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Sample Size. In Exercises 29鈥36, find the sample size required to estimate the population mean.

Mean Pulse Rate of Males Data Set 1 鈥淏ody Data鈥 in Appendix B includes pulse rates of 153 randomly selected adult males, and those pulse rates vary from a low of 40 bpm to a high of 104 bpm. Find the minimum sample size required to estimate the mean pulse rate of adult males. Assume that we want 99% confidence that the sample mean is within 2 bpm of the population mean.

a. Find the sample size using the range rule of thumb to estimate\(\sigma \).

b. Assume that\(\sigma = 11.3\,\,bpm\), based on the value of\(s = 12.5\,\,bpm\)for the sample of 153 male pulse rates.

c. Compare the results from parts (a) and (b). Which result is likely to be better?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The sample size required to estimate the mean pulse rate of adult males using the range rule thumb estimate of\(\sigma \)is 425.

b. The sample size required to estimate the mean pulse rate of adult males\(s\)instead of\(\sigma \)is 212.

c. On comparing the results (a) and (b), the result obtained in part (b) is likely to be better than that in part (a).

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The pulse rates vary from a low 40 bpm to a high 104 bpmfor adult males.

The required confidence level is 99%, and the sample mean is within 2 bpm of the true mean.

02

Describe the determination of the sample size

The sample size n can be determined by using the following formula:

\(n = {\left[ {\frac{{{z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sigma }}{E}} \right]^2}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,...\left( 1 \right)\)

Here, E is the margin of error.

03

Describe the range rule of thumb

The range rule of thumb is a simple tool for understanding and interpreting the standard deviation.It is used to estimate the standard deviation roughly from the collection of sample data.

The formula for the range rule of thumb is as follows.

\(\sigma \approx \frac{{{\rm{range}}}}{4}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,...\left( 2 \right)\)

04

Find the critical value \({z_{{\alpha  \mathord{\left/

{\vphantom {\alpha 2}} \right.

\kern-\nulldelimiterspace} 2}}}\)

\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\)is a z score that separates an area of\(\frac{\alpha }{2}\)in the right tail of the standard normal distribution.

The confidence level 99% corresponds to\(\alpha = 0.01\,\,\,\,{\rm{and}}\,\,\,\,\frac{\alpha }{2} = 0.005\).

The value\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\), hasthe cumulative are\(1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}\)to its left.

Mathematically,

\(\begin{array}{c}P\left( {z < {z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}} \right) = 1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}\\ = 0.995\end{array}\)

From the standard normal table, the area of 0.995 is observed corresponding to the row value 2.5, between the column value 0.07, and the column value 0.08, which implies that\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\)is 2.575.

05

Find the estimate of \(\sigma \) by using the range rule of thumb

a.

Themean pulse rate of males varies from a low 40 bpm to a high 104 bpm.

Therefore, the range of pulse rate is as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{Range}}\, = 104 - 40\\ = 64\end{array}\)

The estimate of\(\sigma \)is obtained by substituting the value of range in equation (2). So,

\(\begin{array}{c}\sigma \approx \frac{{{\rm{range}}}}{4}\\ = \frac{{64}}{4}\\ = 16\end{array}\)

06

Find the required sample size using the estimate of \(\sigma \) 

The sample size is calculated by substituting the values of\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\),\(\sigma \),and E in equation (1), as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{n}} = {\left( {\frac{{{z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sigma }}{{\rm{E}}}} \right)^2}\\ = {\left( {\frac{{2.575 \times 16}}{2}} \right)^2}\\ = 424.36\\ = 425\,\,\,\,\left( {{\rm{rounded}}\,\,{\rm{off}}} \right)\end{array}\).

Thus, with 425 samples values, we can be 99% confident that the sample mean is within 2 bpm of the true mean.

07

Find the required sample size using \(s\) instead of  \(\sigma \)

b.

Assume that\(\sigma = 11.3\,\,{\rm{bpm}}\)is based on the value of\(s = 11.3\,\,{\rm{bpm}}\)for the sample of 147 female pulse rates.

The sample size is calculated by substituting the values of\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\),\(\sigma \),and E in equation (1) as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{n}} = {\left( {\frac{{{z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sigma }}{{\rm{E}}}} \right)^2}\\ = {\left( {\frac{{2.575 \times 11.3}}{2}} \right)^2}\\ = 211.66\\ = 212\,\,\,\,\left( {{\rm{rounded}}\,\,{\rm{off}}} \right)\end{array}\).

Thus, with 212 samples values, we can be 99% confident that the sample mean is within 2 bpm of the true mean.

08

Compare the results (a) and (b)

c.

The sample size required to estimate the mean pulse rate of males by using the range rule estimate of\(\sigma \)is 425.

The sample size required to estimate the mean pulse rate of males by using\(s\)instead of\(\sigma \)is 212.

The result obtained in part (a) is larger than the result obtained in part (b).

The result from part (b) is better than results from part (a) because it uses \(s\) instead of the estimated \(\sigma \) obtained from the range rule of thumb.

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