/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 29 Express all probabilities as fra... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Express all probabilities as fractions. As of this writing, the Mega Millions lottery is run in 44 states. Winning the jackpot requires that you select the correct five different numbers between 1 and 75 and, in a separate drawing, you must also select the correct single number between 1 and 15 . Find the probability of winning the jackpot. How does the result compare to the probability of being struck by lightning in a year, which the National Weather Service estimates to be \(1 / 960,000\) ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of winning the jackpot is \( \frac{1}{258,890,850} \), which is much lower than the probability of being struck by lightning, \( \frac{1}{960,000} \).

Step by step solution

01

- Determine the number of ways to choose the five different numbers

To find the number of ways to choose 5 different numbers out of 75, use the combination formula: \[ C(n, k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \] Here, n is 75 and k is 5. So, \[ C(75, 5) = \frac{75!}{5!(75-5)!} = \frac{75!}{5! \cdot 70!} \].
02

- Calculate the combinations

Calculate \( C(75, 5) \): \[ C(75, 5) = \frac{75 \cdot 74 \cdot 73 \cdot 72 \cdot 71}{5 \cdot 4 \cdot 3 \cdot 2 \cdot 1} = 17,259,390 \].
03

- Determine the number of ways to choose the single number

The number of ways to choose the single number between 1 and 15 is 15.
04

- Calculate the total number of possible outcomes

Multiply the two results obtained: \[ 17,259,390 \times 15 = 258,890,850 \].
05

- Calculate the probability of winning the jackpot

The probability of winning the jackpot is the reciprocal of the total number of possible outcomes: \[ \text{Probability} = \frac{1}{258,890,850} \].
06

- Compare with the probability of being struck by lightning

The probability of being struck by lightning in a year is \( \frac{1}{960,000} \), which is significantly higher than the probability of winning the jackpot, \( \frac{1}{258,890,850} \).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinations
Understanding combinations is crucial in calculating probabilities where the order of selection does not matter. A combination is a way to select items from a larger pool, without caring about the order in which they are picked. It can be calculated using the formula: \( C(n, k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \) Where: * \( n \) = total number of items * \( k \) = number of items to pick Here's how it works: * Factorial (\( ! \)) represents the product of all positive integers up to that number. For example, 5! = 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 120. In our exercise, we used this to determine the number of ways to choose 5 out of 75 numbers. By substituting \( n = 75 \) and \( k = 5 \), we calculated: \( C(75, 5) = \frac{75!}{5! \cdot 70!} = 17,259,390 \).
Lottery Probability
To find the probability of winning a lottery, we need to consider all possible outcomes. Here, it involves choosing 5 correct numbers out of 75 and a separate single number from 1 to 15. After calculating the combinations of choosing 5 numbers (17,259,390 ways), we find the ways to choose the additional number (15 ways). The total number of outcomes in this lottery becomes: \( 17,259,390 \times 15 = 258,890,850 \). Finally, the probability of winning the lottery is the inverse of the total number of possible outcomes: \( \frac{1}{258,890,850} \).
Risk Comparison
Comparing probabilities can provide insight into how likely different events are. In our example, we compare the lottery probability to the probability of being struck by lightning. The probability of being struck by lightning in a year is typically \( \frac{1}{960,000} \), which is much higher than the lottery probability of \( \frac{1}{258,890,850} \). This means you are far more likely to be struck by lightning than to win the jackpot. While both probabilities are small, the difference illustrates how some events are extraordinarily unlikely compared to others. Understanding these comparisons aids in comprehending risk in everyday life.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probability involves determining how many favorable outcomes exist versus the total number of possible outcomes. The general formula is: \( \text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Possible Outcomes}} \). For the lottery, the favorable outcome is winning, which means selecting the correct set of numbers. The total possible outcomes were earlier computed as 258,890,850. Therefore, the probability of winning is simply: \( \frac{1}{258,890,850} \). This very small fraction shows just how unlikely it is to win. Remember, calculating combination and understanding the total outcomes are fundamental steps in determining probabilities for complex events.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Involve redundancy. It is generally recognized that it is wise to back up computer data. Assume that there is a \(3 \%\) rate of disk drive failure in a year (based on data from various sources, including lifehacker.com). a. If you store all of your computer data on a single hard disk drive, what is the probability that the drive will fail during a year? b. If all of your computer data are stored on a hard disk drive with a copy stored on a second hard disk drive, what is the probability that both drives will fail during a year? c. If copies of all of your computer data are stored on three independent hard disk drives, what is the probability that all three will fail during a year?

Express all probabilities as fractions. In the game of blackjack played with one deck, a player is initially dealt 2 different cards from the 52 different cards in the deck. A winning "blackjack" hand is won by getting 1 of the 4 aces and 1 of 16 other cards worth 10 points. The two cards can be in any order. Find the probability of being dealt a blackjack hand. What approximate percentage of hands are winning blackjack hands?

Find the probability and answer the questions. MicroSort's XSORT gender selection technique was designed to increase the likelihood that a baby will be a girl. At one point before clinical trials of the XSORT gender selection technique were discontinued, 945 births consisted of 879 baby girls and 66 baby boys (based on data from the Genetics \& IVF Institute). Based on these results, what is the probability of a girl born to a couple using MicroSort's XSORT method? Does it appear that the technique is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl?

Find the probability. In China, where many couples were allowed to have only one child, the probability of a baby being a boy was \(0.545 .\) Among six randomly selected births in China, what is the probability that at least one of them is a girl? Could this system continue to work indefinitely? (Phasing out of this policy was begun in 2015.)

A study of the effect of seatbelt use in head-on passenger car collisions found that drivers using a seatbelt had a \(64.1 \%\) survival rate, while drivers not using a seatbelt had a \(41.5 \%\) survival rate. If seatbelts have no effect on survival rate, there is less than a \(0.0001\) chance of getting these results (based on data from "Mortality Reduction with Air Bag and Seat Belt Use in Head-on Passenger Car Collisions," by Crandall, Olson, Sklar, American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 153, No. 3 ). What do you conclude?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.