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Traffic Fatalities and Intoxication. The National Safety Council publishes information about automobile accidents in Accident Facts. According to that document, the probability is 0.40 that a traffic fatality will involve an intoxicated or alcohol-impaired driver or nonoccupant. In eight traffic fatalities, find the probability that the number,Y, that involve an intoxicated or alcohol-impaired driver or nonoccupant is

(a) exactly three; at least three; at most three.

(b) between two and four, inclusive.

(c) Find and interpret the mean of the random variable Y.

(d) Obtain the standard deviation of Y.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a)PY=3=0.2787;PY≥3=0.6846;PY≤3=0.5941

Part (b)P2≤y≤4=0.7199

Part (c) Mean is 3.2.

Part (d) Standard Deviation is 1.3856.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given information.

The given statement is:

A drunk or alcohol-impaired driver or nonoccupant has a 0.40 chance of causing a traffic fatality.

p=0.40,n=8

The binomial probability formula is:

PY=y=nypy1-pn-y

02

Part (a) Step 2. Find the probability.

The likelihood that the number of intoxicated or alcohol-impaired drivers or nonoccupants involved is exactly three:

PY=3=830.4030.608-3=8!3!×8-3!0.4030.605=0.2787

The likelihood that the number of intoxicated or alcohol-impaired drivers or nonoccupants involved is at least three:

PY≥3=1-PY≥2=1-PY=0+PY=1+PY=2PY=0=800.4000.608-0=8!0!×8-0!0.4000.608=0.0168PY=1=810.4010.608-1=8!1!×8-1!0.4010.607=0.0896PY=2=820.4020.608-2=8!2!×8-2!0.4020.606=0.2090PY≥3=1-PY=0+PY=1+PY=2=1-0.0168+0.0896+0.2090=1-0.3154=0.6846

03

Part (a) Step 3. Find the probability.

The likelihood that the number of intoxicated or alcohol-impaired drivers or nonoccupants involved is at most three:

PY≤3=PY=0+PY=1+PY=2+PY=3PY=0=0.0168PY=1=0.0896PY=2=0.2090PY=3=0.2787PY≤3=PY=0+PY=1+PY=2+PY=3=0.0168+0.0896+0.2090+0.2787=0.5941

04

Part (b) Step 1. Find the probability that number lies between two and four, inclusive.

P2≤y≤4=PY=2+PY=3+PY=4PY=2=0.2090PY=3=0.2787PY=4=840.4040.608-4=8!4!×8-4!0.4040.604=0.2322P2≤y≤4=PY=2+PY=3+PY=4=0.2090+0.2787+0.2322=0.7199

05

Part (c) Step 1. Find the mean of the random variable Y.

The mean formula is:

μ=np=8×0.40=3.2

The average number is 3.20, which means that for every eight road fatalities, an alcoholic or alcohol-impaired driver or non-occupant is involved 3.20 times.

06

Part (d) Step 1. Find the standard deviation of Y.

A binomial random variable with parameters nand phas a standard deviation of:

σ=np1-p=8×0.40×0.60=1.92=1.3856

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