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Millionaires. From Problem 19. we know that "a 95% confidence interval for the mean age of all U.S. millionaires is from 54.3 years to 62.8 years." Decide which of the following sentences provides a correct interpretation of the statement in quotes. Justify your answers.

a. Ninety-five percent of all U.S. millionaires are between the ages of 54.3

years and 62.8 years.

b. There is a 95% chance that the mean age of all U.S. millionaires is between 54.3 years and 62.8 years.

c. We can be 95% confident that the mean age of all U.S. millionaires is between 54.3 years and 62.8 years.

d. The probability is 0.95 that the mean age of all U.S. millionaires is between 54.3 years and 62.8 years.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) Wrong interpretations.

Part (b) Wrong interpretations.

Part (c) Correct interpretations.

Part (d) Wrong interpretations.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

The 95% confidence interval for the mean age of all millionaires in the United States is 54.3 to 62.8

02

Part (a) Step 2: Concept

The formula used:x¯-zα2σn,x¯+zα2σn

03

Part (c) Step 1: Explanation

Part (C) is the correct interpretation of the given statement, because a 95%confidence interval of μmeans that if a large number of samples of the same size are obtained from a population with a mean of μ, and if the interval x¯-zα2σn,x¯+zα2σnis used for each sample or x¯-tα2sn,x¯+tα2snWhen is found, the interval will encompass μin around 95% of the situations. That is, we are 95% certain that the obtained (confidence) interval will include μ for a given sample.

04

Part (a) Step 3: Explanation

Because a 95% confidence interval of μ does not indicate that 95% of the population units are inside that interval, portion (a) is incorrect.

05

Part (b and d) Step 1: Explanation

Both parts (b) and (d) are incorrect interpretations. Because the likelihood (or chance) that the random interval x¯-zα2σn,x¯+zα2σnwill include μis 0.95(95%)An obtained confidence interval is a specific observation of the aforesaid random interval for a given sample. That is, the supplied (54.3,62.8)confidence interval of μis an observed (i.e. constant) interval. In addition, μis a constant population parameter. As a result, claiming that the chance of a constant interval containing a fixed parameter μis 0.95(or95%)is ridiculous, because probability can only be connected with random occurrences.

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