/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 30 The random variable \(x\) is nor... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The random variable \(x\) is normally distributed with mean \(\mu=74\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=8\). Find the indicated probability. $$P(x<57)$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability \( P(x < 57) \) is approximately 0.0169 or 1.69%.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Given Information

We have a normally distributed variable with mean \( \mu = 74 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma = 8 \). We need to find the probability that \( x < 57 \).
02

Calculate the Z-Score

The Z-score is calculated using the formula \( Z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \). For \( x = 57 \), plug in the values: \[ Z = \frac{57 - 74}{8} = \frac{-17}{8} = -2.125 \]
03

Use the Z-Table to Find the Probability

Look up the Z-score of \(-2.125\) in the standard normal distribution table (Z-table). The Z-table gives us the probability that a standard normal random variable is less than a given value. The table shows a probability of approximately \( 0.0169 \) for \( Z = -2.125 \).
04

Interpret the Probability

The probability \( P(x < 57) \) is \( 0.0169 \). This means there is a 1.69% chance that the random variable \( x \) is less than 57.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Z-Score
The Z-score is a crucial concept in understanding normal distribution and probability calculations. It tells us how far away a particular data point is from the mean, expressed in terms of standard deviations. In simple terms, the Z-score allows us to standardize different data points on a common scale, making it easier to compare them.
Let's consider the exercise: for the random variable \( x = 57 \), given a mean \( \mu = 74 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma = 8 \), the Z-score formula is:
  • \( Z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \)
  • Substitute the values: \( Z = \frac{57 - 74}{8} = -2.125 \)
A Z-score of \(-2.125\) means our value \( x = 57 \) is about 2.125 standard deviations below the mean of 74. Remember, negative Z-scores mean the observed value is below the mean, while positive scores mean it's above.
Explaining Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out the values in a data set are relative to the mean. If you're dealing with a normal distribution, the standard deviation helps describe the distribution's shape and spread.
When the standard deviation is small, data points are close to the mean, resulting in a steeper, narrow distribution. Conversely, large standard deviations yield a flatter, wider distribution. In the exercise, with a standard deviation \( \sigma = 8 \) and mean \( \mu = 74 \), these numbers give us a sense of how much variability exists in the data.
A crucial point is that roughly 68% of data points lie within one standard deviation of the mean in a normal distribution. This expands to about 95% within two standard deviations, and 99.7% within three. Understanding this helps you quickly estimate probabilities and the likelihood of given observations.
Calculating Probability Using Z-Scores
Probability calculations in normal distribution utilize Z-scores to find how likely it is for a certain value to occur. After calculating the Z-score, you can refer to a standard normal distribution table, often called a Z-table. This table provides the probability that a standard normal variable is less than your calculated Z-score.
In the step-by-step solution, we calculated a Z-score of \(-2.125\). By looking this up in the Z-table, we find the probability \( P(x < 57) \) is approximately 0.0169, or 1.69%. This value tells us how likely it is for the random variable \( x \) to be less than 57. A probability of 0.0169 indicates a rare occurrence, as the probability is only 1.69%.
Using the Z-table effectively bridges the computed Z-score to a real-world understanding of probabilities. It transforms abstract numbers into meaningful probabilistic insights.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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