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Suppose that the S\&P 500 , with a beta of \(1.0,\) has an expected return of 13 percent and T-bills provide a risk-free return of 5 percent. a. What would be the expected return and beta of portfolios constructed from these two assets with weights in the S\&P 500 of (i) \(0 ;\) (ii) \(.25 ;\) (iii) \(.5 ;\) (iv) \(.75 ;(\mathrm{v}) 1.0 ?\) b. Based on your answer to (a), what is the trade-off between risk and return, that is, how does expected return vary with beta? c. What does your answer to (b) have to do with the security market line relationship?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The computed expected return and beta for different portfolio weights provide evidence of the risk-return trade-off, as portfolios with higher betas have higher expected returns. This relationship is also described by the Security Market Line.

Step by step solution

01

Compute the expected return for each portfolio

The expected return of a portfolio is calculated as the weighted average of the returns of the individual assets in the portfolio. If pi represents the weight of the S&P 500 in the portfolio and (1-pi) the weight of T-bills, the expected return would be \(E[R_p]= pi*E[R_{S&P500}]+(1-pi)*E[R_{T-bills}]\). For (i) \(pi=0\), (ii) \(pi=0.25\), (iii) \(pi=0.5\), (iv) \(pi=0.75\) and (v) \(pi=1.0\) calculate the expected returns.
02

Compute the beta for each portfolio

As beta measures the market risk of an asset, the beta of a risk-free asset like T-bills is 0. Hence, the beta of a portfolio is simply the product of the weight of the risky asset (S&P500 in this case) and its beta. Calculate the portfolio beta as \(Beta_p = pi*Beta_{S&P500}\) for each of the pi weights.
03

Establish the trade-off between risk and return

From the calculated expected returns and betas of the portfolios, observe the relationship between risk (as represented by beta) and return. Indicate if an increase in risk is associated with a higher expected return, demonstrating the risk-return trade-off.
04

Relate findings to the Security Market Line

The Security Market Line (SML) depicts the expected return of a security or a portfolio for a given level of market risk (beta). Explain that your findings in the previous steps illustrate this relationship - portfolios with higher betas (more risk) have higher expected returns, as per the SML.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Return
The expected return of a portfolio is like predicting what you might earn on average from an investment. To calculate it, you look at the potential returns from each asset, or piece of the portfolio, and weigh them based on how much of each asset you own. For example, if you have a combination of stocks and bonds, and you know what each might return, you can find a weighted average to see the expected return of the entire portfolio.
This is calculated using the formula:\[ E[R_p] = \pi \times E[R_{S\&P500}] + (1-\pi) \times E[R_{T-bills}] \]Here, \(\pi\) stands for the percentage of your portfolio invested in a higher-risk asset like the S&P 500. The remainder, \(1-\pi\), goes into a safer asset like T-bills. With this approach, you balance the potential gains from riskier investments against the reliability of safer ones.
Beta
Beta is a measure of how sensitive a stock or portfolio is to market movements. Think of it as the heartbeat of market risk. A beta of 1 means the asset tends to move with the market, while a beta greater than 1 indicates more sensitivity – it might rise more than the market in good times and fall more in bad.
For a mixed portfolio, you calculate beta by taking the beta of each asset, multiplied by their weight in the portfolio. This method helps in understanding how much market risk your entire portfolio carries:\[ \text{Beta}_p = \pi \times \text{Beta}_{S\&P500} \]Since treasury bills, being risk-free, have a beta of 0, the portfolio beta effectively depends only on the S&P 500 portion’s beta. This helps investors gauge potential volatility and adjust accordingly.
Risk-Return Tradeoff
The risk-return tradeoff is a fundamental concept that tells us that to achieve higher returns, one must be willing to accept more risk. It’s a balancing act every investor considers: the potential of higher profits against the possibility of losses.
When you look at different portfolios with varying proportions of risk-free and risky assets, you find that as the percentage in a risky asset increases, so does both the expected return and the risk (beta). This reveals how increased risk leads to the potential for higher rewards, following the risk-return tradeoff principle. It underscores the decision-making process in the financial world, where more risk should theoretically bring about higher expected returns.
Security Market Line
The Security Market Line (SML) graphically demonstrates the expected return for various levels of market risk (beta). It's like a financial roadmap showing where each investment might stand in terms of risk versus expected return.
On the SML, each asset is plotted with its beta against its expected return. The line itself represents market equilibrium – meaning the expected returns are consistent with the level of risk, based on the market. From the exercise, the portfolios line up along this line, reaffirming that higher risk (beta) is associated with higher returns. Investors use the SML to assess whether an investment is fairly priced compared to its risk.
Weighted Portfolio
A weighted portfolio involves assigning different weights, or percentages, to different assets in an investment mix. These weights are crucial because they determine how much influence each asset has on the overall portfolio performance.
By adjusting the weights, investors can customize their risk and expected return. For instance, having more weight in a high-return stock may increase potential earnings but also brings more risk. Conversely, increasing the weight in safer assets like T-bills may result in lower volatility but also less profit potential. This flexibility in structuring a portfolio makes it a powerful tool for investors to align their investments with their personal risk tolerance and financial goals. Understanding weighted portfolios helps in crafting a well-balanced investment strategy.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

We Do Bankruptcics is a law firm that specializes in providing advice to firms in financial distress. It prospers in recessions when other firms are struggling. Consequently, its beta is negative, -.2 a. If the interest rate on Treasury bills is 5 percent and the expected return on the market portfolio is 15 percent, what is the expected return on the shares of the law firm according to the CAPM? b. Suppose you invested 90 percent of your wealth in the market portfolio and the remainder of your wealth in the shares in the law firm. What would be the beta of your portfolio?

True or false? Explain or qualify as necessary. a. The expected rate of return on an investment with a beta of 2 is twice as high as the expected rate of return of the market portfolio. b. The contribution of a stock to the risk of a diversified portfolio depends on the market risk of the stock. c. If a stock's expected rate of return plots below the security market line, it is underpriced. d. A diversified portfolio with a beta of 2 is twice as volatile as the market portfolio. e. An undiversified portfolio with a beta of 2 is twice as volatile as the market portfolio.

In light of what you've learned about market versus diversifiable (unique) risks, explain why an insurance company has no problem in selling life insurance to individuals but is reluctant to issue policics insuring against flood damage to residents of coastal areas. Why don't the insurance companies simply charge coastal residents a premium that reflects the actuarial probability of damage from hurricanes and other storms?

A mutual fund manager expects her portfolio to earn a rate of return of 12 percent this year. The beta of her portfolio is .8. If the rate of return available on risk-free assets is 5 percent and you expect the rate of return on the market portfolio to be 15 percent, should you invest in this mutual fund?

Investors expect the market rate of return this year to be 14 percent. A stock with a beta of .8 has an expected rate of return of 12 percent. If the market return this year turns out to be 10 percent, what is your best guess as to the rate of return on the stock?

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