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Acceptance Sampling. Exercises 35 and 36 involve the method of acceptance sampling, whereby a shipment of a large number of items is accepted based on test results from a sample of the items.

AAA Batteries AAA batteries are made by companies including Duracell, Energizer, Eveready, and Panasonic. When purchasing bulk orders of AAA batteries, a toy manufacturer uses this acceptance sampling plan: Randomly select 50 batteries and determine whether each is within specifications. The entire shipment is accepted if at most 2 batteries do not meet specifications. A shipment contains 2000 AAA batteries, and 2% of them do not meet specifications. What is the probability that this whole shipment will be accepted? Will almost all such shipments be accepted, or will many be rejected?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that the shipment of batteries will be accepted is equal to 0.922.

From the given probability, it can be inferred that the accepted shipments are 92%, and 8% would be rejected.

Resultant to a low rejection rate, the quality of batteries that were produced isexpected to be good.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

It is given that a shipment of batteries is accepted if at most two batteries do not meet the specifications. The probability that a battery will not meet specifications is equal to 2%.

02

Required probability 

Let Xdenote the number of batteries that do not meet specifications.

Success is defined as getting a battery that does not meet specifications.

The probability of success is computed below:

p=2%=2100=0.02

The probability of failure is computed below:

q=1-p=1-0.02=0.08

The number of trials (n) is equal to 50.

The binomial probability formula used to compute the given probability is as follows:

PX=x=nCxpxqn-x

Using the binomial probability formula, the probability that at most two batteries do not meet specifications is computed below:

PX2=PX=0+PX=1+PX=2=50C00.0200.0850-0+50C10.0210.0850-1+50C20.0220.0850-2=0.36417+0.371602+0.185801=0.922

Thus, the probability that the shipment of batteries will be accepted is equal to 0.922.

03

Determine that all shipments would be accepted or not 

The probability suggests that 92% of such shipments will be accepted, and only 8% of the shipments will be rejected.

Since the probability of rejection of shipment is low, the quality of batteries produced is good.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The planets of the solar system have the numbers of moons listed below in order from the sun. (Pluto is not included because it was uninvited from the solar system party in 2006.) Include appropriate units whenever relevant.

0 0 1 2 17 28 21 8

a. Find the mean.

b. Find the median.

c. Find the mode.

d. Find the range.

e. Find the standard deviation.

f. Find the variance.

g. Use the range rule of thumb to identify the values separating significant values from those that are not significant.

h. Based on the result from part (g), do any of the planets have a number of moons that is significantly low or significantly high? Why or why not?

i. What is the level of measurement of the data: nominal, ordinal, interval, or ratio?

j. Are the data discrete or continuous?

In Exercises 15鈥20, refer to the accompanying table,which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 differentsets of parents. The random variable x represents the number ofgirls among 8 children.

Find the mean and standarddeviation for the numbers of girls in 8 births.

Number of girls x

P(x)

0

0.004

1

0.031

2

0.109

3

0.219

4

0.273

5

0.219

6

0.109

7

0.031

8

0.004

Critical Thinking: Did Mendel鈥檚 results from plant hybridization experiments contradict his theory? Gregor Mendel conducted original experiments to study the genetic traits of pea plants. In 1865 he wrote 鈥淓xperiments in Plant Hybridization,鈥 which was published in Proceedings of the Natural History Society. Mendel presented a theory that when there are two inheritable traits, one of them will be dominant and the other will be recessive. Each parent contributes one gene to an offspring and, depending on the combination of genes, that offspring could inherit the dominant trait or the recessive trait. Mendel conducted an experiment using pea plants. The pods of pea plants can be green or yellow. When one pea carrying a dominant green gene and a recessive yellow gene is crossed with another pea carrying the same green>yellow genes, the offspring can inherit any one of these four combinations of genes: (1) green/green; (2) green/yellow; (3) yellow/green; (4) yellow/yellow. Because green is dominant and yellow is recessive, the offspring pod will be green if either of the two inherited genes is green. The offspring can have a yellow pod only if it inherits the yellow gene from each of the two parents. Given these conditions, we expect that 3/4 of the o搂spring peas should have green pods; that is, P(green pod) = 3/4. When Mendel conducted his famous hybridization experiments using parent pea plants with the green/yellow combination of genes, he obtained 580 offspring. According to Mendel鈥檚 theory, 3/4 of the offspring should have green pods, but the actual number of plants with green pods was 428. So the proportion of offspring with green pods to the total number of offspring is 428/580 = 0.738. Mendel expected a proportion of 3/4 or 0.75, but his actual result is a proportion of 0.738.

a. Assuming that P(green pod) = 3/4, find the probability that among 580 offspring, the number of peas with green pods is exactly 428.

b. Assuming that P(green pod) = 3/4, find the probability that among 580 offspring, the number of peas with green pods is 428 or fewer.

c. Which of the two preceding probabilities should be used for determining whether 428 is a significantly low number of peas with green pods?

d. Use probabilities to determine whether 428 peas with green pods is a significantly low number. (Hint: See 鈥淚dentifying Significant Results with Probabilities鈥 in Section 5-1.)

In Exercises 15鈥20, refer to the accompanying table, which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 different sets of parents. The random variable x represents the number of girls among 8 children.

Using Probabilities for Significant Events

a. Find the probability of getting exactly 6 girls in 8 births.

b. Find the probability of getting 6 or more girls in 8 births.

c. Which probability is relevant for determining whether 6 is a significantly high number of girls in 8 births: the result from part (a) or part (b)?

d. Is 6 a significantly high number of girls in 8 births? Why or why not?

Number of girls x

P(x)

0

0.004

1

0.031

2

0.109

3

0.219

4

0.273

5

0.219

6

0.109

7

0.031

8

0.004

In Exercises 5 and 6, refer to the given values, then identify which of the following is most appropriate:discrete randomvariable, continuous random variable, ornot a random variable.

a. Exact weights of the next 100 babies born in the United States

b. Responses to the survey question 鈥淲hich political party do you prefer?鈥

c. Numbers of spins of roulette wheels required to get the number 7

d. Exact foot lengths of humans

e. Shoe sizes (such as 8 or 8陆) of humans

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