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If \(X\) is a random variable, what is the difference between a sample mean of measurements of \(X\) and the expected value of \(X ?\) Illustrate by means of an example.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sample mean is the average of observed outcomes, while the expected value is a weighted average of all possible values of a random variable. The main difference is that the sample mean is based on actual data from a sample, while the expected value is based on a theoretical calculation using all possible outcomes. For example, if we throw a die a finite number of times, the sample mean might not equal the expected value, but if we could throw the die infinitely, the sample mean would approach the expected value of 3.5.

Step by step solution

01

Defining Sample Mean and Expected Value

Sample mean is the average of the observed outcomes. It is practically computed as the sum of the observed outcomes divided by the number of outcomes. The expected value, also known as the population mean, is the long-term average in a random distribution. In other words, it is a weighted average of all possible values of a random variable, where each value is weighted by its probability of occurrence.
02

Demonstrating the Calculation of Sample Mean and Expected Value

Let’s assume a random variable \(X\) that represents the outcome when a die is thrown. There are 6 outcomes, each equally likely with a probability of \(1/6\). For sample mean, consider one case where we roll the die 5 times and the outcomes are 3, 4, 2, 6 and 1. The sample mean would be the sum of these outcomes divided by 5. i.e. \( (3+4+2+6+1)/5 = 3.2 \) For expected value, we consider all possible outcomes and their respective probabilities. Since each outcome from 1 to 6 has a probability of \(1/6\), the expected value is computed as \( E[X] = 1*(1/6) + 2*(1/6) + 3*(1/6) + 4*(1/6) + 5*(1/6) + 6*(1/6) = 3.5 \)
03

Understanding the Difference

The difference between sample mean and expected value is that sample mean is based on actual data from a sample, while the expected value is based on theoretical calculation considering all possible outcomes. In practice, the sample mean might vary from one sample to another and won't necessarily equal to the expected value, though they may get closer as the sample size increases. So, in our example, if we throw the die only a few times, the sample mean will not necessarily be close to 3.5 but if we could throw the die infinite times and calculate the mean, it will get closer and closer to 3.5, the expected value.

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