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Equivalence of Hypothesis Test and Confidence Interval Two different simple random samples are drawn from two different populations. The first sample consists of 20 people with 10 having a common attribute. The second sample consists of 2000 people with 1404 of them having the same common attribute. Compare the results from a hypothesis test of p1=p2(with a 0.05 significance level) and a 95% confidence interval estimate ofp1-p2.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Using the hypothesis test method, the null hypothesis is rejected. Thus, there is sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two population proportions are equal.

Using the confidence interval method, the95% confidence interval estimate for the difference in the two proportions is . Since the value of 0 is included, it is said thatthere is not sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two population proportions are equal.

The conclusions of the claim are different for the two methods.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

In a sample consisting of 20 people, 10 possess a given attribute. In another sample of 2000 people, 1404 people possess the attribute.

02

Describe the Hypotheses

It is claimed that the proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the first population is equal to the proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the second population.

The following hypotheses are set up:

Null Hypothesis:The proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the first population is equal to the proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the second population.

H0:p1=p2

Alternative Hypothesis:The proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the first population is not equal to the proportion of people having the attribute corresponding to the second population.

H1:p1p2

The test is two-tailed.

03

Find the important values

Here, n1is the sample size for the first sample and n2is the sample size for the second sample.

Thus, n1is equal to 20 and n2is equal to 2000.

Let p^1denote the sampleproportion of people having the attribute in the first sample.

p^1=1020=0.5

Let p^2denote the sampleproportionof people having the attribute in the second sample.

p^2=14042000=0.702

The value of the pooled proportion is calculated as follows:

p=x1+x2n1+n2=10+140420+2000=0.7

q=1-p=1-0.7=0.3

04

Find the test statistic

The value of the test statistic is computed as shown below:

z=p^1-p^2-p1-p2pqn1+pqn2=0.5-0.702-00.70.320+0.70.32000=-1.962

Thus, the value of the test statistic is -1.962.

Referring to the standard normal distribution table, the critical values of z corresponding to =0.05for a two-tailed test are -1.96 and 1.96.

Referring to the standard normal distribution table, the corresponding p-value is equal to 0.0498.

Since the p-value is less than 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected.

There is enough evidence to reject the claim that the two population proportions are equal.

05

Find the confidence interval

The general formula for confidence interval estimate of the difference in the two proportions is written below:

ConfidenceInterval=p^1-p^2-E,p^1-p^2+E...1

The margin of error (E) has the following expression:

E=z2p^1q^1n1+p^2q^2n2

For computing the confidence interval, first find the critical value z2.

The confidence level is 95%; thus, the value of the level of significance for the confidence interval becomes =0.05.

Hence,

2=0.052=0.025

The value of z2from the standard normal table is equal to 1.96.

Now, the margin of error (E) is equal to:

E=z2p^1q^1n1+p^2q^2n2=1.960.50.520+0.7040.2982000=0.2200

Substitute the value of E in equation (1) as follows:

ConfidenceInterval=p^1-p^2-E,p^1-p^2+E=0.5-0.702-0.2200,0.5-0.702+0.2200=-0.4220,0.0180

Thus, the 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two proportions is.

The above interval contains the value 0. This implies that the difference in the two proportions can be equal to 0. In other words, the two population proportions have a possibility to be equal.

Thus, there is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the two population proportions are equal.

06

Comparison

It can be observed that the conclusion using the p-value method is different from the conclusion obtained using the confidence interval method.

Thus, it can be said that the hypothesis test method and the confidence interval method are not always equivalent when testing the difference between the two population proportions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

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