Chapter 8: Problem 18
Suppose \(X\) is a normal random variable with \(\mu=380\) and \(\sigma=20 .\) Find
the value of
a. \(P(X<405)\)
b. \(P(400
Short Answer
Expert verified
The probabilities for the given normal random variable with μ = 380 and σ = 20 are as follows:
a) \(P(X < 405) \approx 0.8944\)
b) \(P(400 < X < 430) \approx 0.1525\)
c) \(P(X > 400) \approx 0.1587\)
Step by step solution
01
Understand the properties of a normal random variable
A normal random variable has a bell-shaped continuous distribution, with its mean (μ) equal to 0 and standard deviation (σ) equal to 1. In this situation, the random variable X is normally distributed with mean (μ) = 380 and standard deviation (σ) = 20.
02
Finding the z-score
In order to find probabilities associated with any normally distributed random variable, we must first convert the given data points into z-scores, using the formula:
z = (X - μ) / σ,
where:
X = the data point we are interested in,
μ = the mean of the distribution,
σ = the standard deviation of the distribution.
03
Find the probability using the standard normal distribution table
Once we have the z-score, we can use the standard normal distribution table (also known as the z-table) to find the probabilities. The z-table contains the cumulative probabilities P(Z ≤ z) for different z-values.
Now, we will find the required probabilities one by one according to the exercise:
a. P(X < 405)
04
Step 4a: Calculate the z-score for X = 405
z = (405 - 380) / 20 = 25 / 20 = 1.25
05
Step 5a: Find P(X < 405) using the z-score
We will look for P(Z < 1.25) in the standard normal distribution table. The value we find is approximately 0.8944. So, P(X < 405) = P(Z < 1.25) ≈ 0.8944.
b. P(400 < X < 430)
06
Step 4b: Calculate the z-scores for X = 400 and X = 430
For X = 400: z = (400 - 380) / 20 = 1
For X = 430: z = (430 - 380) / 20 = 2.5
07
Step 5b: Find P(400 < X < 430) using the z-scores
We will look for P(Z < 1) and P(Z < 2.5) in the standard normal distribution table. The values we find are approximately 0.8413 and 0.9938, respectively. So, P(400 < X < 430) = P(1 < Z < 2.5) = P(Z < 2.5) - P(Z < 1) ≈ 0.9938 - 0.8413 = 0.1525.
c. P(X > 400)
08
Step 4c: Calculate the z-score for X = 400
z = (400 - 380) / 20 = 1 (already calculated in part b).
09
Step 5c: Find P(X > 400) using the z-score
We will look for P(Z > 1) in the standard normal distribution table. Since the table only gives probabilities for P(Z < z), we have to find the complement probability: P(Z > 1) = 1 - P(Z < 1). From the table, P(Z < 1) is approximately 0.8413. So, P(X > 400) = P(Z > 1) ≈ 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Z-score Calculation
Calculating a z-score is the first step when dealing with problems involving normal distribution. A z-score tells you how many standard deviations a particular data point is from the mean. This can be useful in determining how unusual or typical a data point is within a given distribution. To calculate a z-score, use the formula: \( z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
- \(X\) refers to the data point you are examining.
- \(\mu\) is the mean of the distribution.
- \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution describes how probabilities are distributed over the possible values of a random variable. Normal distribution is a specific kind of probability distribution that is characterized by its bell-shaped curve.
In a probability distribution:
In a probability distribution:
- The mean is the measure of central tendency, giving the center of the distribution.
- The standard deviation measures the dispersion or spread of the distribution.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a special type of normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. It's often used as a reference point for measuring other normal distributions.
Why do we use this? Because the standard normal distribution has a consistent z-table, a tool used to find probabilities associated with z-scores. Once you have a z-score, you can consult the z-table to determine the probability of the data point occurring within the standard normal distribution.
For example, if the z-score of a data point is 1.25, you'd look it up in the z-table to find the probability \( P(Z < 1.25) \), which can give important insights into where a data point lies in relation to the entire distribution. This makes the standard normal distribution a convenient tool for analyzing data across various distributions.
Why do we use this? Because the standard normal distribution has a consistent z-table, a tool used to find probabilities associated with z-scores. Once you have a z-score, you can consult the z-table to determine the probability of the data point occurring within the standard normal distribution.
For example, if the z-score of a data point is 1.25, you'd look it up in the z-table to find the probability \( P(Z < 1.25) \), which can give important insights into where a data point lies in relation to the entire distribution. This makes the standard normal distribution a convenient tool for analyzing data across various distributions.
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability refers to the probability that a random variable falls within a particular range. For a normal distribution, it's the probability that a variable is less than or equal to a given value, denoted as \( P(X \leq x) \).
When working with z-scores, cumulative probability involves determining the area under the curve to the left of a specific z-score. This is important because the standard normal distribution table typically provides cumulative probabilities.
When working with z-scores, cumulative probability involves determining the area under the curve to the left of a specific z-score. This is important because the standard normal distribution table typically provides cumulative probabilities.
- For \( P(X < 405) \), \( P(Z < 1.25) \) gives a cumulative probability of approximately 0.8944.
- If you want the probability over a range like \( P(400 < X < 430) \), you calculate the difference between two cumulative probabilities: \( P(Z < 2.5) - P(Z < 1) \).
- For \( P(X > 400) \), use the complement rule: \( P(Z > 1) = 1 - P(Z < 1) \).