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Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Cell Phones and Handedness A study was conducted to investigate the association between cell phone use and hemispheric brain dominance. Among 216 subjects who prefer to use their left ear for cell phones, 166 were right-handed. Among 452 subjects who prefer to use their right ear for cell phones, 436 were right-handed (based on data from 鈥淗emi- spheric Dominance and Cell Phone Use,鈥 by Seidman et al., JAMA Otolaryngology鈥擧ead & Neck Surgery, Vol. 139, No. 5). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their left ear for cell phones is less than the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their right ear for cell phones. (Try not to get too confused here.)

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The hypotheses are as follows.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{p_1} = {p_2}\\\,{H_1}:{p_1} < {\rm{ }}{p_2}\end{array}\)

The test statistic is -7.944. The P-value is 0.0001.The null hypothesis is rejected, and thus, there is sufficient evidence to claim that the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their left ear for cell phones is less than the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their right ear for cell phones.

b. The 98% confidence interval is \( - 0.266 < \left( {{{\rm{p}}_1} - {{\rm{p}}_2}} \right) < - 0.126\). As the interval does not contain 0, there is enough evidence to support the claim.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The statistics for the two groups:

  • Among the 216 who prefer the left ear for cell phones, 166 are right-handed.
  • Among the 452 who prefer the right ear for cell phones, 436 are right-handed.

The significance level is \(\alpha = 0.01\) to test the proportion of right-handed individuals who prefer the left ear less than the ones who prefer the right ear for cellphones.

02

State the null and alternative hypotheses

Let\({p_1},{p_2}\)be the actual proportion of subjects who are right-handed among the subjects who prefer the left and right hands for cellphones, respectively.

Using the claim, the hypotheses are as follows.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{p_1} = {p_2}\\\,{H_1}:{p_1} < {\rm{ }}{p_2}\end{array}\)

03

Compute the proportions

From the given information, summarize as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}{{\rm{n}}_1} = 216\,\\{{\rm{x}}_1} = 166\\\,{{\rm{n}}_2} = 452\,\\{{\rm{x}}_2} = 436\end{array}\)

The sample proportions are

\(\begin{array}{c}{{\hat p}_1} = \frac{{{x_1}}}{{{n_1}}}\\ = \frac{{166}}{{216}}\\ = 0.7685\end{array}\)

and

\(\begin{array}{c}{{\hat p}_2} = \frac{{{x_2}}}{{{n_2}}}\\ = \frac{{436}}{{452}}\\ = 0.9646\end{array}\).

04

Find the pooled proportions

The sample pooled proportions are calculated as

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar p = \frac{{\left( {{x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}}{{\left( {{n_1} + {n_2}} \right)}}\,\\ = \frac{{\left( {166 + 436} \right)}}{{\left( {216 + 452} \right)}}\\ = 0.9012\end{array}\)

And

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{\bar q}} = 1 - {\rm{\bar p}}\\ = 1 - 0.9012\\ = 0.0988\end{array}\).

05

Define the test statistic

To conduct a hypothesis test of two proportions, the test statistic is computed as follows.

\(z = \frac{{\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) - \left( {{p_1} - {p_2}} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\frac{{\bar p\bar q}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{\bar p\bar q}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)} }}\,\,\)

Substitute the values. So,

\(\begin{array}{c}z = \frac{{\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) - \left( {{p_1} - {p_2}} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\frac{{\bar p\bar q}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{\bar p\bar q}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)} }}\\ = \frac{{\left( {0.7685 - 0.9646} \right) - 0}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\frac{{0.9012 \times 0.0988}}{{216}} + \frac{{0.9012 \times 0.0988}}{{452}}} \right)} }}\\ = - 7.944\end{array}\).

The value of the test statistic is -7.94.

06

Find the p-value

Referring to the standard normal table for the negative z-score of 0.0001, the cumulative probability of -7.94 is obtained from the cell intersection for rows -3.50 and above and the column value of 0.00.

For the left-tailed test, the p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic. That is,

\(P\left( {z < - 7.94} \right) = 0.0001\).

Thus, the p-value is 0.0001.

As the\(P - value = 0.0001 < \alpha = 0.01\), it is concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.

Thus, it is concluded that there is enough evidence to support the claim that the proportion of right-handed individuals who prefer the left ear is less than that of the ones who prefer the right ear for cell phones.

07

Describe the confidence interval

b.

The general formula for the confidence interval of the difference of proportions is as follows.

\({\rm{Confidence}}\,\,{\rm{Interval}} = \left( {\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) - E\,\,,\,\,\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) + E} \right)\)\(\)

Here, E is the margin of error, which is calculated as follows.

\(E = {z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sqrt {\left( {\frac{{{{\hat p}_1} \times {{\hat q}_1}}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{{{\hat p}_2} \times {{\hat q}_2}}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)} \)

08

Find the confidence interval

The confidence level is 98% if the level of significance used in the one-tailed test is 0.01.

Thus, the value of the level of significance for the confidence interval becomes\(\alpha = 0.02\).

Hence,

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{\alpha }{2} = \frac{{0.02}}{2}\\ = 0.01\end{array}\).

The value of\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\)from the standard normal table is equal to 2.33.

The margin of error E is computed as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}E = {z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sqrt {\left( {\frac{{{{\hat p}_1} \times {{\hat q}_1}}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{{{\hat p}_2} \times {{\hat q}_2}}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)} \\ = 2.33 \times \sqrt {\left( {\frac{{0.7685 \times 0.2315}}{{216}} + \frac{{0.9646 \times 0.0354}}{{452}}} \right)} \\ = 0.0699\end{array}\).

Substitute the value of E as follows.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{Confidence}}\,\,{\rm{Interva}}l = \left( {\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) - E\,\,,\,\,\left( {{{\hat p}_1} - {{\hat p}_2}} \right) + E} \right)\\ = \left( {\left( {0.7685 - 0.9646} \right) - 0.0698\,,\,\left( {0.7685 - 0.9646} \right) + 0.0698} \right)\\ = \left( { - 0.266\,\,,\,\, - 0.126} \right)\end{array}\).

Thus, the 98% confidence interval for two proportions is \( - 0.266 < \left( {{{\rm{p}}_1} - {{\rm{p}}_2}} \right) < - 0.126\) .

09

State the decision

The confidence interval does not include 0, and thus, the null hypothesis is rejected.

Thus, there is enough evidence to conclude that the claim is supported.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Magnet Treatment of Pain People spend around $5 billion annually for the purchase of magnets used to treat a wide variety of pains. Researchers conducted a study to determine whether magnets are effective in treating back pain. Pain was measured using the visual analog scale, and the results given below are among the results obtained in the study (based on data from 鈥淏ipolar Permanent Magnets for the Treatment of Chronic Lower Back Pain: A Pilot Study,鈥 by Collacott, Zimmerman, White, and Rindone, Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 283, No. 10). Higher scores correspond to greater pain levels.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that those treated with magnets have a greater mean reduction in pain than those given a sham treatment (similar to a placebo).

b. Construct the confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a).

c. Does it appear that magnets are effective in treating back pain? Is it valid to argue that magnets might appear to be effective if the sample sizes are larger?

Reduction in Pain Level after Magnet Treatment: n = 20, x = 0.49, s = 0.96

Reduction in Pain Level after Sham Treatment: n = 20, x = 0.44, s = 1.4

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Cardiac Arrest at Day and Night A study investigated survival rates for in hospital patients who suffered cardiac arrest. Among 58,593 patients who had cardiac arrest during the day, 11,604 survived and were discharged. Among 28,155 patients who suffered cardiac arrest at night, 4139 survived and were discharged (based on data from 鈥淪urvival from In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest During Nights and Weekends,鈥 by Puberty et al., Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 299, No. 7). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the survival rates are the same for day and night.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. Based on the results, does it appear that for in-hospital patients who suffer cardiac arrest, the survival rate is the same for day and night?

Verifying requirements in the largest clinical trial ever conducted, 401,974 children were randomly assigned to two groups. The treatment group considered of 201,229 children given the sulk vaccine for polio, and 33 of those children developed polio. The other 200,745 children were given a placebo, and 115 of those children developed polio. If we want to use the methods of this section to test the claim that the rate of polio is less for children given the sulk vaccine, are the requirements for a hypothesis test satisfied? Explain.

A sample size that will ensure a margin of error of at most the one specified.

In Exercises 5鈥20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with 鈥淭able鈥 answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of n1鈭1 and n2鈭1.)

Color and Cognition Researchers from the University of British Columbia conducted a study to investigate the effects of color on cognitive tasks. Words were displayed on a computer screen with background colors of red and blue. Results from scores on a test of word recall are given below. Higher scores correspond to greater word recall.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the samples are from populations with the same mean.

b. Construct a confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a). What is it about the confidence interval that causes us to reach the same conclusion from part (a)?

c. Does the background color appear to have an effect on word recall scores? If so, which color appears to be associated with higher word memory recall scores?

Red Background n = 35, x = 15.89, s = 5.90

Blue Background n = 36, x = 12.31, s = 5.48

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