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A survey found that \(25 \%\) of pet owners had their pets bathed professionally rather than do it themselves. If 18 pet owners are randomly selected, find the probability that exactly 5 people have their pets bathed professionally.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that exactly 5 pet owners have their pets bathed professionally is approximately 0.202.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Type of Probability Problem

This problem involves a fixed number of trials (18 pet owners) and each trial has two outcomes: either a pet owner has their pet bathed professionally or they do not. This is a classic binomial probability problem, where each selection is an independent Bernoulli trial with success probability, \( p = 0.25 \).
02

Review the Binomial Probability Formula

The probability of exactly \( k \) successes in \( n \) independent Bernoulli trials is given by the binomial formula: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \] where \( n \) is the number of trials, \( k \) is the number of successes (5 people, in this case), \( p \) is the probability of success on a single trial, and \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient.
03

Calculate the Binomial Coefficient

The binomial coefficient \( \binom{18}{5} \) is calculated using the formula: \( \binom{18}{5} = \frac{18!}{5!(18-5)!} \). Calculating this, we have: \( \binom{18}{5} = \frac{18 \times 17 \times 16 \times 15 \times 14}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 8568 \).
04

Plug Values into the Binomial Formula

Now substitute \( n = 18 \), \( k = 5 \), \( p = 0.25 \) and \( 1-p = 0.75 \) into the binomial formula: \[ P(X = 5) = 8568 \times (0.25)^5 \times (0.75)^{13} \].
05

Calculate the Probability Value

First calculate \( (0.25)^5 = 0.0009765625 \) and \( (0.75)^{13} = 0.0260124202 \). Then multiply by the binomial coefficient: \[ P(X = 5) = 8568 \times 0.0009765625 \times 0.0260124202 \approx 0.202 \].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood or chance of different outcomes occurring. It provides a systematic approach to quantify uncertainty.
One of the core ideas in probability theory is the concept of probability itself, which is a measure ranging from 0 to 1. A probability of 0 means an event never occurs, while a probability of 1 means an event always occurs.
In our given problem, we are interested in finding the probability of exactly 5 pet owners having their pets bathed professionally, among 18 randomly selected pet owners.
  • The probability of a specific number of successes, here where it is called a 'success' if owners choose professional grooming, can be described using the binomial distribution within probability theory.
  • This involves calculating the probability of each of these owners choosing this option independently of the others.
Probability theory uses certain mathematical principles to calculate these outcomes reliably, which is crucial when dealing with random events and decisions.
Bernoulli trials
A Bernoulli trial is a simple experiment where there are only two possible outcomes: success or failure. These trials are interesting because they form the basis of many probability distributions, including the binomial distribution.
In the context of our problem, each pet owner surveyed represents a Bernoulli trial. The two outcomes are: the owner has their pet bathed professionally (success) or does not (failure).
Each trial is independent, meaning the outcome for one pet owner does not impact another. The key parameter in a Bernoulli trial is the probability of success, denoted as \( p \). For our problem, \( p = 0.25 \), representing the 25% chance that any given pet owner will choose to bathe their pet professionally.
The Bernoulli trial is fundamental because it is the building block of the binomial distribution. When these trials are repeated a certain number of times, like with our 18 pet owners, and you wish to count the number of successes, you use the binomial distribution.
Binomial coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a fundamental concept in combinatorics. It is used to find the number of ways to choose \( k \) successes out of \( n \) trials, without regard to the order of selection. The binomial coefficient is denoted by \( \binom{n}{k} \).
For our exercise, we compute \( \binom{18}{5} \), which represents the number of ways to select 5 pet owners out of 18 to have their pets bathed professionally.
The formula for calculating the binomial coefficient is: \[\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}\]This formula uses factorials, where a factorial represented by \( n! \) is the product of all positive integers up to \( n \).
  • The binomial coefficient's role in the binomial distribution formula is crucial, as it adjusts the probability to account for all different possible successful combinations.
Thus, in our case, by calculating \( \binom{18}{5} \), we ensure that we correctly count all potential combinations of success among the group of pet owners.

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