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In Exercises 5鈥20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with 鈥淭able鈥 answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of\({n_1} - 1\)and\({n_2} - 1\).)

Seat Belts A study of seat belt use involved children who were hospitalized after motor vehicle crashes. For a group of 123 children who were wearing seat belts, the number of days in intensive care units (ICU) has a mean of 0.83 and a standard deviation of 1.77. For a group of 290 children who were not wearing seat belts, the number of days spent in ICUs has a mean of 1.39 and a standard deviation of 3.06 (based on data from 鈥淢orbidity Among Pediatric Motor Vehicle Crash Victims: The Effectiveness of Seat Belts,鈥 by Osberg and Di Scala, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 82, No. 3).

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that children wearing seat belts have a lower mean length of time in an ICU than the mean for children not wearing seat belts.

b. Construct a confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a).

c. What important conclusion do the results suggest?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a.There is enough evidence tosupport the claim that thechildren wearing seat belts have a lower mean length of time in an ICU than the mean for children not wearing seat belts.

b.The 90% confidence interval is equal to\( - 0.9583 < \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right) < - 0.1617\).

c.It can be concluded that the mean time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts is less than the mean time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

In a sample of 123 children wearing seat belts, the mean number of days in ICU is equal to 0.83, and the standard deviation is equal to 1.77. In another sample of 290 children not wearing seat belts, the mean number of days spent in ICU is equal to 1.39, and the standard deviation is equal to 3.06.

It is claimed that the mean number of days spent in an ICU by children who were wearing a seatbelt is less than the mean number of days in the ICU by children who were not wearing a seatbelt.

02

Hypotheses

Null Hypothesis: The population mean time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts is equal to the population mean time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts.

Symbolically,

\({H_0}:{\mu _1} = {\mu _2}\)

Since the original claim does not include equality, the alternate hypothesis becomes:

Alternative Hypothesis: The population mean time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts is less than the population mean time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts.

Symbolically,

\({H_1}:{\mu _1} < {\mu _2}\)

03

Compute the test statistic

Apply the t-test to compute the test statistic using the formula,\(t = \frac{{\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) - \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} }}\)

Here,

\({n_1}\)denotes the sample size of children who were wearing seat belts and got hospitalized after an accident. Its value is equal to 123.

\({n_2}\)denotes the sample size of children who were not wearing seat belts and got hospitalized after an accident. Its value is equal to 290.

\({\bar x_1}\)denotes the sample mean time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts and have a value equal to 0.83.

\({\bar x_2}\)denotes the sample mean time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts and have a value equal to 1.39.

\({s_1}\)is the sample standard deviation of the time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts. It has a value equal to 1.77.

\({s_1}\)is the sample standard deviation of the time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts. It has a value equal to 3.06.

Substitute the respective values in the above formula to obtain the test statistic:

\(\begin{array}{c}t = \frac{{\left( {0.83 - 1.39} \right) - 0}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {1.77} \right)}^2}}}{{123}} + \frac{{{{\left( {3.06} \right)}^2}}}{{290}}} }}\\ = - 2.33\end{array}\)

04

State the critical value

The degrees of freedom is the smaller of the two values\(\left( {{n_1} - 1} \right)\)and\(\left( {{n_2} - 1} \right)\).

The values are computed below:

\(\begin{array}{c}\left( {{n_1} - 1} \right) = 123 - 1\\ = 122\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{c}\left( {{n_2} - 1} \right) = 290 - 1\\ = 289\end{array}\)

Thus, the value of the degrees of freedom is equal to the smaller of 122 and 289, which is 122.

The critical value can be obtained using the t distribution table with degrees of freedom equal to 122 and the significance level equal to 0.05 for a left-tailed test.

Thus, the critical value is equal to -1.6574.

The p-value for t equal to -2.33 is equal to 0.0108.

05

Conclusion of the test

Since the test statistic value is less than the critical value and the p-value is less than 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected.

Thus, there is enough evidence tosupport the claim that thechildren wearing seat belts have a lower mean length of time in an ICU than the mean for children not wearing seat belts.

06

Construct a confidence interval

The confidence interval has the following expression:

\(CI = \left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) - E < \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right) < \left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) + E\)

If a one-tailed hypothesis test is conducted at a 0.05 level of significance, then the confidence level to construct the confidence interval is equal to 90%.

Thus, the level of significance to construct the confidence interval becomes\(\alpha = 0.10\).

The margin of error is given by the following formula:
\(E = {t_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \).

Substitute the respective values in the above formula to compute the margin of error:

\(\begin{array}{c}E = 1.6574 \times \sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {1.77} \right)}^2}}}{{123}} + \frac{{{{\left( {3.06} \right)}^2}}}{{290}}} \\ = 0.3983\end{array}\)

Substituting the value of E and the sample means, the following confidence interval is obtained:

\(\begin{array}{c}\left( {0.83 - 1.39} \right) - 0.3983 < \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right) < \left( {0.83 - 1.39} \right) + 0.3983\\ - 0.9583 < \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right) < - 0.1617\end{array}\)

Thus, the 90% confidence interval of the difference in the two population means is equal to (-0.9583, -0.1617).

07

Conclusion based on the confidence interval

Therefore, 95 per cent of the time, the value of the difference in the population means would lie within the values of-0.9583 and -0.1617.

It can be observed that 0 does not lie within the interval. This implies that the two population means cannot be the same.

Thus, there is enough evidence tosupport the claim that thechildren wearing seat belts have a lower mean length of time in an ICU than the mean for children not wearing seat belts.

08

Final Conclusion

It can be concluded that the mean time length of children in the ICU who were wearing seat belts is less than the mean time length of children in the ICU who were not wearing seat belts.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Dreaming in Black and White A study was conducted to determine the proportion of people who dream in black and white instead of color. Among 306 people over the age of 55, 68 dream in black and white, and among 298 people under the age of 25, 13 dream in black and white (based on data from 鈥淒o We Dream in Color?鈥 by Eva Murzyn, Consciousness and Cognition, Vol. 17, No. 4). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of people over 55 who dream in black and white is greater than the proportion of those under 25.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. An explanation given for the results is that those over the age of 55 grew up exposed to media that was mostly displayed in black and white. Can the results from parts (a) and (b) be used to verify that explanation?

Determining Sample Size The sample size needed to estimate the difference between two population proportions to within a margin of error E with a confidence level of 1 - a can be found by using the following expression:

E=z2p1q1n1+p2q2n2

Replace n1andn2 by n in the preceding formula (assuming that both samples have the same size) and replace each of role="math" localid="1649424190272" p1,q1,p2andq2by 0.5 (because their values are not known). Solving for n results in this expression:

n=z222E2

Use this expression to find the size of each sample if you want to estimate the difference between the proportions of men and women who own smartphones. Assume that you want 95% confidence that your error is no more than 0.03.

Body TemperaturesListed below are body temperatures from seven different subjects measuredat two different times in a day (from Data Set 3 鈥淏ody Temperatures鈥 in Appendix B).

a.Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that there is no difference between body temperaturesmeasured at 8 AM and at 12 AM.

b.Construct the confidence interval that could be used for the hypothesis test described in part(a). What feature of the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion reached in part (a)

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 8AM

96.6

97.0

97.0

97.8

97.0

97.4

96.6

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 12AM

99.0

98.4

98.0

98.6

98.5

98.9

98.4

NotationListed below are body temperatures from five different\({\bf{\bar d}}\)subjects measured at 8 AM and again at 12 AM (from Data Set 3 鈥淏ody Temperatures鈥 in Appendix B). Find the values of and\({{\bf{s}}_{\bf{d}}}\). In general, what does\({{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{d}}}\)represent?

Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\)at 8AM

97.8

99.0

97.4

97.4

97.5

Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\)at 12AM

98.6

99.5

97.5

97.3

97.6

In Exercises 5鈥16, test the given claim.

Color and Creativity Researchers from the University of British Columbia conducted trials to investigate the effects of color on creativity. Subjects with a red background were asked to think of creative uses for a brick; other subjects with a blue background were given the same task. Responses were scored by a panel of judges and results from scores of creativity are given below. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that creative task scores have the same variation with a red background and a blue background.

Red Background:

n = 35, \(\bar x\) = 3.39, s = 0.97

Blue Background:

n = 36, \(\bar x\)= 3.97, s = 0.63

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