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Find the steady-state vector for the transition matrix. $$ \left[\begin{array}{ll} \frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4} \end{array}\right] $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The steady-state vector for the given transition matrix is \(\displaystyle \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{3}{4} \end{bmatrix}\).

Step by step solution

01

Set up the algebraic equation

Given the 2x2 transition matrix, let's assume the steady-state vector is \(v = \begin{bmatrix}x \\ y\end{bmatrix}\), where x and y are probabilities that will need to be determined. A steady-state vector abides by the rule: \(Mv = v\), where M is the transition matrix and v is the steady-state vector. Using the given transition matrix \(\left[\begin{array}{ll} \frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4}\end{array}\right]\) and the assumed steady-state vector \(\begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix}\), we can set up the equation: \[ \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4} \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix} \]
02

Solve the algebraic equation

Now let's solve the equation created in step 1. \[ \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{3}x + \frac{1}{4}y \\ \frac{2}{3}x + \frac{3}{4}y \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix} \] From this, we get two equations for x and y: Equation 1: \(\frac{1}{3}x + \frac{1}{4}y = x\) Equation 2: \(\frac{2}{3}x + \frac{3}{4}y = y\) We also need to consider the condition that x and y represent probabilities, so their sum should equal 1: Equation 3: \(x+y=1\) Now, we will solve these equations simultaneously. First, let's rearrange Equation 1 for y: \[ \frac{1}{4}y = \frac{2}{3}x \Rightarrow y = 3x \] Substitute the value of y in Equation 3: \(x + 3x = 1 \Rightarrow 4x = 1\) Now, we can solve for x: \[ x = \frac{1}{4} \] Now, substituting x back into the y equation: \[ y = 3 \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \] Thus, the steady-state vector is: \[ v = \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{3}{4} \end{bmatrix} \] So, the steady-state vector for the given transition matrix is \(\displaystyle \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{4} \\ \frac{3}{4} \end{bmatrix}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Transition Matrix
A transition matrix is a key concept in both mathematics and statistics. It can be thought of as a roadmap that describes the transitions between various states in a system. In the context of Markov chains, which are models used to represent systems that transition from one state to another, a transition matrix captures the probabilities of moving from one state to another. This matrix is crucial for understanding the evolution of a system over time. To construct a transition matrix, each element at position \((i, j)\) in the matrix represents the probability of transitioning from state \(i\) to state \(j\). For example, in our problem, the transition matrix is given by:\[ \begin{bmatrix} \frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \ \frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4} \end{bmatrix}\] This means that, for instance, there is a \(\frac{1}{3}\) probability of staying in the first state if it is already there. A key feature of a transition matrix is that each row typically sums up to 1, signifying total certainty of transitioning to one of the states.
Algebraic Equation
Algebraic equations are used to find the steady-state vector in Markov chains. Here, we assume that the state probabilities stabilize as time progresses, and these stabilized probabilities form what is known as the steady-state vector. In the step-by-step solution, an algebraic equation was setup to model this steady-state condition using the equation: \[ Mv = v \] where \(M\) is the transition matrix and \(v\) is the steady-state vector. This equation expresses the principle that when the system reaches a steady-state, further applications of the transition matrix do not change the probabilities. For the exact problem setup:\[\begin{bmatrix}\frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \\frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4}\end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} x \ y \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} x \ y \end{bmatrix}\]This leads to two separate equations which must be solved simultaneously to find \(x\) and \(y\) - the components of the steady-state vector.
Probability Vector
The probability vector is a fundamental component in the study of Markov chains, describing the probabilities of being in different states at a particular time. The sum of the components of a probability vector always equals 1, due to the whole probability theory rule that total probability must sum to 1. In the provided solution, the steady-state probability vector \(v\) is sought. Such vector can also be referred to as a stationary distribution. For the problem at hand, the columns of the transition matrix necessarily determine this vector. For example, after solving the equation system derived from the transition matrix, the steady-state probability vector is:\[\begin{bmatrix}\frac{1}{4} \\frac{3}{4}\end{bmatrix}\]This indicates that in the long run (at steady-state), there is a \(\frac{1}{4}\) probability for one state and a \(\frac{3}{4}\) probability for the other state.
Matrix Multiplication
Matrix multiplication is a mathematical operation that allows us to combine two matrices into a single one. It's a fundamental tool used in many areas, including the calculation of steady-state vectors in Markov processes.The process involves a series of dot products of rows and columns from the matrices involved. In the context of our exercise, the goal of the matrix multiplication is to project the transition matrix onto the steady-state vector:\[\begin{bmatrix}\frac{1}{3} & \frac{1}{4} \\frac{2}{3} & \frac{3}{4}\end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} x \ y \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} x \ y \end{bmatrix}\]This multiplication's result needs to mimic the vector \(v\) itself, hence expressing the equilibrium (steady-state) for the system. This technique is significant for solving linear systems and is widely useful beyond this specific example, being applicable wherever linear transformations need to be studied.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

From data compiled over a 10 -yr period by Manpower, Inc., in a statewide study of married couples in which at least one spouse was working, the following transition matrix was constructed. It gives the transitional probabilities for one and two wage earners among married couples. $$ \begin{array}{llcc} \hline & & {\text { Current State }} \\ { 3 - 4 } & & \begin{array}{c} \text { Wage } \\ \text { Earner } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} 2 \text { Wage } \\ \text { Earners } \end{array} \\ \hline {2}{*} {\text { Next State }} & \text { 1 Wage Earner } & .72 & .12 \\ { 2 - 4 } & \text { 2 Wage Earners } & .28 & .88 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ At the present time, \(48 \%\) of the married couples (in which at least one spouse is working) have one wage earner, and \(52 \%\) have two wage earners. Assuming that this trend \(\mathrm{con}-\) tinues, what will be the distribution of one- and two-wage earner families among married couples in this area \(10 \mathrm{yr}\) from now? Over the long run?

Find the steady-state vector for the transition matrix. $$ \left[\begin{array}{ll} .9 & 1 \\ .1 & 0 \end{array}\right] $$

At a certain university, three bookstores-the University Bookstore, the Campus Bookstore, and the Book Mart-currently serve the university community. From a survey conducted at the beginning of the fall quarter, it was found that the University Bookstore and the Campus Bookstore each had \(40 \%\) of the market, whereas the Book Mart had \(20 \%\) of the market. Each quarter the University Bookstore retains \(80 \%\) of its customers but loses \(10 \%\) to the Campus Bookstore and \(10 \%\) to the Book Mart. The Campus Bookstore retains \(75 \%\) of its customers but loses \(10 \%\) to the University Bookstore and \(15 \%\) to the Book Mart. The Book Mart retains \(90 \%\) of its customers but loses \(5 \%\) to the University Bookstore and \(5 \%\) to the Campus Bookstore. If these trends continue, what percentage of the market will each store have at the beginning of the second quarter? The third quarter?

Find the expected payoff \(E\) of each game whose payoff matrix and strategies \(P\) and \(Q\) (for the row and column players, respectively) are given. \(\left[\begin{array}{rr}3 & 1 \\ -4 & 2\end{array}\right], P=\left[\begin{array}{ll}\frac{1}{2} & \frac{1}{2}\end{array}\right], Q=\left[\begin{array}{l}\frac{3}{5} \\ \frac{2}{5}\end{array}\right]\)

Roland's Barber Shop and Charley's Barber Shop are both located in the business district of a certain town. Roland estimates that if he raises the price of a haircut by \(\$ 1\), he will increase his market share by \(3 \%\) if Charley raises his price by the same amount; he will decrease his market share by \(1 \%\) if Charley holds his price at the same level; and he will decrease his market share by \(3 \%\) if Charley lowers his price by \(\$ 1 .\) If Roland keeps his price the same, he will increase his market share by \(2 \%\) if Charley raises his price by \(\$ 1\); he will keep the same market share if Charley holds the price at the same level; and he will decrease his market share by \(2 \%\) if Charley lowers his price by \(\$ 1\). Finally, if Roland lowers the price he charges by \(\$ 1\), his market share will increase by \(5 \%\) if Charley raises his prices by the same amount; he will increase his market share by \(2 \%\) if Charley holds his price at the same level; and he will increase his market share by \(1 \%\) if Charley lowers his price by \(\$ 1\). a. Construct the payoff matrix for this game. b. Show that the game is strictly determined. c. If neither party is willing to lower the price he charges for a haircut, show that both should keep their present price structures.

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