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Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 9鈥32, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method unless your instructor specifies otherwise. Use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, as described in Part 1 of this section.

Drug Screening The company Drug Test Success provides a 鈥1-Panel-THC鈥 test for marijuana usage. Among 300 tested subjects, results from 27 subjects were wrong (either a false positive or a false negative). Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that less than 10% of the test results are wrong. Does the test appear to be good for most purposes?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Null hypothesis: The proportion of results that are wrong is equal to 10%.

Alternative hypothesis:The proportion of results that are wrong is less than 10%.

Test statistic: -0.577

Critical value: -1.645

P-value: 0.2820

The null hypothesis is failed to reject.

There is not enough evidence to support the claim that the proportion of test results that are wrong is less than 10%.

Although the null hypothesis isnot rejected, the proportion of inaccurate results isjust 9%, which can be considered low.

As a result, the test appears to be suitable for a majority of purposes.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 300 subjects is tested for marihuana usage. Out of the 300 tested subjects, 27 of the results are wrong.

02

Hypotheses

The null hypothesis is written as follows.

The proportion of results that arewrong is equal to 10%.

\({H_0}:p = 0.10\).

The alternative hypothesis is written as follows.

The proportion of results that arewrong is less than 10%.

\({H_1}:p < 0.10\).

The test is left-tailed.

03

Sample size, sample proportion, and population proportion

The sample size is n=300.

The sample proportion of the results is computed below.

\[\begin{array}{c}\hat p = \frac{{{\rm{Number}}\;{\rm{of}}\;{\rm{results}}\;{\rm{that}}\;{\rm{were}}\;{\rm{wrong}}}}{{{\rm{Total}}\;{\rm{number}}\;{\rm{of}}\;{\rm{results}}\;}}\\ = \frac{{27}}{{300}}\\ = 0.09\end{array}\].

The population proportion of the results that are wrong is equal to 0.10.

04

Test statistic

The value of the test statistic is computed below.

\(\begin{array}{c}z = \frac{{\hat p - p}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{pq}}{n}} }}\\ = \frac{{0.09 - 0.10}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{0.10\left( {1 - 0.10} \right)}}{{300}}} }}\\ = - 0.577\end{array}\).

Thus, z=-0.577.

05

Critical value and p-value

Referring to the standard normal table, the critical value of z at\(\alpha = 0.05\)for a left-tailed test is equal to -1.645.

Referring to the standard normal table, the p-value for the test statistic value of -0.577 is equal to 0.2820.

As the p-value is greater than 0.05, the decision is fail to reject the null hypothesis.

06

Conclusion of the test

There is not enough evidence to support the claim that the proportion of results that is wrong is less than 10%.

Although the null hypothesis is failed to reject, the proportion of incorrect results equal to 9% is reasonably low.

Thus, it can be said that the test seems good for most purposes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Using Confidence Intervals to Test Hypotheseswhen analyzing the last digits of telephone numbers in Port Jefferson, it is found that among 1000 randomly selected digits, 119 are zeros. If the digits are randomly selected, the proportion of zeros should be 0.1.

a.Use the critical value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

b.Use the P-value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

c.Use the sample data to construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of zeros. What does the confidence interval suggest about the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1?

d.Compare the results from the critical value method, the P-value method, and the confidence interval method. Do they all lead to the same conclusion?

In Exercises 1鈥4, use these results from a USA Today survey in which 510 people chose to respond to this question that was posted on the USA Today website: 鈥淪hould Americans replace passwords with biometric security (fingerprints, etc)?鈥 Among the respondents, 53% said 鈥測es.鈥 We want to test the claim that more than half of the population believes that passwords should be replaced with biometric security.

Number and Proportion

a. Identify the actual number of respondents who answered 鈥測es.鈥

b. Identify the sample proportion and the symbol used to represent it.

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 9鈥32, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method unless your instructor specifies otherwise. Use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, as described in Part 1 of this section.

Bias in Jury SelectionIn the case of Casteneda v. Partida,it was found that during a period of 11 years in Hidalgo County, Texas, 870 people were selected for grand jury duty and 39% of them were Americans of Mexican ancestry. Among the people eligible for grand jury duty, 79.1% were Americans of Mexican ancestry. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the selection process is biased against Americans of Mexican ancestry. Does the jury selection system appear to be biased?

Critical Values. In Exercises 21鈥24, refer to the information in the given exercise and do the following.

a. Find the critical value(s).

b. Using a significance level of = 0.05, should we reject H0or should we fail to reject H0?

Exercise 19

In Exercises 9鈥12, refer to the exercise identified. Make subjective estimates to decide whether results are significantly low or significantly high, then state a conclusion about the original claim. For example, if the claim is that a coin favours heads and sample results consist of 11 heads in 20 flips, conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the coin favours heads (because it is easy to get 11 heads in 20 flips by chance with a fair coin).

Exercise 6 鈥淐ell Phone鈥

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