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Is it acceptable practice to look at your research results, note the direction of the difference, and then make the alternative hypothesis one-sided in order to achieve a significant difference? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, it's not acceptable to look at your research results and then make the alternative hypothesis one-sided to achieve significance. This can distort the research findings and violate ethical research practices.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding research hypothesis

In a scientific research, an alternative hypothesis (or research hypothesis) is a claim made by the researcher about a potential statistical relationship between two variables, usually in the context of an experiment. It is opposite to the null hypothesis, which states there is no statistical relationship between two variables. The alternative or research hypothesis should be based on prior knowledge, specialist literature, and logical consideration.
02

Exploring one-sided and two-sided hypotheses

Depending on the direction of the believed relationship, hypotheses can be one-sided (also called directional, stating that one variable will be either greater or less than the other) or two-sided (also known as non-directional, stating simply that the variables are not equal, with no prediction about which is greater or lesser). Under normal circumstances, the choice between a one-sided and two-sided hypothesis should be made before data collection begins based on theoretical or empirical reasons, not after viewing the outcome.
03

Understanding p-hacking

Looking at your research results and then changing the alternative hypothesis one-sided in order to achieve a significant difference can be considered as a form of p-hacking or data dredging. P-hacking involves manipulating – consciously or unconsciously - your experimental design, procedures, or data to pump up the p-value (a quantitative measure that indicates the statistical significance of the experimental result), often at the cost of the study’s validity and reliability.
04

Linking to research ethics

According to responsible research practices and scientific integrity principles, making the alternative hypotheses one-sided after the examination of the results to achieve significance is ethically dubious and methodologically incorrect. This kind of behaviour may increase the probability of obtaining Type I errors (false positives) and can potentially lead to results that are not reproducible.
05

Final verdict

So, it is not acceptable practice to change the alternative hypothesis based on preliminary results. It jeopardizes the scientific robustness of the study and damages the credibility of the researcher.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, symbolized as H1, is a key component in hypothesis testing. It is the statement that reflects what the researcher expects to find, indicating that there is an effect or a significant difference between two or more groups or variables. For example, if a study is designed to test the efficacy of a new drug, the alternative hypothesis might propose that the drug has a substantial impact on patients' recovery rates compared to a placebo.

It is set in contrast to the null hypothesis (H0), which suggests that there is no effect or no difference. In the decision-making process of hypothesis testing, we either reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis or fail to reject the null hypothesis due to lack of sufficient evidence to support the alternative claim.
Null Hypothesis
In the realm of statistics, the null hypothesis, represented as H0, is essentially a default position. It posits that there is no significant difference or relationship between groups or variables. If we revisit the drug efficacy study example, the null hypothesis would suggest that the drug does not alter the recovery rates when compared to the placebo.

This hypothesis is not something that researchers are seeking to prove; instead, it's what they are attempting to disprove through their experiment. Statistical tests are performed to determine the likelihood that the observed data could occur if the null hypothesis were true. The rarer the observed results under the assumption of the null hypothesis, the less credible the null hypothesis becomes, and the stronger the evidence is for the alternative hypothesis.
One-Sided and Two-Sided Hypotheses
Hypotheses can be divided into two types based on the directionality of the relationship they propose: one-sided (directional) and two-sided (non-directional). A one-sided hypothesis specifies that one variable is greater than or less than the other, making a direct prediction about the outcome. For instance, stating that 'students who receive tutoring will perform better than those who do not' is one-sided.

On the other hand, a two-sided hypothesis simply argues that there will be a difference but does not predict the direction of the difference—only that it exists. In our tutoring example, a two-sided hypothesis would say 'students who receive tutoring will have different performance outcomes compared to those who don't,' without specifying which group will be better or worse. This is considered a more conservative approach, as it doesn't presume the direction of the effect.
P-Hacking
P-Hacking, also known as data dredging, involves manipulating experiments or analyses to produce statistically significant results. This malpractice includes cherry-picking data, selectively reporting results, and even modifying hypotheses after seeing the data—as highlighted in our exercise scenario. This behavior is not only scientifically dishonest but it can damage the integrity of research findings.

Sometimes, researchers unintentionally engage in p-hacking due to pressure to publish positive results or to confirm expected outcomes. However, this undermines the credibility of the scientific method, as the reported significant findings might just be the product of statistical manipulation rather than a true effect, potentially misleading other research and applications based on these results.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a term used to indicate that the results of a study are unlikely to have occurred by chance. It's quantified by a p-value, which assesses the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. Typically, a p-value of less than 0.05 is considered statistically significant, suggesting that there is less than a 5% likelihood that the observed findings could have occurred under the assumption of the null hypothesis.

However, statistical significance does not necessarily imply that the results are practically important or relevant. It only informs us about the confidence we can have in the results not being coincidental. Thus, researchers must also consider the real-world significance or effect size of their findings to provide a comprehensive interpretation of their research outcomes.
Research Ethics
In science, ethics play a crucial role in ensuring that research is conducted with integrity and responsibility. Decisions such as whether to change an alternative hypothesis to a one-sided hypothesis after seeing the data, as discussed in our exercise, are matters of ethical consideration. Ethical research practices demand transparency, honesty, and methodological correctness throughout the research process, from planning to publication.

Research ethics seeks to prevent scientific misconduct, including fabrication, falsification, and plagiarism, and fosters the publication of reliable and valid results. Ethically questionable practices damage the trust in scientific research, may lead to wastage of resources, and could harm participants or society if policy or healthcare decisions are based on flawed evidence. Ultimately, adhering to research ethics upholds the quality and credibility of the scientific enterprise.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

According to a 2017 AAA survey, \(35 \%\) of Americans planned to take a family vacation (a vacation more than 50 miles from home involving two or more immediate family members. Suppose a recent survey of 300 Americans found that 115 planned on taking a family vacation. Carry out the first two steps of a hypothesis test to determine if the proportion of Americans planning a family vacation has changed. Explain how you would fill in the required entries in the figure for # of success, # of observations, and the value in \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\).

Suppose you wanted to test the claim that the majority of U.S. voters are satisfied with the government response to the opioid crisis. State the null and alternative hypotheses you would use in both words and symbols.

A community college used enrollment records of all students and reported that that the percentage of the student population identifying as female in 2010 was \(54 \%\) whereas the proportion identifying as female in 2018 was \(52 \%\). Would it be appropriate to use this information for a hypothesis test to determine if the proportion of students identifying as female at this college had declined? Explain.

A friend is tested to see whether he can tell bottled water from tap water. There are 30 trials (half with bottled water and half with tap water), and he gets 18 right. a. Pick the correct null hypothesis: i. \(\hat{p}=0.50\) ii. \(\hat{p}=0.60\) iii. \(p=0.50\) iv. \(p=0.60\) b. Pick the correct alternative hypothesis: i. \(\hat{p} \neq 0.50\) ii. \(\hat{p}=0.875\) iii. \(p>0.50\) iv. \(p \neq 0.875\)

A Gallup poll asked a random samples of Americans in 2016 and 2018 if they were satisfied with the quality of the environment. In 2016 , 543 were satisfied with the quality of the environment and 440 were dissatisfied. In 2018,461 were satisfied and 532 were dissatisfied. Determine whether the proportion of Americans who are satisfied with the quality of the environment has declined. Use a \(0.05\) significance level.

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