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Consider the following hypothesis test: \\[ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: \mu \geq 20 \\ H_{\mathrm{a}}: \mu<20 \end{array} \\] A sample of 50 provided a sample mean of \(19.4 .\) The population standard deviation is \(2 .\) a. Compute the value of the test statistic. b. What is the \(p\) -value? c. Using \(\alpha=.05,\) what is your conclusion? d. What is the rejection rule using the critical value? What is your conclusion?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Reject the null hypothesis; evidence suggests that \( \mu < 20 \).

Step by step solution

01

Determine the test statistic formula

Since we are dealing with a sample mean and known population standard deviation, we use the Z-test for the test statistic. The formula for the Z-test is given by \( Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} \), where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, \( \mu_0 \) is the hypothesized mean, \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
02

Calculate the test statistic

Plug in the given values into the formula. Here, \( \bar{x} = 19.4 \), \( \mu_0 = 20 \), \( \sigma = 2 \), and \( n = 50 \). \[ Z = \frac{19.4 - 20}{2 / \sqrt{50}} = \frac{-0.6}{2 / 7.07} = \frac{-0.6}{0.283} = -2.12 \] So, the test statistic is \( Z = -2.12 \).
03

Determine the p-value

The p-value is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as the one obtained, assuming the null hypothesis is true. Since this is a one-tailed test with \( H_a: \mu < 20 \), we look for \( P(Z < -2.12) \). From the Z-table, \( P(Z < -2.12) \approx 0.0170 \). So, the p-value is 0.0170.
04

Compare p-value with alpha

Given \( \alpha = 0.05 \), compare it with the p-value of 0.0170. Since 0.0170 < 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis.
05

Determine the critical value

For a one-tailed test at \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the critical value for Z is approximately -1.645 (from Z-table).
06

Apply the rejection rule with critical value

Compare the test statistic \( Z = -2.12 \) with the critical value \( -1.645 \). Since \( -2.12 < -1.645 \), the test statistic falls in the rejection region.
07

Conclusion

Both the p-value approach and the critical value approach lead to rejecting the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that there is significant evidence to support the claim that \( \mu < 20 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-test
The Z-test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between the sample mean and the population mean you are testing against. It's particularly useful when you know the population standard deviation and have a sufficiently large sample size (usually over 30). In this scenario, we're testing whether the sample mean of 19.4 indicates that the population mean is less than 20. Here, you compute a test statistic using the formula:
  • \( Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} \)
In the formula:
  • \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean,
  • \(\mu_0\) is the hypothesized population mean,
  • \(\sigma\) is the population standard deviation, and
  • \(n\) is the sample size.
For our exercise, using the given values, the Z-test statistic calculated was \( Z = -2.12 \).
p-value
The p-value is a critical component in hypothesis testing, providing the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as the one obtained, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true. In simpler terms, it helps us understand if our observed data can occur by random chance.
For the given Z-test statistic of -2.12 and considering it is a one-tailed test (since the alternative hypothesis is \( \mu < 20 \)), the p-value is the probability that the Z-score is less than -2.12.
Using Z-tables or statistical software, you can find that the p-value is approximately 0.0170. This small value indicates that such a result is unlikely to occur if the null hypothesis were true, thus suggesting significant evidence against it.
Critical Value
When discussing hypothesis testing, the critical value is a threshold that determines whether the null hypothesis should be rejected. It corresponds to the significance level \( \alpha \), which represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. In our one-tailed test, the critical value is found on a Z-table for \( \alpha = 0.05 \).
For this test, the critical value is -1.645. This means that any Z-test statistic less than -1.645 will fall into the rejection region. With our calculated \( Z = -2.12 \), we see that it is indeed less than -1.645, indicating that our sample provides sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
Rejection Rule
The rejection rule provides the guideline for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis in hypothesis testing. For this example, there are two methods: using the p-value and using the critical value.
The p-value approach involves comparing the p-value to the significance level \( \alpha \). If the p-value is less than \( \alpha \), we reject the null hypothesis. In our case, since 0.0170 is less than 0.05, we reject \( H_0 \).
The critical value approach uses the critical value to determine the rejection region. If the test statistic falls within this region, we reject \( H_0 \). With a critical value of -1.645 and a test statistic of -2.12, we again find ourselves in the rejection region.
Both methods lead to the same conclusion: there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, supporting the claim that the population mean \( \mu \) is indeed less than 20.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the following hypothesis test: \\[ \begin{array}{l} H_{0}: \mu=100 \\ H_{\mathrm{a}}: \mu \neq 100 \end{array} \\] A sample of 65 is used. Identify the \(p\) -value and state your conclusion for each of the following sample results. Use \(\alpha=.05\) a. \(\bar{x}=103\) and \(s=11.5\) b. \(\bar{x}=96.5\) and \(s=11.0\) c. \(\bar{x}=102\) and \(s=10.5\)

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A study by Consumer Reports showed that \(64 \%\) of supermarket shoppers believe supermarket brands to be as good as national name brands. To investigate whether this result applies to its own product, the manufacturer of a national name-brand ketchup asked a sample of shoppers whether they believed that supermarket ketchup was as good as the national brand ketchup. a. Formulate the hypotheses that could be used to determine whether the percentage of supermarket shoppers who believe that the supermarket ketchup was as good as the national brand ketchup differed from \(64 \%\) b. If a sample of 100 shoppers showed 52 stating that the supermarket brand was as good as the national brand, what is the \(p\) -value? c. \(\quad\) At \(\alpha=.05,\) what is your conclusion? d. Should the national brand ketchup manufacturer be pleased with this conclusion? Explain.

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