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Bank of America's Consumer Spending Survey collected data on annual credit card charges in seven different categories of expenditures: transportation, groceries, dining out, household expenses, home furnishings, apparel, and entertainment (U.S. Airways Attaché, December 2003 ). Using data from a sample of 42 credit card accounts, assume that each account was used to identify the annual credit card charges for groceries (population 1 ) and the annual credit card charges for dining out (population 2). Using the difference data, the sample mean difference was \(\bar{d}=\$ 850,\) and the sample standard deviation was \(s_{d}=\$ 1123\) a. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses to test for no difference between the population mean credit card charges for groceries and the population mean credit card charges for dining out. b. Use a .05 level of significance. Can you conclude that the population means differ? What is the \(p\) -value? c. Which category, groceries or dining out, has a higher population mean annual credit card charge? What is the point estimate of the difference between the population means? What is the \(95 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the difference between the population means?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) \( H_0: \mu_d = 0 \), \( H_a: \mu_d \neq 0 \). b) Yes, means differ; \( p \approx 0.00002 \). c) Groceries higher; difference \( 850 \), CI \( (501.51, 1198.49) \).

Step by step solution

01

Formulate Hypotheses

For part (a), we want to determine if there is no difference between the population mean credit card charges for groceries and dining out. The null hypothesis is that the population mean difference is zero, i.e., \( H_0: \mu_d = 0 \). The alternative hypothesis is that there is a difference, i.e., \( H_a: \mu_d eq 0 \).
02

Calculate Test Statistic

For part (b), we calculate the test statistic using the formula: \( t = \frac{\bar{d} - \mu_d}{s_d / \sqrt{n}} \), where \( \mu_d = 0 \), \( \bar{d} = 850 \), \( s_d = 1123 \), and \( n = 42 \). Thus, \( t = \frac{850 - 0}{1123/\sqrt{42}} \approx 4.88 \).
03

Determine P-value and Conclusion

With the calculated t-value from Step 2, we can find the p-value using a t-distribution with \( n-1 = 41 \) degrees of freedom. Looking up the t-value indicates that \( p \approx 0.00002 \). With \( \alpha = 0.05 \), since the p-value is much smaller than 0.05, we reject \( H_0 \) and conclude the population means differ.
04

Determine Higher Mean Category and Point Estimate

For part (c), since the sample mean difference \( \bar{d} = 850 \) is positive, groceries have a higher mean annual credit card charge than dining out. Thus, the point estimate of the difference is \( 850 \).
05

Construct 95% Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for the mean difference is given by \( \bar{d} \pm t^* \frac{s_d}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( t^* \) at 41 degrees of freedom is approximately 2.02. Therefore, the interval is \( 850 \pm 2.02 \times \frac{1123}{\sqrt{42}} \approx (501.51, 1198.49) \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Interval
A confidence interval gives you a range of values that is likely to contain the true population parameter. In other words, it tells us how much uncertainty there is around the estimated difference between two population means, like the annual credit card charges for groceries and dining out in this exercise.
To construct a confidence interval for the mean difference, we use the sample mean difference \( \bar{d} = 850 \), the sample standard deviation \( s_d = 1123 \), and the sample size \( n = 42 \). With this information, we can calculate the 95% confidence interval.
The formula for the confidence interval is:\[ \bar{d} \pm t^* \frac{s_d}{\sqrt{n}} \]Here, \( t^* \) is the critical value from the t-distribution corresponding to the desired level of confidence (95% in this case). For 41 degrees of freedom, \( t^* \approx 2.02 \).
Plugging the values into the formula, the confidence interval becomes approximately \((501.51, 1198.49)\). This means we are 95% confident that the true difference in mean credit card charges between groceries and dining out lies within this interval.
This confidence interval helps us get a sense of how reliably the sample mean difference of \( 850 \) reflects the true difference in the population.
T-Test
The T-Test helps in determining if there are significant differences between the means of two groups — in this case, the credit card charges for groceries versus dining out.
To perform this test, we start by formulating the null hypothesis \( H_0: \mu_d = 0 \) which assumes no difference between the population means, and the alternative hypothesis \( H_a: \mu_d eq 0 \), stating there is a difference.
The test statistic is calculated using the formula:\[ t = \frac{\bar{d} - \mu_d}{s_d / \sqrt{n}} \]In our exercise, \( \mu_d = 0 \), \( \bar{d} = 850 \), \( s_d = 1123 \), and \( n = 42 \), which results in \( t \approx 4.88 \). This t-value tells us how far our sample mean is from the hypothesized population mean (under \( H_0 \)).
The higher the absolute t-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis. The calculated t-value of 4.88 indicates a significant difference given the conventional cutoff values for significance.
P-Value
The p-value is a key value in hypothesis testing, helping us determine the significance of our results. It quantifies the probability of observing results at least as extreme as the actual results, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
In this exercise, after calculating the t-statistic, we obtain a p-value \( \approx 0.00002 \). This is a very small value, much less than the significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \) set in the test.
A small p-value implies that the observed data is unlikely under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.
Consequently, because the p-value is so small, we reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \) and conclude that there is a significant difference between the mean annual credit card charges for groceries as compared to dining out.
Understanding the p-value is crucial since it helps in making a decision about the hypotheses and determining whether the observed results have statistical significance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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The following results come from two independent random samples taken of two populations. Sample 1 \(\quad\) Sample 2 \(\begin{array}{ll}n_{1}=50 & n_{2}=35 \\ \bar{x}_{1}=13.6 & \bar{x}_{2}=11.6 \\\ \sigma_{1}=2.2 & \sigma_{2}=3.0\end{array}\) a. What is the point estimate of the difference between the two population means? b. Provide a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the two population means. c. Provide a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the two population means.

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