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14.97 Study Time and Score. Following are the data on total hours studied over 2 weeks and test score at the end of the 2 weeks from Exercise 14.27.

x
10
15
12
20
8
16
14
22
y
91
81
84
74
85
80
84
80


a. Determine a point estimate for the mean test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15hours.
b. Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15 hours.
c. Find the predicted test score of a beginning calculus student who studies for 15 hours.
d. Determine a 99% prediction interval for the test score of a beginning calculus student who studies for 15hours.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) A point estimate for the mean test score is y^p=82.18

(b) A 99%confidence interval for the mean test score is between 77.53 and 86.84

(c) The predicted test score is y^p=82.18.

(d) A 99%prediction interval for the test score is 68.26and 96.10.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

To determine a point estimate for the mean test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15 hours.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

The table is calculated as follows:

x
y
xy
x2
y2
10
92
920
100
8464
15
81
1215
225
6561
12
84
1008
144
7056
20
74
1480
400
5476
8
85
680
64
7225
16
80
1280
256
6400
14
84
1176
196
7056
22
80
1760
484
6400
∑xi=117
∑yi=660
∑xiyi=9519
∑xi2=1869
∑yi2=54638
03

Part (a) Step 3: Explanation

Since, Sxy=∑xiyi-∑xi∑yi/n
=9519-(117)(660)/8
=9519-77220/8
=9519-9652.5
=-133.5
Then,

Sxx=∑xi2-∑xi2/n
=1869-(117)2/8
=1869-13689/8
=1869-1711.125
=157.875

04

Part (a) Step 4: Explanation

The total SSTsum of square is calculated as follows:

Sw=∑yi2-∑yi2/n
=54638-(660)2/8
=54638-435600/8
=54638-54450
=188
The SSRregression sum of squares is calculated as follows:

SSR=Sm2Sm
=(-133.5)2157.875
=17822.25157.875
=112.888361
SSE=SST-SSR

=188-112.888361

=75.11163895

05

Part (a) Step 5: Explanation

Determining the standard error of the estimate as follows:

se=SSEn-2
=75.111638958-2

=3.538164283
Determining the slope of the regression line as follows:
b1=SwSw
=-133.5157.875
=-0.845605701

06

Part (a) Step 6: Explanation

Determine the value of y-intercept as follows:

b0=1n∑yi-b1∑xi
=18(660+0.8456(117))
=18(758.9352)
≈94.8669
As a result, the regression equation is y^p=94.8669-0.8456xp.
Substituting the value of xp=15 into the regression equation yields the method for determining the value of the point estimate.
y^p=94.8669-0.8456xp
=94.8669-0.8456(15)

=82.1829
As a result, the point estimate is y^p=82.18.

07

Part (b) Step 1: Given information

To find a 99% confidence interval for the mean test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15hours.

08

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

Let, α=0.01for a 99%confidence interval.

Since,n=8
df=n-2
=8-2
=6
According to calculation:

ta2=t0,01/2

=t0,005

=3.708

09

Part (b) Step 3: Explanation

Computing the confidence interval end points for the conditional mean of the response variable is as follows:
y^p±tαΩse1n+xp-∑xi/n2Sx
Note that: xp=15
y^p=82.18
se=3.54
Sxx=157.875
Hence,

82.18±3.708(3.54)18+(15-117/8)2157.875
82.18±13.126320.125890736
Also,

82.18±4.657360702Or 77.53to86.84

As a result, a 99%confident that the mean test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15hours is somewhere between 77.53and 86.84.

10

Part (c) Step 1: Given information

To find the predicted test score of a beginning calculus student who studies for 15 hours.

11

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation

Let, the regression equation is y^p=94.8669-0.8456xp
By substituting the value of xp=15 in the regression equation, the projected value is obtained.
y^p=94.8669-0.8456xp
=94.8669-0.8456(15)
=82.1829
As a result, the point estimate is y^p=82.18.

12

Part (d) Step 1: Given information

To determine a 99%prediction interval for the test score of a beginning calculus student who studies for 15 hours.

13

Part (d) Step 2: Explanation

Let,α=0.01for a 99%confidence interval.

Since, n=8.
df=n-2
=8-2
=6
According to calculation:

ta2=t0,01/2

=t0,005

=3.708

14

Part (d) Step 3: Explanation

Determining the end points of the prediction interval for the response variable's value is as follows:
y^p±tα2sp1+1n+xp-∑xi/n2Sx
Note that: xp=15
y^p=82.18
se=3.54
Sxx=157.875
Hence,

82.18±3.708(3.54)1+18+(15-117/8)2157.875
82.18±13.126321+0.125890736
Also,

82.18±13.92807544Or 68.26to 96.10
As a result, 99%certain that the test score of all beginning calculus students who study for 15hours will be somewhere between 68.26and 96.10.

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