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In Exercises 5鈥8, use the relatively small number of given bootstrap samples to construct the confidence interval. Freshman 15: Here is a sample of amounts of weight change (kg) of college students in their freshman year (from Data Set 6 鈥淔reshman 15鈥 in Appendix B): 11, 3, 0, -2, where -2 represents a loss of 2 kg and positive values represent weight gained. Here are ten bootstrap samples: {11, 11, 11, 0}, {11, -2, 0, 11}, {11, -2, 3, 0}, {3, -2, 0, 11}, {0, 0, 0, 3}, {3, -2, 3, -2}, {11, 3, -2, 0}, { -2, 3, -2, 3}, { -2, 0, -2, 3}, {3, 11, 11, 11}. a. Using only the ten given bootstrap samples, construct an 80% confidence interval estimate of the mean weight change for the population. b. Using only the ten given bootstrap samples, construct an 80% confidence interval estimate of the standard deviation of the weight changes for the population.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The 80% confidence interval of the population mean weight change is (0.125 kg,8.625 kg).

b. The 80% confidence interval of the standard deviation of the weight change is (1.93 kg, 6.35 kg).

Step by step solution

01

Given information

10 bootstrap samples of the amount of weight change of college students in freshman year are considered. There are four possible sample values: 11, 3, 0 and -2. Here, -2 denotes a loss of 2 kgs, and all other positive values represent weight gained.

The 10 samples are:

{11, 11, 11, 0}, {11, -2, 0, 11}, {11, -2, 3, 0}, {3, -2, 0, 11}, {0, 0, 0, 3}, {3, -2, 3, -2}, {11, 3, -2, 0}, { -2, 3, -2, 3}, { -2, 0, -2, 3} and {3, 11, 11, 11}.

02

Expression of the confidence intervals

The 80% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion has the following expression:

P10<p<P90

Here, P10denotes the 10th percentile of the sorted sample proportions and P90denotes the 90th percentile of the sorted sample proportions.

The 80% confidence interval estimate of the population standard deviation has the following expression:

P10<<P90

Here, P10denotes the 10th percentile of the sorted sample standard deviations and P90denotes the 90th percentile of the sorted sample standard deviations.

03

Find the sample mean from each bootstrap sample

The following formula of the sample mean is used to compute the sample mean of each of the 10 bootstrap samples:

x=i=1nxin

Here, xidenotes the i-th sample observation, and n is the sample size.

The sample mean for the first bootstrap sample is computed below.

x1=11+11+11+04=8.25kgs

Similarly, the sample means of the remaining 9 bootstrap samples are computed.

The following table shows the sample mean of each of the 10 bootstrap samples:

Sample number

Bootstrap samples

Sample mean

1

11

11

11

0

8.25

2

11

-2

0

11

5

3

11

-2

3

0

3

4

3

-2

0

11

3

5

0

0

0

3

0.75

6

3

-2

3

-2

0.5

7

11

3

-2

0

3

8

-2

3

-2

3

0.5

9

-2

0

-2

3

-0.25

10

3

11

11

11

9

The following table shows the sorted values of the sample means in ascending order:

-0.25

0.5

0.5

0.75

3

3

3

5

8.25

9

04

Find the percentiles

For finding the percentile, first, compute the value of the locator (L) as follows.

L=k100n

Here, k is the percentile value, and n is the total number of observations.

a.

For finding the 10th percentile of the sorted values, first, find the value of L.

Here, n is equal to 10, and k is equal to 5.

Thus,

L=k100n=1010010=1

As L is a whole number, the value of P10is the sum of the Lth,and the L+1thsample means divided by 2.

P10=1stsamplemean+2ndsamplemean2=-0.25+0.52=0.125kg

Thus, P10is equal to 0.125 kg.

For finding the 90th percentile, first, find the value of L.

L=k100n=9010010=9

As L is a whole number, the value of P90is the sum of the Lthand the L+1thsample means divided by 2.

P90=9thsamplemean+10thsamplemean2=8.25+92=8.625kg

Thus, P90is equal to 8.625 kg.

05

Confidence interval estimate of the population mean

a.

The 80% confidence intervalestimate of the population meanusing the bootstrap samples is as follows.

CI=P10<<P90=0.125kg<<8.625kg

Thus, the 80%confidence intervalestimate of the population mean is equal to (0.125 kg, 8.625kg).

06

Find the standard deviation of each bootstrap sample

The following formula of the sample standard deviation is used to compute the sample standard deviations of each of the 10 bootstrap samples.

s=i=1n(xi-x)2n-1

Here,xidenotes the ith sample observation, is the sample mean, and n is the sample size.

The sample standard deviation for the first bootstrap sample is computed below.

s1=i=1n(xi-x1)2n-1=11-8.252+11-8.252+11-8.252+0-8.2524-1=5.50kg

Similarly, the sample standard deviations of the remaining 9 bootstrap samples are computed.

The following table shows the sample standard deviations of each of the 10 bootstrap samples:

Sample number

Bootstrap samples

Sample standard deviation

1

11

11

11

0

5.50

2

11

-2

0

11

6.98

3

11

-2

3

0

5.72

4

3

-2

0

11

5.72

5

0

0

0

3

1.50

6

3

-2

3

-2

2.89

7

11

3

-2

0

5.72

8

-2

3

-2

3

2.89

9

-2

0

-2

3

2.36

10

3

11

11

11

4.00

The sorted sample standard deviations in ascending order are shown below.

1.50

2.36

2.89

2.89

4.00

5.50

5.72

5.72

5.72

6.98

07

Find the percentiles

The value of L will remain the same for the 10thand 90th percentiles.

The value of the 10th percentile of the sorted sample standard deviations is equal to

P10=1stsamplestandarddeviation+2ndsamplestandarddeviation2=1.50+2.362=1.93kg

Thus, P10is equal to 1.93 kg.

The value of the 90th percentile of the sorted sample standard deviations is equal to

P90=9thsamplestandarddeviation+10thsamplestandarddeviation2=5.72+6.982=6.35kg

Thus, P90is equal to 6.35 kg.

08

Confidence interval estimate of the population standard deviation

b.

The 80% confidence intervalestimate of the population standard deviationusing the bootstrap samples is as follows.

P10<<P90=1.93kg<<6.35kg

Therefore, the 80% confidence intervalestimate of the population standard deviation of weight gained is equal to (1.93 kg, 6.35 kg).

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