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You have just received notification that you have won the \(\$ 2\) million first prize in the Centennial Lottery. However, the prize will be awarded on your 100 th birthday (assuming you're around to collect), 80 years from now. What is the present value of your windfall if the appropriate discount rate is 11 percent?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The present value of the \$2 million prize to be awarded 80 years from now, with an 11% discount rate, is approximately \$3,583.13.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Present Value Formula

The present value (PV) formula is used to determine the present value of a future amount of money based on an assumed discount rate. The formula is as follows: \[PV = \frac{FV}{(1 + r)^n}\] where, PV is the present value, FV is the future value, r is the discount rate, and n is the number of periods.
02

Identify the Given Values

In this exercise, we are given the following values: FV (future value of the prize) = \(\$2,000,000\) r (discount rate) = 11% = 0.11 n (number of periods) = 80 years
03

Apply the Present Value Formula

Now, let's apply the formula to find out the present value of the prize: \[PV = \frac{\$2,000,000}{(1 + 0.11)^{80}}\]
04

Calculate the Present Value

Perform the calculations using the formula: \[PV = \frac{\$2,000,000}{(1.11)^{80}}\] First, calculate the value of (1.11)^80: \(1.11^{80} = 558,078.8582\) Now, divide the future value by this number: \[PV = \frac{\$2,000,000}{558,078.8582}\] \[PV = 3,583.1322\] So, the present value of the \(\$2\) million prize awarded 80 years from now, with an 11% discount rate, is approximately \(\$3,583.13\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discount Rate
When you hear the term 'discount rate,' it might bring to mind a coupon or a sale. But in the world of finance, the discount rate plays a very different role. It is the interest rate used to determine the present value of future cash flows. This rate essentially represents the rate of return one could expect if they invested the money elsewhere. Hence, it is crucial in calculating the present value of future sums of money.

The discount rate is expressed as a percentage. In our lottery prize example, the discount rate is 11%. That's quite high! This means that money today is worth more than money in the future by a relatively significant margin. The larger the discount rate, the less today's value of future money will be.
  • High discount rate = Lower present value
  • Low discount rate = Higher present value
So, when we apply the discount rate of 11% to our calculations, we find that the present value of the $2 million prize awarded 80 years from now diminishes substantially.
Future Value
The future value (FV) is a financial concept that represents the amount of money an investment will grow to over a set period at a specified interest rate. In the context of the lottery prize example, the future value is the awarded prize of $2 million.

Future value calculations are crucial for planning and decision-making, allowing individuals or institutions to understand how today's investments can expand into substantial sums over time. However, knowing the future value doesn't give us the whole picture; to make decisions today, understanding how much a future payout is worth in today's terms is essential.
  • Future Value can be specified in today's money terms
  • Helps with financial forecasting and goal setting
In our case, although the future value is $2 million, under the 11% discount rate spread across 80 years, it equates to a present value much, much smaller, reflecting the importance of the time value of money.
Time Value of Money
The idea behind the time value of money (TVM) is one of the fundamental principles in finance, emphasizing that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future. This concept underlines all present value calculations, including our lottery scenario.

Time value of money incorporates factors such as inflation, risk, and opportunity cost. It explains why we prefer to have money now rather than later, simply because money available now can be invested to earn more money over time. In our example, the $2 million received 80 years from now is not the same as $2 million available today due to this principle.
  • Inflation erodes purchasing power over time
  • Opportunity cost of investing today
  • Risk associated with waiting for future payments
Considering these aspects helps you see why it's important to calculate the present value of future funds, hence why the lottery winnings significantly reduce to approximately $3,583 when received today at an 11% discount rate.

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