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The daily earnings \(X\) of an employee who works on a commission basis are given by the following probability distribution. Find the employee's expected earnings. $$ \begin{array}{lllll} \hline \boldsymbol{x} \text { (in \$) } & 0 & 25 & 50 & 75 \\ \hline \boldsymbol{P}(\boldsymbol{X}=\boldsymbol{x}) & .07 & .12 & .17 & .14 \\\ \hline \boldsymbol{x}(\text { in \$) } & 100 & 125 & 150 & \\ \hline \boldsymbol{P}(\boldsymbol{X}=\boldsymbol{x}) & .28 & .18 & .04 & \\ \hline \end{array} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The employee's expected daily earnings are \(78.5\) dollars.

Step by step solution

01

Identify values of x and their corresponding probabilities P(X=x)

We have the following values for x and their corresponding probabilities: x = [0, 25, 50, 75, 100, 125, 150] (in dollars) P(X=x) = [0.07, 0.12, 0.17, 0.14, 0.28, 0.18, 0.04]
02

Multiply each x by its corresponding probability

Multiply each value of x by its corresponding probability P(X=x): 0 * 0.07 = 0 25 * 0.12 = 3 50 * 0.17 = 8.5 75 * 0.14 = 10.5 100 * 0.28 = 28 125 * 0.18 = 22.5 150 * 0.04 = 6
03

Find the sum of the products obtained in step 2

Add all the products obtained in Step 2: 0 + 3 + 8.5 + 10.5 + 28 + 22.5 + 6 = 78.5
04

Calculate the expected earnings

Finally, the expected earnings of the employee are: E[X] = 78.5 dollars So, the employee's expected earnings per day are $78.5.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Distribution
In statistics, the concept of a probability distribution plays a crucial role in understanding how outcomes are spread across various possibilities. A probability distribution assigns a probability to every possible value of a random variable, ensuring that these probabilities collectively sum up to 1. For example, considering the daily earnings of an employee from our problem, each dollar amount is associated with a probability based on realistic outcomes, like $0 earning having a 0.07 probability.
  • A probability distribution helps us determine both possible outcomes and their likelihoods.
  • In our table, each earning amount, say $25 or $150, is linked to probabilities such as 0.12 and 0.04, respectively.
  • The probabilities indicate how likely each scenario is expected to occur.
Understanding the probability distribution allows us to predict and analyze the potential earnings the employee might make on any given day. This understanding is essential when one wishes to delve deeper into forecasting and strategic planning based on likely scenarios.
Discrete Random Variables
The term 'discrete random variables' refers to variables that can take on a limited number of distinct values. Unlike continuous variables, like the temperature, which can have virtually any value, discrete random variables in our problem, such as daily earnings, are confined to specific amounts like $0, $25, or $150.
  • Discrete random variables have separate, distinct values, which in this case are the amounts of money earned.
  • These variables are called "random" since they encapsulate outcomes that are governed by chance, such as the income variability of a commission-based employee.
  • Each value is associated with a likelihood, described by the probability distribution.
By examining the discrete random variables for the employee’s earnings, we can better understand the employee's income potential and variability, helping us gauge risk and assess financial expectations more accurately.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis involves methods of collecting, reviewing, and interpreting data to reveal significant patterns and trends. In assessing an employee’s earnings through expected value and probability distributions, statistical analysis facilitates clearer decision-making and financial planning.
  • The concept of expected value, central to this analysis, provides a summarized average outcome, helping anticipate future occurrences based on past probabilities and outcomes.
  • In our example, the expected earnings of $78.5 were calculated by multiplying each earning value by its probability and summing these products.
  • This method offers a representation of the 'mean' or average expected day-to-day earnings, a vital insight for budgeting and forecasting.
A comprehensive statistical analysis optimally utilizes data to form practical interpretations related to income patterns, providing compelling insights for individuals relying on variable earnings. This approach empowers users with the knowledge to make informed decisions that align with their financial and operational goals.

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