/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q27 Expected Value in Virginia’s P... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Expected Value in Virginia’s Pick 3 Game In Virginia’s Pick 3 lottery game, you can pay \(1 to select a three-digit number from 000 through 999. If you select the same sequence of three digits that are drawn, you win and collect \)500.

a. How many different selections are possible?

b. What is the probability of winning?

c. If you win, what is your net profit?

d. Find the expected value.

e. If you bet \(1 in Virginia’s Pick 4 game, the expected value is -50¢. Which bet is better in the sense of a producing a higher expected value: A \)1 bet in the Virginia Pick 3 game or a $1 bet in the Virginia Pick 4 game?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The number of selections possible is equal to 1000.

b. The probability of winning is equal to 0.001.

c.The net profit is equal to 499 dollars.

d. The expected value of a $1 bet on Virginia’s Pick 4 game is equal to -50 cents.

e. None of the games is better than the other because the expected value of a $1 bet on Virginia’s Pick 3 game is equal to the expected value of a $1 bet on Virginia’s Pick 4 game.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Virginia’s Pick lottery involves selecting a three-digit number from 000 to 999. The price of the bet is equal to $1. If the lottery is won, $500 is collected.

02

Number of selections

a.

The total number of digits available is equal to 10.

The number of digits to be selected is equal to 3.

As the repetition of digits is allowed, each selected digit has 10 options.

Thus, the number of selections is equal to

10×10×10=1000

Therefore, the number of selections possible is equal to 1000.

03

Probability of winning

b.

The total number of selections is equal to 1000.

The number of combinations of digits that will result in a win is equal to 1.

The probability of winning is computed below.

Pwinning=11000=0.001

Therefore, the probability of winning is equal to 0.001.

04

Net profit

c.

The net profit on a $1 bet is computed below.

Netprofit=Amountwon-Betamount=500-1=499dollars

Thus, the net profit is equal to 499 dollars.

05

Expected value

d.

The expected value of the bet is equal to the expected amount that can be won or lost.

It is computed as follows.

Expectedvalue=Netprofit×Probabilityofwinning-Netloss×Probabilityoflosing=500-10.001-11-0.001=-0.50dollars=-50cents

Thus, the expected value of a $1 bet on Virginia’s Pick game is equal to -50 cents.

06

Comparison of the two games

e.

The game that has a higher expected value is considered beneficial.

The expected value of betting on the Virginia Pick 4 game is equal to -50 cents.

As the expected value of betting on the Virginia Pick 3 game is equal to the expected value of betting on the Virginia Pick 4 game, both are equally suitable.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 1–5, assume that 74% of randomly selected adults have a credit card (basedon results from an AARP Bulletin survey). Assume that a group of five adults is randomlyselected.

Find the probability that at least one of the five adults has a credit card. Does the result apply to five adult friends who are vacationing together? Why or why not?

In Exercises 7–14, determine whether a probability

distribution is given. If a probability distribution is given, find its mean and standarddeviation. If a probability distribution is not given, identify the requirements that are notsatisfied.

In a Microsoft Instant Messaging survey, respondents were asked to choose the most fun way to flirt, and the accompanying table is based on the results.

x

P(x)

E-mail

0.06

In person

0.55

Instant message

0.24

Text message

0.15

There are 80 questions from an SAT test, and they are allmultiple choice with possible answersof a, b, c, d, e. For each question, only one answer is correct. Find the mean and standarddeviation for the numbers of correct answers for those who make random guesses for all 80

questions.

In Exercises 15–20, refer to the accompanying table, which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 different sets of parents. The random variable x represents the number of girls among 8 children.

Using Probabilities for Significant Events

a. Find the probability of getting exactly 7 girls in 8 births.

b. Find the probability of getting 7 or more girls in 8 births.

c. Which probability is relevant for determining whether 7 is a significantly high number ofgirls in 10 births: the result from part (a) or part (b)?

d. Is 7 a significantly high number of girls in 8 births? Why or why not?

Number of girls x

P(x)

0

0.004

1

0.031

2

0.109

3

0.219

4

0.273

5

0.219

6

0.109

7

0.031

8

0.004

Multinomial Distribution The binomial distribution applies only to cases involving two types of outcomes, whereas the multinomial distribution involves more than two categories. Suppose we have three types of mutually exclusive outcomes denoted by A, B, and C. Let\(P\left( A \right) = {p_1}\),\(P\left( B \right) = {p_2}\)and\(P\left( C \right) = {p_3}\). In n independent trials, the probability of\({x_1}\)outcomes of type A,\({x_2}\)outcomes of type B, and\({x_3}\)outcomes of type C is given by

\[\frac{{n!}}{{\left( {{x_1}} \right)!\left( {{x_2}} \right)!\left( {{x_3}} \right)!}}{p_1}^{{x_1}} \times {p_2}^{{x_2}} \times {p_3}^{{x_3}}\]

A roulette wheel in the Venetian casino in Las Vegas has 18 red slots, 18 black slots, and 2 green slots. If roulette is played 15 times, find the probability of getting 7 red outcomes, 6 black outcomes, and 2 green outcomes.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.