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In Exercises 14.48, we repeat the information from Exercises 14.12.

a. Decide, at the 10%significance level, whether the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that xis useful for predicting y:

b. Find a 90%confidence interval for the slope of the population regression line.

x243y357 role="math" localid="1652276835214" y^=2+x

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The data do not give sufficient evidence to establish that the slope of the population regression line is not 0, and so the variable xis not useful for predicting the variable yat the 10%significance level.

(b) The slope of the population regression line is somewhere between -9.94and 11.94, and we can be 90%sure about that.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information

x243y357

y^=2+x

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

Define Null and alternate hypothesis

H0:β1=0(xis not useful for predicting y),

Hα:β1≠0(xis useful for predicting y) .

Determine the αsignificance level.
The hypothesis test should be run at a significance threshold of10%, or α=0.10.

Computation table

xyxyx2y223649452016253721949∑xi=9∑yi=15∑xiyi=47∑xi2=29∑yi2=83

Sxy=∑xiyi-∑xi∑yi/n=47-(9)(15)/3=47-135/3=47-45=2

The entire amount of square SST is calculated as follows:

Syy=∑yi2-∑yi2/n=83-(15)2/3=83-225/3=83-75=8

03

Part(a) Step 3: Calculation

The regression sum of square SSR is calculated as follows:

SSR=Sxy2Sxx=(2)22=42=2

SSE=SST-SSR=8-2=6

The slope of the regression line is calculated using the formula,

b1=SxySxx=22=1

The standard error of the estimate is calculated using the formula:

se=SSEn-2=12.45/2=11.732050808=0.577350269≈0.58

04

Part(a) Step 4: Final Answer

From above α=0.10.For n=3

df=n-2=3-2=1

The critical values are role="math" localid="1652278581472" ±tα/2=±t0.05=±6.314, as determined by technology.

Because the test statistic's value is less than the critical value. Our null hypothesis H0i.e t=0.58<t0.05,1=6.314. is not rejected.

05

Part(b) Step 1: Given Information

x243y357

y^=2+x

06

Part(b) Step 2: Explanation

α=0.10for a 90%confidence interval. Since n=3,

df=n-2=3-2=1

From technology, tα/2=t0.10/2=t0.05=6.314

The formula for computing the confidence interval endpoints for β1is

b1±tα/2×seSxx

We have b1=1,

se=2.45

Sxx=2

So, role="math" 1±6.314×2.452

Or 1±10.94, or -9.94to11.94.

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