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91Ó°ÊÓ

For each of the following, state whether a one-proportion \(z\) -test or a two- proportion \(z\) -test would be appropriate, and name the population(s). a. A polling agency takes a random sample of voters in California to determine if a ballot proposition will pass. b. A researcher asks a random sample of residents from coastal states and a random sample of residents of non-coastal states whether they favor increased offshore oil drilling. The researcher wants to determine if there is a difference in the proportion of residents who support off-shore drilling in the two regions.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Scenario A: Appropriate test-One-proportion z-test, Population-Voters in California. Scenario B: Appropriate test-Two-proportion z-test, Populations-Residents from coastal states and residents from non-coastal states.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Test and Population for Scenario A

In the first scenario, a polling agency is observing a single population (voters in California), thus the appropriate statistical test would be a one-proportion z-test. The population consists of voters in California.
02

Identify the Test and Population for Scenario B

In the second scenario, a researcher is observing two populations (residents from coastal states and residents from non-coastal states) and comparing their proportions on the same characteristic, thus the appropriate statistical test would be a two-proportion z-test. The populations consist of residents from coastal states and residents from non-coastal states.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-Proportion Z-Test
The one-proportion z-test is a tool statisticians use to determine if an observed proportion is significantly different from a known or hypothesized proportion. For instance, a polling agency might want to understand if the proportion of voters in favor of a ballot proposition in California differs from the proportion they expected.

Using sample data, the test calculates a z-score which indicates how many standard deviations the observed proportion is from the expected proportion. If the z-score falls outside the range of typical values—typically judged by a confidence level, like 95% or 99%—the difference is considered statistically significant.

This test requires the assumption that the sample is adequately large and drawn randomly, which helps ensure the results are reliable and can be generalized to the entire population of interest.
Two-Proportion Z-Test
When a study involves comparing proportions from two different populations, the two-proportion z-test steps onto the scene. It assesses whether the difference in proportions is statistically significant. Taking the scenario provided, a researcher could use this method to compare the support for offshore oil drilling between coastal and non-coastal residents.

The calculation process involves determining the standard error of the difference in proportions and subsequently computing a z-score. The larger this z-score, the more likely it is that any difference observed is not due to random chance but rather is an actual distinction between the two groups.

It's crucial with the two-proportion z-test, as with the one-proportion version, to use large enough and random samples for the comparison to have meaning and applicability to the broader populations.
Statistical Hypothesis Testing
At the heart of both one-proportion and two-proportion z-tests lies the concept of statistical hypothesis testing. This method allows researchers to make inferences about a population based on sample data. The process involves setting up two opposing hypotheses: the null hypothesis, which generally suggests that there is no effect or no difference; and the alternative hypothesis, indicating the presence of an effect or a difference.

After determining the appropriate test and calculating test statistics (like a z-score), researchers then consult a probability distribution to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative. The final step involves interpreting these results in the context of the research question to draw meaningful conclusions.

Hypothesis testing serves as a cornerstone of many scientific endeavors, providing a structured approach to decision-making with data.
Population Comparison
In research that encompasses population comparison, the aim is to understand how different populations stack up against each other regarding specific characteristics. The statistical tests chosen—whether one-proportion or two-proportion z-tests—serve as powerful tools for these comparisons.

Accurate comparisons rely on clear definitions of populations, like 'California voters' or 'coastal vs non-coastal residents', and ensuring that sampling biases are minimized. These comparisons can highlight significant differences, trends, and insights that are invaluable in fields such as public health, market research, and policy development.

Ultimately, whether dealing with one proportion or two, the comparison is about understanding the story the data tells us about the populations we are interested in.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In a 2018 study reported in The Lancet, Molina et al. reported on a study for treatment of patients with HIV-1. The study was a randomized, controlled, double-blind study that compared the effectiveness of ritonavir-boosted darunavir (rbd), the drug currently used to treat HIV-1, with dorovirine, a newly developed drug. Of the 382 subjects taking ritonavir-boosted darunavir, 306 achieved a positive result. Of the 382 subjects taking dorovirine, 321 achieved a positive outcome. See page 430 for guidance. a. Find the sample percentage of subjects who achieved a positive outcome in each group. b. Perform a hypothesis test to test whether the proportion of patients who achieve a positive outcome with the current treatment (ritonavir-boosted darunavir) is different from the proportion of patients who achieve a positive outcome with the new treatment (dorovirine). Use a significance level of \(0.01\). Based on this study, do you think dorovirine might be a more effective treatment option for HIV-1 than ritonavir-boosted darunavir? Why or why not?

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A multiple-choice test has 50 questions with four possible options for each question. For each question, only one of the four options is correct. A passing grade is 35 or more correct answers. a. What is the probability that a person will guess correctly on one multiple- choice question? b. Test the hypothesis that a person who got 35 right out of 50 is not just guessing, using an alpha of \(0.05\). Steps 1 and 2 of the hypothesis testing procedure are given. Finish the question by doing steps 3 and 4 . Step 1: \(\quad \mathrm{H}_{0}: p=0.25\) \(\mathrm{H}_{\mathrm{a}}: p>0.25\) Step 2: Choose the one-proportion \(z\) -test. \(n\) times \(p\) is 50 times \(0.25\), which is \(12.5\). This is more than 10 , and 50 times \(0.75\) is also more than 10 . Assume a random sample.

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