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Using Normal Approximation. In Exercises 5–8, do the following: If the requirements of np⩾5and nq⩾5are both satisfied, estimate the indicated probability by using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution; if np<5ornq<5 , then state that the normal approximation should not be used.

Births of Boys With n = 20 births and p = 0.512 for a boy, find P(fewer than 8 boys).

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of fewer than 8 boys is equal to 0.1093.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 20 births is considered. The proportion of boys (p) is equal to 0.512.

02

Check the requirement necessary for normal approximation

It is required thatnp⩾5 and nq⩾5.

The values are computed below:

np=200.512=10.24⩾5

nq=201-0.512=9.76⩾5

As the requirement is fulfilled, the normal approximation can be applied to compute the probability value.

03

Mean and Standard Deviation

The mean value is equal to:

μ=np=20×0.512=10.24

The standard deviation is equal to

σ=npq=20×0.512×0.488=2.235

04

Continuity Correction

Let x represent the number of boys in the sample.

Here, x is equal to 8.

The value of x is transformed as follows:

x-0.5,x+0.5=8-0.5,8+0.5=7.5,8.5

It is required to compute the probability of fewer than 8 boys. Thus, the probability to the left of 7.5 needs to be computed.

05

z-score

The z score value is equal to:

z=x-μσ=7.5-10.242.235=-1.23

The z-score is -1.23.

Referring to the standard normal distribution, the area to the left of -1.23 is equal to 0.1093.

Therefore, the probability of fewer than 8 boys is equal to 0.1093.

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