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Male Height In the United States, the population mean height for 3 -year-old boys is 38 inches (http://www.kidsgrowth .com). Suppose a random sample of 15 non-U.S. 3 -year-old boys showed a sample mean of \(37.2\) inches with a standard deviation of 3 inches. The boys were independently sampled. Assume that heights are Normally distributed in the population. a. Determine whether the population mean for non-U.S. boys is significantly different from the U.S. population mean. Use a significance level of \(0.05\). b. Now suppose the sample consists of 30 boys instead of 15 , and repeat the test. c. Explain why the \(t\) -values and \(p\) -values for parts a and \(b\) are different.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) For a sample size of 15, the calculated t-value would need to be compared with the t-critical value from the t-table to see if it lies in the rejection area or not. b) The same process is repeated for a larger sample of 30 boys. Based on the calculation, it would be decided if there is significant difference or not. c) The t-value and p-value change because an increased sample size causes the t-value to get closer to the mean thereby increasing the p-value.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate t-value for the given sample

Calculate t-value using the formula: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s / \sqrt{n}} \] where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, \( \mu \) is the population mean, \( s \) is the standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size. Substitute given values into the formula: \[ t = \frac{37.2 - 38}{3 / \sqrt{15}} \]
02

Compare calculated t-value with critical t-value

Compare the calculated t-value with the t-value from the t-distribution table for a \(0.05\) significance level and degrees of freedom equal to \( n-1 = 14\). If the calculated t-value is greater than the critical t-value (in absolute terms), then there is a significant difference.
03

Repeat the process for a larger sample

Repeat step 1 and step 2 for a larger sample, of size 30. Calculate the new t-value using the formula: \[ t = \frac{37.2 - 38}{3 / \sqrt{30}} \] Compare this new calculated t-value with the critical t-value for a \(0.05\) significance level and degrees of freedom equal to \( n-1 = 29 \).
04

Explain difference in t-values and p-values

The t-value and p-value will change between steps 3 and 2. The t-value changes because the sample size increased, leading to an increased denominator in the t-value formula. The p-value changes because the t-value gets closer to the mean, which indicates a greater likelihood of finding this data if there is no real difference in means.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-test
A t-test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups, which may be related in certain features. In the context of the given exercise, a t-test is used to assess whether the average height of non-U.S. 3-year-old boys differs from the known population mean height of U.S. boys. It involves comparing the sample mean to the population mean, and accounting for sample size and variability.
The calculation of a t-value is a critical part of conducting a t-test. This calculated t-value is then compared against a critical value from the t-distribution table, corresponding to the chosen significance level and the degrees of freedom associated with the sample. If the absolute value of the calculated t-value exceeds the critical value from the table, the null hypothesis (that there is no significant difference) can be rejected.

Finding out whether the population mean for non-U.S. boys is significantly different from the U.S. population mean involves looking at the p-value in relation to the significance level. If the p-value is less than the significance level, it suggests strong evidence against the null hypothesis, prompting its rejection.
population mean
The population mean, often denoted by the Greek letter \( \mu \), represents the average of a certain characteristic for the entire group of individuals or items being studied. In the exercise, the population mean refers to the average height of U.S. 3-year-old boys, which is given as 38 inches.
Understanding the population mean is crucial because it serves as the benchmark against which the sample mean is compared during hypothesis testing. It is the central parameter of interest when trying to determine if a sample comes from a particular population or if there are differences between populations.
sample mean
Contrary to the population mean, the sample mean is the average calculated using the data from a subset of the population, known as a sample. In our exercise, the average height of the 15 (and later 30) non-U.S. boys, which came out to be 37.2 inches, is the sample mean. This statistic serves as an estimate of the population mean and plays a fundamental role in hypothesis testing, specifically in the calculation of the t-value.
standard deviation
The standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values are close to the mean of the set, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range. In our exercise, the sample of non-U.S. boys has a standard deviation of 3 inches. This variability impacts the t-test by affecting the standard error of the mean, which helps in determining how much the sample mean is expected to fluctuate from the population mean.
significance level
The significance level, often denoted as \( \alpha \), is a threshold used to determine the statistical significance of a result in hypothesis testing. It reflects the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true (Type I error). In practice, a significance level of 0.05 is commonly used, indicating a 5% risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is none. This significance level is used as the cutoff for determining whether the t-test's p-value is low enough to reject the null hypothesis, as in the exercise with the heights of 3-year-old boys.
degrees of freedom
The concept of degrees of freedom refers to the number of values in the calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. For the t-test, the degrees of freedom are commonly defined as the sample size minus one (\( n - 1 \) ). They are used to determine the precise distribution to reference when assessing the calculated t-statistic against a critical value from the t-distribution. In our height example, with sample sizes of 15 and 30 boys, the degrees of freedom would be 14 and 29, respectively.
t-distribution
The t-distribution, or Student's t-distribution, is the probability distribution that estimates the population parameters when the sample size is relatively small, and the population standard deviation is unknown. It resembles the normal distribution but has heavier tails, meaning that it is more prone to producing values that fall far from the mean. As the sample size increases, the t-distribution gets closer to the normal distribution. The t-distribution is used to determine the critical value for the t-test, which is then compared to the calculated t-value to decide the outcome of the test.
p-value
The p-value is a statistical measure indicating the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the ones observed during the test, assuming that the null hypothesis is correct. A low p-value (less than the predetermined significance level) suggests that the observed data is unlikely under the null hypothesis, giving evidence to reject it. Understanding the p-value is vital for interpreting the t-test results in hypothesis testing, as it guides us in deciding whether the difference in means is statistically significant, as with the height of U.S. versus non-U.S. boys. Given the calculated t-value from the collected data, the p-value is found using the t-distribution corresponding to the appropriate degrees of freedom.

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