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Working Women and Computer Use It is reported that \(72 \%\) of working women use computers at work. Choose 5 working women at random. Find $$ \begin{array}{l}{\text { a. The probability that at least } 1 \text { doesn't use a computer }} \\ {\text { at work }} \\ {\text { b. The probability that all } 5 \text { use a computer in their }} \\ {\text { jobs }}\end{array} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Approximately 0.8351 b. Approximately 0.1935

Step by step solution

01

Define the probability of success

Here, the probability of a working woman using a computer at work is given by \( p = 0.72 \). Consequently, the probability of a working woman not using a computer at work is \( q = 1 - p = 0.28 \).
02

Understand the experiment setup

We choose 5 working women at random, so the number of trials \( n = 5 \). Each trial is independent and follows a Bernoulli distribution, as it results in either success (uses a computer) or failure (does not use a computer).
03

Step 3a: Find the probability that at least one doesn't use a computer

The event "at least 1 doesn't use a computer" is complementary to the event "all 5 use computers". Calculate the probability that all 5 use computers as \( P(X=5) = p^5 \). Therefore, the probability that at least one doesn't use a computer is \( 1 - P(X=5) \).
04

Step 4a: Calculate probability for part a

First, find \( P(X=5) = (0.72)^5 \). Then calculate the complementary probability: \[1 - (0.72)^5\]Evaluating this gives approximately 0.8351.
05

Step 3b: Find the probability that all 5 use a computer

Use the probability of success (\( p = 0.72 \)) and the number of trials \( n = 5 \). Compute \( P(X=5) = (0.72)^5 \).
06

Step 4b: Calculate probability for part b

Evaluate \( P(X=5) = (0.72)^5 \), resulting in approximately 0.1935.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Bernoulli Distribution
The Bernoulli distribution is a fundamental concept in probability theory. It deals with experiments that have exactly two possible outcomes: success or failure. In the context of the original exercise, success is defined as a working woman using a computer at work, while failure is not using one.
Each trial, which involves asking one working woman whether she uses a computer, is independent. This means that the outcome of one trial doesn't affect the others.
  • Success: Uses a computer ( $p = 0.72$
  • Failure: Does not use a computer ( $q = 1 - 0.72 = 0.28$
The Bernoulli distribution is the building block for more complex statistical models, such as the binomial distribution used in our exercise, where multiple independent Bernoulli trials are conducted.
Complementary Probability
Complementary probability helps us find the chance of an event not happening. In probability, the complement of an event is simply the event not occurring. For instance, in the exercise, the event "at least one woman doesn't use a computer" is the complement of "all five women use a computer."

To compute the probability of a complementary event, simply subtract the probability of the original event from 1. If the probability of all five using computers is \(P(X=5) = (0.72)^5\), then the probability of its complement (at least one doesn't use a computer) is:\[1 - (0.72)^5 \approx 0.8351\]This complementary understanding is crucial because sometimes it's easier to calculate the probability of the complement and then subtract it from one to get the probability of the event of interest.
Probability of Success
The probability of success is crucial in any probability-based experiment. It represents the likelihood of achieving a desired outcome. In our exercise, success means a working woman uses a computer. The probability given was $p = 0.72$ .

To fully grasp this concept:
  • This probability was given directly in the problem statement as 72%.
  • For calculations, this translates to a probability of 0.72.
All calculations regarding either individual trials or combinations of trials, such as computing the probability that all five women use computers, rely on understanding this baseline probability of success.
Trials and Outcomes
Trials refer to the number of experiments or participants in a study. Outcomes represent the potential results of these trials. For the exercise, we conducted 5 trials, asking 5 independent working women if they use a computer.

Each woman represents one trial, with only two possible outcomes:
  • Using a computer
  • Not using a computer
The particular interest in the exercise was in outcomes like all women using computers ( $P(X=5) = (0.72)^5$ ) or at least one woman not using a computer, derived from complementary probability. The combination of trials and outcomes forms the backbone of conducting and interpreting any probability experiment, helping us understand how likely various scenarios are, given a set of circumstances.

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