of the investment.
The general formula for DCF is:
\[ PV = \frac{CF_1}{(1+r)^1} + \frac{CF_2}{(1+r)^2} + ... + \frac{CF_n}{(1+r)^n} \]
where:
  • \(PV\) is the present value,
  • \(CF\) is the cash flow for each period,
  • \(r\) is the discount rate, and
  • \(n\) is the number of periods.
In the context of bond valuation, DCF is essential to calculate the present value of the bond's future coupon payments and final payment.
Bond Valuation Fundamentals
Bond valuation is the process of determining the fair price of a bond. Essentially, a bond's value is the present value of its expected coupon payments plus the present value of the par value (also known as face value or maturity value) returned at the end of the bond's term.

The valuation of a traditional bond involves discounting the sum of all future cash flows (coupon payments and the return of principal at maturity) to the present using a discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the bond's cash flows:
\[ Bond\:Value = \frac{C}{(1+y)^1} + \frac{C}{(1+y)^2} + ... + \frac{C+F}{(1+y)^N} \]
where:
  • \(C\) is the annual coupon payment,
  • \(F\) is the face value of the bond,
  • \(y\) is the required rate of return (yield to maturity), and
  • \(N\) is the number of years to maturity.
In the scenario presented, a callable convertible bond is more complex because it involves additional features: it can be converted into a predetermined number of shares of stock (conversion), and it can be bought back or 'called' by the issuer before it matures (callable). Valuing such a bond requires an understanding of conversion value and call value, in addition to the methods used for traditional bonds.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Option to Wait Your company is deciding whether to invest in a new machine. The new machine will increase cash flow by \(\$ 180,000\) per year. You believe the technology used in the machine has a 10 -year life, in other words, no matter when you purchase the machine, it will be obsolete 10 years from today.The machine is currently priced at \(\$ 1,000,000\). The cost of the machine will decline by \(\$ 100,000\) per year until it reaches \(\$ 500,000,\) where it will remain. If your required return is 12 percent, should you purchase the machine? If so, when should you purchase it?

A one-year call option contract on Cheesy Poofs Co. stock sells for \(\$ 1,400 .\) In one year, the stock will be worth \(\$ 40\) or \(\$ 60\) per share. The exercise price on the call option is \(\$ 55 .\) What is the current value of the stock if the risk-free rate is 5 percent?

T-bills currently yield 6 percent. Stock in Christina Manufacturing is currently selling for 50 dollars per share. There is no possibility that the stock will be worth less than 45 dollars per share in one year. a. What is the value of a call option with a 40 dollars exercise price? What is the intrinsic value?b. What is the value of a call option with a 30 dollars exercise price? What is the intrinsic value?c. What is the value of a put option with a \(\$ 40\) exercise price? What is the intrinsic value?

Use the option quote information shown here to answer the questions that follow.a. Are the call options in the money? What is the intrinsic value of an RWJ Corp. call option? b. Are the put options in the money? What is the intrinsic value of an RWJ Corp. put option? c. Two of the options are clearly mispriced. Which ones? At a minimum, what should the mispriced options sell for? Explain how you could profit from the mispricing in each case.

Rackin Pinion Corporation's assets are currently worth \(\$ 1,100 .\) In one year, they will be worth either \(\$ 1,000\) or \(\$ 1,300 .\) The risk-free interest rate is 5 percent. Suppose Rackin Pinion has an outstanding debt issue with a face value of \(\$ 1,000\). a. What is the value of the equity? b. What is the value of the debt? The interest rate on the debt? c. Would the value of the equity go up or down if the risk-free rate were 20 percent? Why? What does your answer illustrate?

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