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For a school's annual sports meet, \(56 \%\) of boys enrolled for track events and \(44 \%\) of boys enrolled for water sports. Also, \(45 \%\) of girls enrolled for track events and 55\% of girls enrolled for water sports. Would it be appropriate to do a two-proportion z-test to determine whether the proportions of boys and girls enrolling for track events were significantly different (assuming we know the number of boy and girl students)? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The application of the two-proportion z-test in this case would depend on whether all the conditions for this test are met. It may be appropriate if the samples are large enough (with at least 10 successes and 10 failures) and the decision of the students to join the sports was a simple random independent choice. But the problem does not provide enough context to definitively confirm or deny this.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We need to understand if it's valid to apply a two-proportion z-test in this situation. We know that \(56 \%\) of boys and \(45 \%\) of girls enrolled in track events.
02

Determine Conditions for the test

To conduct the two-proportions z-test, certain conditions need to be met. First, we must have two independent random samples. In this case, boys and girls form two independent groups. Secondly, the sampling method must be simple random sampling. The problem does not provide information about how the students decided upon their sporting event, but we usually assume that these choices are made independently (similar to random). Finally, the samples must be large enough that we assume normally distributed sampling distributions. The exercise provides the percentages, but we should confirm that we have at least 10 successes (people who enrolled) and failures (people who didn't enrol) for each group to apply the Central Limit Theorem.
03

Is Apt to carry out Two-Proportion z-test?

If all the conditions above are met, we can conduct a two-proportion z-test to see if there is a significant difference between the proportions of boys and girls enrolling in track events.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Statistical Significance
When we delve into the realm of statistical analysis, one term we often encounter is statistical significance. It helps us determine if the difference observed between two or more groups is due to chance or due to an actual difference in the populations. In the context of a two-proportion z-test, this concept is used to examine whether the observed proportions of boys and girls enrolling in track events differ significantly, or in other words, if the difference is not just a coincidence.

Statistical significance is often indicated by a p-value, which is calculated from the test statistics. If the p-value is less than the chosen significance level (commonly 0.05), we reject the null hypothesis that there is no difference between the groups. Thus, with statistical significance, we have a method to reach a conclusion on whether the percentages of enrollment in sports events in the exercise differ meaningfully between boys and girls.
Independent Random Samples
A fundamental assumption for many statistical tests, including the two-proportion z-test, is that the samples are independent. This means that the outcome for any individual in one sample should not affect the outcome for any individual in the other sample. In our exercise, boys and girls can be considered independent groups since enrolling for a track event as a boy does not influence a girl's chances to enroll for the same or different events.

Furthermore, the samples must be randomly selected, ensuring that every individual has an equal chance of being chosen, and this is known as simple random sampling. Ensuring randomness is crucial because it protects against biases and allows us to generalize the results from our sample to the broader population.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a cornerstone of statistical theory and plays a crucial role in the two-proportion z-test. It states that, given a sufficiently large sample size, the sampling distribution of the sample mean (or proportion) will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the shape of the population distribution.

This theorem allows us to use normal distribution-based methods, like the z-test, to make inferences about population parameters. However, there's a catch: the sample size must be large enough. Typically, we look for at least 10 successes (individuals who meet the criteria of interest) and 10 failures (those who do not) in each group. If this condition is met, we can safely proceed with the test, assured that the sampling distribution will be approximately normal - thanks to the CLT.
Simple Random Sampling
The integrity of any statistical test is highly dependent on how the sample is collected. Simple random sampling is one of the most straightforward and reliable methods. Every member of the population has an equal chance of being included in the sample, which helps to avoid bias and makes our statistical inferences valid.

In the case of the school's annual sports meet, if we want our two-proportion z-test to provide reliable results, it’s essential that the boys and girls who enrolled in the events were chosen randomly. Assuming this method was used gives us confidence that our samples represent the broader population of boys and girls in the school, which is crucial for the validity of the test results.
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution, also known as the bell curve, is a fundamental concept in statistics because of its common occurrence in various natural phenomena. It's characterized by its symmetrical shape where most of the observations cluster around the mean and the probabilities for values further away from the mean taper off equally in both directions.

For the two-proportion z-test, the normal distribution allows us to determine how far our observed statistic deviates from what we would expect under the null hypothesis. This is the basis of calculating the z-score, which we then compare to a standard normal distribution to find the p-value. As long as the Central Limit Theorem's requirements are met, and the samples are sufficiently large, the test statistics will follow a normal distribution, enabling us to confidently make inferences about the populations from which our samples are drawn.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

We are testing someone who claims to have ESP by having that person predict whether a coin will come up heads or tails. The null hypothesis is that the person is guessing and does not have ESP, and the population proportion of success is \(0.50 .\) We test the claim with a hypothesis test, using a significance level of \(0.05 .\) Select an answer and fill in the blank. The probability of concluding that the person has ESP when in fact she or he (does/does not) have ESP is

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A study is done to see whether a coin is biased. The alternative hypothesis used is two-sided, and the obtained \(z\) -value is 1 . Assuming that the sample size is sufficiently large and that the other conditions are also satisfied, use the Empirical Rule to approximate the \(\mathrm{p}\) -value.

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