/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 32 If 25 people are randomly select... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

If 25 people are randomly selected, find the probability that no 2 of them have the same birthday. Ignore leap years.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is \( \approx 0.431 \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the problem

We need to find the probability that 25 people have unique birthdays from 365 possible days.
02

Calculate the total number of possible birthday combinations

Since each of the 25 people can be born on any of the 365 days, the total number of possible combinations is \(365^{25} \).
03

Calculate the number of favorable outcomes

The number of ways to assign 25 unique birthdays from 365 days can be calculated by arranging 25 unique days in 25 slots out of 365 days. This is given by: \( P(365, 25) = 365 \times 364 \times 363 \times \times \dots \times (365 - 24) \)
04

Find the probability

The probability that no 2 people have the same birthday is the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of outcomes: \( P = \frac{365 \times 364 \times 363 \times \dots \times 341}{365^{25}} \)
05

Simplify the expression

Simplify the fraction to find the probability value:

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

The Birthday Problem
The Birthday Problem is a famous and intriguing problem in probability theory. It tackles the question of how likely it is for at least two people in a group to share the same birthday. For our exercise, we are asked to find the probability that no two people in a group of 25 have the same birthday.
Understanding this helps us dive into probability concepts and illuminates how counterintuitive probability can be. Despite the large number of possible birthdays (365 days), the chance for duplicate birthdays increases quickly as more people are added to the group.
In our problem, we consider 25 people and check the likelihood that all have different birthdays among the 365 days in a year, disregarding leap years for simplicity.
Combinatorial Probability
Combinatorial probability helps us understand the likelihood of complex events by counting combinations and permutations.
The goal in our problem is to count the favorable and total outcomes. We use permutations because the order in which birthdays are assigned matters. Let's follow the steps:
  • Total Outcomes: Each person can have one out of 365 possible birthday, hence the total combinations for 25 people are \(365^{25}\).
  • Favorable Outcomes: To ensure all birthdays are unique, the first person can have 365 choices, the next person only 364 choices, then 363, and so on. This is represented as \( P(365, 25) = 365 \times 364 \times 363 \times \ldots \times 341\).
Finally, we divide the number of favorable outcomes by the total outcomes to get the desired probability, ensuring our result represents the likelihood of no repetitions in the selected birthdays.
Unique Outcomes
Unique outcomes refer to scenarios where each event must differ from others. In our birthday problem, this means that for 25 people, each person must have a different birthday. Calculating this requires understanding both the deterministic and probabilistic components.

To derive the probability, we start by considering the total ways to assign birthdays without any restrictions (\(365^{25}\)). This gives us the potential for repetition.
Next, we determine the permutations where all birthdays are unique (\(365 \times 364 \times \ldots \times 341\)). This calculation covers each slot being filled by a distinct day.
Finally, the ratio of these unique permutations (favorable outcomes) to total permutations (all possible outcomes) helps define the probability. This simplifies to:

\[P = \frac{365 \times 364 \times 363 \times \ldots \times 341}{365^{25}}\].
In practice, calculating factorials may be computationally intensive, but they provide a precise way to understand unique outcomes in probability theory.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Find the probability. In China, where many couples were allowed to have only one child, the probability of a baby being a boy was \(0.545 .\) Among six randomly selected births in China, what is the probability that at least one of them is a girl? Could this system continue to work indefinitely? (Phasing out of this policy was begun in 2015.)

A classical probability problem involves a king who wanted to increase the proportion of women by decreeing that after a mother gives birth to a son, she is prohibited from having any more children. The king reasons that some families will have just one boy, whereas other families will have a few girls and one boy, so the proportion of girls will be increased. Is his reasoning correct? Will the proportion of girls increase?

A study of the effect of seatbelt use in head-on passenger car collisions found that drivers using a seatbelt had a \(64.1 \%\) survival rate, while drivers not using a seatbelt had a \(41.5 \%\) survival rate. If seatbelts have no effect on survival rate, there is less than a \(0.0001\) chance of getting these results (based on data from "Mortality Reduction with Air Bag and Seat Belt Use in Head-on Passenger Car Collisions," by Crandall, Olson, Sklar, American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 153, No. 3 ). What do you conclude?

When selecting one of your Facebook Friends, let event \(F=\) female and let event \(H=\) high school classmate. Use your own words to translate the notation \(P(H \mid F)\) into a verbal statement.

Express all probabilities as fractions. In the game of blackjack played with one deck, a player is initially dealt 2 different cards from the 52 different cards in the deck. A winning "blackjack" hand is won by getting 1 of the 4 aces and 1 of 16 other cards worth 10 points. The two cards can be in any order. Find the probability of being dealt a blackjack hand. What approximate percentage of hands are winning blackjack hands?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.