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In Exercises 14.70-14.80, use the technology of your choice to do the following tasks.

a. Decide whether you can reasonably apply the regression t-test. If so, then also do part (b).

b. Decide, at the5% significance level, whether the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the predictor variable is useful for predicting the response variable.

PCBs and Pelicans.

Use the data points given on the WeissStats site for shell thickness and concentration of PCBs for 60 Anacapa pelican eggs referred to in Exercise 14.40.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part A:

  • From the residual plot, it is clear that the residual is in the horizontal band.
  • The normal probability plot of the residuals shows that the residuals are displayed in a linear pattern.

This does not violate the variable THICKNESS assumption 1-3 and the conclusion of PCB regression.

Part B:

  • By the rejection rule, it can be concluded that there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis H0at α=0.05.

For that reason the data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that PCBare usefulin predicting THICKNESS.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction (Part A)Identify the the right method of technology to find if it makes sense to apply the regression t-test  

  • We need to use MINITAB method of technology to findif it makes sense to apply the regression t-test .
02

Given information ( Part A) PCBs and pelicans

  • An industrial pollutant, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), are carcinogenic and are known to be a major threat to natural ecosystems.
  • One study is entitled "Effects of Environmental Pollution Substances on Non-Human Animals". Sixtyannouncer pelican eggs were collected and the shell thickness (millimeters (mm)) and PCB concentration (parts per million (ppm)) were measured.
  • The data can be found on the Weiss Stats website.
03

Explanation (Part A)Construct the residual plot by using MINITAB method.

The following are the procedures of MINITAB method to construct the residual plot.

  • Step 1: Choose Stat > Regression > Regression.
  • Step 2: In Response, enter the column THICKNESS.
  • Step 3: In Predictors, enter the columns PCB.
  • Step 4: In Graphs, enter the columns PCB under Residuals versus the variables.
  • Step 5: Click OK.
04

Explanation (Part A)Output of Construct the residual plot by using MINITAB method 

The following are the output will come when we are using MINITAB method.

05

Explanation (Part A)Construct the normal probability plot of residuals by using MINITAB method of technology

The following are the procedures of MINITAB method to construct the normal probability plot of residuals.

  • Step 1: Choose Stat > Regression > Regression.
  • Step 2: In Response, enter the column THICKNESS
  • Step 3: In Predictors, enter the columns PCB.
  • Step 4: In Graphs, select Normal probability plot of residuals.
  • Step 5: Click OK.
06

Explanation (Part A)Output of Construct the normal probability plot of residuals by using MINITAB method 

The following are the Output of Construct the normal probability plot of residuals by using MINITAB method

07

Explanation (Part A)The assumption for regression inferences

The following are the the assumption for regression inferences

  • Population regression line:

The conditional mean of the response variable (Y)is β0+β1X, for each value Xof predicator variable.

  • Equal standard deviation:

The standard deviation for the response variable (Y)is same for the standard deviation for the explanatory variable (X). The standard deviation is denoted as σ.

  • Normal populations:

The distribution of responsevariables usually follows.

  • Independent observations:

Theobserved values of the response are independent of each other.

08

Explanation (Part A)It makes sense to use the regression t-test  

  • From the residual plot, it is clear that the residuals are in the horizontal band.
  • The normal probability plot of the residuals shows that the residuals are displayed in a linear pattern.

This does not violate assumption 1-3of the variable thickness and the PCB regression conclusion.

09

Introduction (Part B)Identify appropriate technology method for finding specific data that provide sufficient evidence to conclude that predictors are useful in predicting  response variables.

  • We are using MINITAB method of technology for finding specific data that provide sufficient evidence to conclude that predictors are useful in predicting response variables.
10

Given Information (Part B) PCBs and pelicans

  • An industrial pollutant, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), are carcinogenic and are known to be a major threat to natural ecosystems.
  • One study is entitled "Effects of Environmental Pollution Substances on Non-Human Animals". Sixty announcer pelican eggs were collected and the shell thickness (millimeters (mm)) and PCB concentration (parts per million (ppm)) were measured.
  • The data can be found on the Weiss Stats website.
11

Explanation (Part B)Appropriate hypothesis to find  the given data provides enough evidence to conclude that PCB is useful for predicting THICKNESS. 

The following are the appropriate hypothesis to find the given data provides enough evidence to conclude that PCB is useful for predicting THICKNESS.

  • Null hypothesis:

H0:β1=0

That is, the data do not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that PCB are useful in predicting THICKNESS.

  • Alternative hypothesis:

Ha:β1≠0

That is, the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that PCB are useful in predicting THICKNESS.

  • Rejection Rule:

If p-value ≤α(=0.05), then reject the null hypothesis H0.

12

Explanation (Part B)Using MINITAB method to Find the test statistic and  p-value

The following are the MINITAB procedure to Find the test statistic and p-value:

  • Step 1: Choose Stat > Regression > Regression.
  • Step 2: In Response, enter the column THICKNESS.
  • Step 3: In Predictors, enter the columns PCB.
  • Step 4: Click OK.
13

Explanation (Part B)Output of Using MINITAB method to Find the test statistic and p-value 

Regression Analysis: THICKNESS versus PCB

The regression equation is

THICKNESS=0.364-0.000201PCB

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant0.363920.0304211.960.000PCB-0.00020140.0001404-1.430.157

S=0.0716205R-Sq=3.4%R-Sq(adj)=1.8%

From the MINITAB output, the value of test statistic is -1.43and the p-value is 0.157.

14

Explanation (Part B)The data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that PCB is useful for predicting THICKNESS.

Conclusion:

  • Use the significance level, α=0.05.
  • Here, p-value is greater than the level of significance.
  • That is, p-value (=0.157)>α(=0.05).
  • Therefore, by the rejection rule, it can be concluded that there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis H0at α=0.05.

That is, the data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that PCBare useful in predicting THICKNESS.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In this Exercise 14.54, we repeat the information from Exercise 14.18.

a. Decide, at the 10%significance level, whether the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that xis useful for predicting y:

b. Find a 90%confidence interval for the slope of the population regression line.

role="math" localid="1652363608630" x1344y8031 y^=9-2x

14.23 Corvette Prices. The Kelley Blue Book provides information on wholesale and retail prices of cars. Following are age and price data for 10 randomly selected Corvettes between 1 and 6 years old.

Here, xdenotes age, in years, and ydenotes price, in hundreds of dollars.

In Exercises 14.98-14.108, use the technology of your choice to do the following tasks.
a. Decide whether your can reasonably apply the conditional mean and predicted value t-interval procedures to the data. If so, then also do parts (b) - (h).
b. Determine and interpret a point estimate for the conditional mean of the response variable corresponding to the specified value of the predictor variable.
c. Find and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the conditional mean of the response variable corresponding to the specified value of the predictor variable.
d. Determine and interpret the predicted value of the response variable corresponding to the specified value of the predictor variable.
e. Find and interpret a 95% prediction interval for the value of the response variable corresponding to the specified value of the predictor variable.
f. Compare and discuss the differences between the confidence interval that you obtained in part (c) and the prediction interval that you obtained in part (e).

14.103 High and Low Temperature. The data from Exercise 14.31for average high and low temperatures in January of a random sample, of 50cities are on the WeissStats site. Specified value of the predictor variable: 55°F.

What statistic is used to estimate

a. The y-intercept of the population regression line?

b. The slope of the population regression line?

c. The common conditional standard deviation, σ, of the response variable?

Plant Emissions. Use the data on plant weight and quantity of volatile emissions from Exercise 14.25.

a. compute the standard error of the estimate and interpret your answer

b. interpret your result from part (a) if the assumptions for regression inferences hold.

c. obtain a residual plot and a normal probability plot of the residuals.

d. decide whether you can reasonably consider Assumptionsfor regression inferences to be met by the variables under consideration. (The answer here is subjective, especially in view of the extremely small sample sizes.)

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