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Survey on Bathing Pets A survey found that 25% of pet owners had their pets bathed professionally rather than do it themselves. If 18 pet owners are randomly selected, find the probability that exactly 5 people have their pets bathed professionally.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is approximately 0.202.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Type of Distribution

In this problem, we are dealing with a binomial distribution because there are a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes (pet is bathed professionally or not), and each trial is independent. The number of trials ( ) is 18, and the probability of success (p) is 0.25.
02

Apply the Binomial Probability Formula

The probability of having exactly k successes (in this case, 5) in n trials is given by the formula: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]where \(\binom{n}{k}\) is the binomial coefficient calculated as \(\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}\).
03

Calculate the Binomial Coefficient

The binomial coefficient \(\binom{18}{5}\) is calculated as follows:\[ \binom{18}{5} = \frac{18!}{5!(18-5)!} = \frac{18 \times 17 \times 16 \times 15 \times 14}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 8568 \].
04

Plug in the Values into the Formula

Now, substitute the known values into the binomial probability formula:\[ P(X = 5) = \binom{18}{5} (0.25)^5 (0.75)^{13} \]where 0.75 is the probability of failure (1 - 0.25).
05

Calculate the Probability

Now compute the probability step-by-step:- Calculate \( (0.25)^5 = 0.0009765625 \).- Calculate \( (0.75)^{13} = 0.0133630837 \).- Multiply these probabilities by the binomial coefficient and add all terms together:\[ P(X = 5) = 8568 \times 0.0009765625 \times 0.0133630837 \approx 0.202 \].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Binomial Probability Formula
The binomial probability formula is a powerful tool for calculating the likelihood of a specific number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials. It is widely used because it provides a systematic way to deal with problems where only two outcomes are possible in each trial. The formula is given by:
  • \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]
Here,
  • \( n \) represents the total number of trials,
  • \( k \) is the number of successful outcomes we're interested in,
  • \( p \) is the probability of one success in a single trial,
  • \( (1-p) \) is the probability of failure.

This formula informs us about the chance of \( k \) successes by first using the binomial coefficient to count the different possible ways \( k \) successes could occur among \( n \) trials. Then, it adjusts for the probability of each of those successes and failures occurring. Understanding and applying this formula correctly enables us to predict outcomes based on probability.
The Role of the Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient, represented as \( \binom{n}{k} \), is a crucial component of the binomial probability formula. It calculates the number of different ways in which \( k \) successes can occur among \( n \) trials. This is also known as "combinatorial" mathematics.
To find the binomial coefficient, we use the following equation:
  • \[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]
Where "!" denotes a factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to a certain number.
For example, when calculating \( \binom{18}{5} \), you multiply and divide:
  • \( \binom{18}{5} = \frac{18 \times 17 \times 16 \times 15 \times 14}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 8568 \)
This coefficient shows that there are 8,568 different ways to choose exactly 5 successful trials out of 18. It's like selecting a team from a larger group, where the order doesn’t matter. Knowing how to calculate the binomial coefficient is essential for solving problems involving binomial probabilities.
Steps for Probability Calculation
Calculating probability in situations involving many trials and multiple outcomes may seem daunting at first. Luckily, the binomial distribution streamlines this by providing a structured approach that is both logical and clear. Here's a breakdown of how you can calculate the probability of a specific number of successes:
Start by identifying the number of trials \( (n) \) and the probability of success for each trial \( (p) \). In our case, \( n = 18 \) and \( p = 0.25 \). These values set the stage for our calculations.
Next, use the binomial probability formula to plug in your known values. We're interested in exactly 5 successes:
  • \[ P(X = 5) = \binom{18}{5} (0.25)^5 (0.75)^{13} \]
First, calculate \( (0.25)^5 = 0.0009765625 \) and \( (0.75)^{13} = 0.0133630837 \). Then calculate the binomial coefficient.
Multiply these terms together:
  • \( 8568 \times 0.0009765625 \times 0.0133630837 \approx 0.202 \)
This indicates a probability of about 20.2% for exactly 5 pet owners having their pets bathed professionally. By following these steps, anyone can confidently approach probability problems using the binomial distribution.

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