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91Ó°ÊÓ

Annual salary plus bonus data for chief executive officers are presented in the Business Week Annual Pay Survey. A preliminary sample showed that the standard deviation is \(\$ 675\) with data provided in thousands of dollars. How many chief executive officers should be in a sample if we want to estimate the population mean annual salary plus bonus with a margin of error of \(\$ 100,000 ?\) (Note: The desired margin of error would be \(E=100\) if the data are in thousands of dollars.) Use \(95 \%\) confidence.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The required sample size is 176 CEOs.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Parameters

First, let's identify the given parameters: The standard deviation of the salaries is given as \( \sigma = 675 \). The margin of error is \( E = 100 \), expressed in thousands of dollars. We are asked to find the sample size \( n \) needed to estimate the population mean with a \( 95\% \) confidence level.
02

Determine the Z-score for 95% Confidence Level

For a 95% confidence level, the Z-score (critical value) is approximately \( z = 1.96 \). This value can be found in Z-tables or standard normal distribution tables, which show the Z-value corresponding to the desired confidence interval.
03

Use the Formula for Sample Size Calculation

The formula for calculating the sample size \( n \) when estimating a population mean with known standard deviation is: \[ n = \left( \frac{z \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2 \]Substitute the known values into the formula:\[ n = \left( \frac{1.96 \cdot 675}{100} \right)^2 \]
04

Calculate the Sample Size

Compute the expression:\[ n = \left( \frac{1.96 \times 675}{100} \right)^2 = \left( \frac{1323}{100} \right)^2 = (13.23)^2 \]\[ n \approx 175.07 \]Since the sample size must be a whole number, round up to the nearest whole number: \( n = 176 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure that tells us how much variation or dispersion there is in a set of data points. It indicates how spread out the data is around the mean value.
For example, a low standard deviation suggests that the data points are close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the data points are more spread out.
In the context of sample size determination, the standard deviation helps us understand the variability of the data. Knowing the standard deviation allows researchers to gauge how large a sample is needed to achieve a certain level of precision in estimating the population mean.
  • Having a larger standard deviation means more variability and possibly needing a larger sample to precisely estimate the mean.
  • A smaller standard deviation might require a smaller sample size.
This is because the more varied the data, the more data points (i.e., a larger sample size) are necessary to accurately estimate trends.
Margin of Error
The margin of error is a statistic that defines the range within which the true value of the population parameter lies. It reflects how much uncertainty there is in the sample estimate. In simpler terms, it tells you how much you can expect your sample mean estimate to vary from the actual population mean.
In our exercise, the margin of error is set to be 100, expressed in thousands. This means that the estimated average salary plus bonus for CEOs could vary by ±$100,000 from the true population mean.
The margin of error is crucial for decision-making because it directly affects the sample size. A smaller margin of error requires a larger sample because you want your estimate to be closer to the population mean.
  • Smaller margin of error = more precise estimate = larger sample size.
  • Larger margin of error = less precise estimate = smaller sample size might be acceptable.
Always remember, reducing margin of error provides a more precise estimate but at the cost of needing a larger sample.
Confidence Level
The confidence level represents how confident we can be in the results of a statistical analysis being true to population parameters. It’s expressed as a percentage and relates to how often the true population parameter will be contained within the confidence interval constructed from the sample data.
In our exercise, a 95% confidence level is used. This means that if we were to take 100 different samples and compute the mean for each, about 95 of those sample means would include the true population mean. Higher confidence levels will result in wider confidence intervals because they need to account for more data possibility, meaning the sample size must be larger to keep the margin of error small.
  • Commonly used confidence levels are 90%, 95%, and 99%.
  • Higher confidence level = larger sample size required.
The choice of confidence level should balance the need for precision with practical considerations of research, like cost and time.
Population Mean Estimation
Population mean estimation is the process of using a sample to make inferences about the overall mean of a population. Due to the impossibility of examining every member of a population, samples serve as a toolkit to make educated guesses.
In our context, we are estimating the average salary plus bonus for all chief executive officers using a sample. To make an accurate estimation, knowing the sample size is imperative. Larger samples tend to provide estimates that are closer to the true population mean, assuming a simple random sample is used.
  • Accurate estimation of population mean requires careful planning of sample size.
  • The use of statistical formulas helps ensure the sample is large enough to give trustworthy results.
Understanding population mean estimation allows researchers to make economic forecasts, set salaries or pricing, and make other decisions informed by accurate data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

How large a sample should be selected to provide a \(95 \%\) confidence interval with a margin of error of \(10 ?\) Assume that the population standard deviation is 40

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