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Five observations taken for two variables follow. $$\begin{array}{r|rrrrr} x_{i} & 4 & 6 & 11 & 3 & 16 \\ \hline y_{i} & 50 & 50 & 40 & 60 & 30 \end{array}$$ a. Develop a scatter diagram with \(x\) on the horizontal axis. b. What does the scatter diagram developed in part (a) indicate about the relationship between the two variables? c. Compute and interpret the sample covariance. d. Compute and interpret the sample correlation coefficient.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The variables have a strong negative linear relationship.

Step by step solution

01

Creating the Scatter Diagram

To create a scatter diagram, plot the points \((x_i, y_i)\). Each \(x_i\) value is paired with its corresponding \(y_i\) value.1. Point 1: \((4, 50)\)2. Point 2: \((6, 50)\)3. Point 3: \((11, 40)\)4. Point 4: \((3, 60)\)5. Point 5: \((16, 30)\)On a Cartesian plane, \(x_i\) is on the horizontal axis and \(y_i\) is on the vertical axis. Plot these pairs to visualize the relationship.
02

Analyzing the Scatter Diagram

Observe the pattern of the plotted points. Generally, see if they tend to rise, fall or cluster in a way that indicates a relationship between \(x\) and \(y\). A downward pattern would suggest a negative relationship, while an upward pattern indicates a positive relationship.
03

Calculate the Mean for x and y

Compute the mean for \(x\) and \(y\):\[\bar{x} = \frac{4 + 6 + 11 + 3 + 16}{5} = 8\]\[\bar{y} = \frac{50 + 50 + 40 + 60 + 30}{5} = 46\]
04

Compute the Sample Covariance

The formula for sample covariance is:\[\text{Cov}(x, y) = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})\]Substituting the values:\[\text{Cov}(x, y) = \frac{1}{4} \left[(4-8)(50-46) + (6-8)(50-46) + (11-8)(40-46) + (3-8)(60-46) + (16-8)(30-46)\right]\]Compute each term, then sum them up to find the covariance:\[= \frac{1}{4} ([-4 \cdot 4] + [-2 \cdot 4] + [3 \cdot -6] + [-5 \cdot 14] + [8 \cdot -16])= \frac{1}{4} (-16 - 8 - 18 - 70 - 128)= \frac{-240}{4}= -60\]
05

Interpret the Sample Covariance

The sample covariance is -60, which indicates a negative relationship between \(x\) and \(y\). As \(x\) increases, \(y\) tends to decrease.
06

Compute the Sample Correlation Coefficient

The formula for the correlation coefficient \(r\) is:\[r = \frac{\text{Cov}(x, y)}{s_x s_y}\]Where \(s_x\) and \(s_y\) are the standard deviations of \(x\) and \(y\) respectively:\[s_x = \sqrt{\frac{1}{4} ((4-8)^2 + (6-8)^2 + (11-8)^2 + (3-8)^2 + (16-8)^2 )}\approx 4.95\]\[s_y = \sqrt{\frac{1}{4} ((50-46)^2 + (50-46)^2 + (40-46)^2 + (60-46)^2 + (30-46)^2 )}\approx 12.49\]\[r = \frac{-60}{4.95 \cdot 12.49} \approx -0.973\]
07

Interpret the Sample Correlation Coefficient

The sample correlation coefficient, \(r \approx -0.973\), indicates a strong negative linear relationship between \(x\) and \(y\). This means that as \(x\) increases, \(y\) tends to decrease significantly.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Scatter Diagram
A scatter diagram is a visual representation used to identify the relationship between two variables. It is a simple yet powerful tool in statistics to observe trends or patterns that might exist between the variables. In this exercise, the two variables in question are \(x\) and \(y\). By plotting each pair of \((x_i, y_i)\) on a Cartesian plane, we lay out the positioning of these variable pairs.

The horizontal axis (often the \(x\)-axis) represents the variable \(x\), while the vertical axis (the \(y\)-axis) represents\(y\). Each plotted point corresponds to a pair of \((x, y)\) values. For instance, if you plot the pairs: (4, 50), (6, 50), (11, 40), (3, 60), and (16, 30), you'll likely observe their relative positions on this graph. By looking at the chart, one can infer whether there is an upward, downward, or no discernible trend. An upward trend suggests the positive relationship; a downward trend indicates a negative relationship; scattered points with no clear direction suggest no correlation. For our case, through plotting and analyzing, one would see a pattern that might hint at a negative slope, indicating a potential negative correlation between \(x\) and \(y\).
  • Scatter diagrams can reveal relationships such as linear, non-linear, or no apparent trend at all.
  • Background grids on the diagram can help in assessing the slope and direction of the relationship.
  • This visualization also aids in detecting outliers that might affect the relationship between the variables.
Sample Covariance
Sample covariance provides a quantifiable measure to assess the direction of a linear relationship between two variables. This statistic tells us how much two variables change together, signifying a pattern or mutual variance. To calculate sample covariance, we use the formula:
\[\text{Cov}(x, y) = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})\]

Here, \(\bar{x}\) and \(\bar{y}\) are the means of \(x\) and \(y\) respectively. For our data, calculating these gives us a covariance of \(-60\). This negative value indicates a negative relationship between the variables \(x\) and \(y\). In simpler terms, as \(x\) increases, \(y\) tends to decrease.
  • A positive covariance implies that \(x\) and \(y\) increase together.
  • A negative covariance signifies that when one variable goes up, the other tends to go down.
  • A covariance close to zero suggests no linear relationship.
The magnitude of covariance isn't standardized, making it less intuitive to interpret compared to correlation coefficient. It gives us the direction but not the strength of the relationship.
Sample Correlation Coefficient
The sample correlation coefficient, often denoted as \(r\), quantifies both the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. It is a normalized version of covariance, ranging between -1 and 1. Calculating \(r\) involves the formula:
\[r = \frac{\text{Cov}(x, y)}{s_x s_y}\]

Where \(s_x\) and \(s_y\) are the standard deviations of \(x\) and \(y\). For our data, with previously calculated values, \(r \approx -0.973\). This close to -1 value strongly indicates a robust negative linear relationship, implying a pronounced inverse relation as \(x\) rises, \(y\) generally declines.

The correlation coefficient provides several insights:
  • Values of \(r\) close to 1 or -1 suggest a strong relationship, be it positive or negative.
  • A value of 0 implies no linear relationship.
  • Sign (+ or -) indicates the direction of the relationship: + for a positive trend, - for a negative trend.
  • Correlations tell about linear associations but may not imply causation.
This simple yet comprehensive statistic allows for objective comparisons across different data sets and is fundamental in predictive analysis and statistical modeling.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

How do grocery costs compare across the country? Using a market basket of 10 items including meat, milk, bread, eggs, coffee, potatoes, cereal, and orange juice, Where to Retire magazine calculated the cost of the market basket in six cities and in six retirement areas across the country (Where to Retire, November/December 2003 ). The data with market basket cost to the nearest dollar are as follows: $$\begin{array}{lclr} \text { City } & \text { cost } & \text { Retirement Area } & \text { cost } \\\ \text { Buffalo, NY } & \$ 33 & \text { Biloxi-Gulfport, MS } & \$ 29 \\ \text { Des Moines, IA } & 27 & \text { Asheville, NC } & 32 \\ \text { Hartford, CT } & 32 & \text { Flagstaff, AZ } & 32 \\ \text { Los Angeles, CA } & 38 & \text { Hilton Head, SC } & 34 \\ \text { Miami, FL } & 36 & \text { Fort Myers, FL } & 34 \\ \text { Pittsburgh, PA } & 32 & \text { Santa Fe, NM } & 31 \end{array}$$ a. Compute the mean, variance, and standard deviation for the sample of cities and the sample of retirement areas. b. What observations can be made based on the two samples?

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