/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 39 If a simple random sample of siz... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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If a simple random sample of size \(n\) is selected without replacement from a finite population of size \(N\), and the sample size is more than \(5 \%\) of the population size \((n>0.05 N)\), better results can be obtained by using the finite population correction factor, which involves multiplying the margin of error \(E\) by \(\sqrt{(N-n) /(N-1)}\) For the sample of 100 weights of M\&M candics in Data Set 27 "M\&M Weights" in Appendix \(\mathrm{B},\) we \(\operatorname{get} \bar{x}=0.8565 \mathrm{g}\) and \(s=0.0518 \mathrm{g}\). First construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval cstimate of \(\mu\), assuming that the population is large; then construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval cstimate of the mean weight of M\&Ms in the full bag from which the sample was taken. The full bag has 465 M\&Ms. Compare the results.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Without correction: 0.8464 < \mu < 0.8666.With correction: 0.8470 < \mu < 0.8660.

Step by step solution

01

Determine Margin of Error (E)

First, calculate the margin of error using the formula for a large population. The formula for the margin of error is \[ E = Z_{\frac{α}{2}} \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \] For a 95% confidence level, typically, \( Z_{0.025} \) is 1.96. Use the standard deviation \(s = 0.0518\ g\) and the sample size \(n=100\). Thus, \[ E = 1.96 \frac{0.0518}{\sqrt{100}} \approx 1.96 \frac{0.0518}{10} = 0.0101\ g \]
02

Construct the confidence interval for large population

With the sample mean \(\bar{x} = 0.8565\ g\), the 95% confidence interval (CI) for \(\mu\) is given by: \[ \bar{x} - E < \mu < \bar{x} + E \] Substituting the values, \[ 0.8565 - 0.0101 < \mu < 0.8565 + 0.0101 => 0.8464 < \mu < 0.8666 \]
03

Apply the finite population correction factor

Since the sample size is more than 5% of the population, we use the finite population correction factor: \[ \sqrt{\frac{N - n}{N - 1}} \] With \(N = 465\) and \(n = 100\), \[ \sqrt{\frac{465 - 100}{465 - 1}} = \sqrt{\frac{365}{464}} \approx 0.937 \] Multiply the margin of error \(E\) by this factor: \[ E_{corrected} = E \times 0.937 = 0.0101 \times 0.937 \approx 0.0095 \]
04

Construct the confidence interval with the correction factor

With the corrected margin of error, the 95% confidence interval (CI) is: \[ \bar{x} - E_{corrected} < \mu < \bar{x} + E_{corrected} \] Substituting the values, \[ 0.8565 - 0.0095 < \mu < 0.8565 + 0.0095 \] \[ => 0.8470 < \mu < 0.8660 \]
05

Compare the two confidence intervals

Compare the first confidence interval \(0.8464 < \mu < 0.8666\) obtained without the correction factor to the second one \(0.8470 < \mu < 0.8660\) obtained with the correction factor. The interval with the correction factor is slightly narrower, indicating a more precise estimate of the population mean.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
The margin of error (E) is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results. Essentially, it tells us how much we can expect the sample estimate to vary from the actual population value. To calculate the margin of error, we use the formula: \[ E = Z_{\frac{α}{2}} \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \] In this formula, \( Z_{\frac{α}{2}} \) is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level (1.96 for 95% confidence), \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size. For example, using our data: \[ s = 0.0518 \mathrm{g}, n = 100, Z_{0.025}=1.96 \] We get: \[ E = 1.96 \frac{0.0518}{\sqrt{100}} \approx 0.0101 \mathrm{g} \] By incorporating this margin of error into our confidence interval, we gain insight into how much our sample mean \( \bar{x} \) might reasonably diverge from the true population mean.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval gives a range of values for a population parameter, based on a sample statistic. Specifically, it provides an estimated range of values which is likely to include the unknown population parameter at a given confidence level. To construct a confidence interval for the sample mean \( \bar{x} \), we use the margin of error (E): \[ \bar{x} - E < \mu < \bar{x} + E \] Substituting the values from our example: \[ \bar{x} = 0.8565 \mathrm{g}, E = 0.0101 \mathrm{g} \] We get: \[ 0.8565 - 0.0101 < \mu < 0.8565 + 0.0101 \] \[ 0.8464 < \mu < 0.8666 \] This is our 95% confidence interval for the population mean assuming a large population size. When dealing with finite populations where the sample size is more than 5% of the population size \( (n > 0.05N) \), we should use the finite population correction factor to adjust the margin of error.
Sample Size
Sample size refers to the number of observations in a sample. It is a critical component in the calculation of statistical estimates such as the margin of error and confidence intervals. Larger sample sizes typically result in more precise estimates of the population parameters. The finite population correction factor is used when dealing with a finite population. It corrects the standard error to account for the sampling without replacement by the following formula: \[ \sqrt{\frac{N-n}{N-1}} \] Where \( N \) is the population size and \( n \) is the sample size. For our exercise, \( N = 465 \) and \( n = 100 \). The finite population correction factor thus becomes: \[ \sqrt{\frac{465-100}{465-1}} \approx 0.937 \] By incorporating this factor, the corrected margin of error becomes: \[ E_{corrected} = E \times 0.937 \approx 0.0095 \mathrm{g} \] And the corrected confidence interval is: \[ 0.8470 < \mu < 0.8660 \] Overall, using the finite population correction factor makes our estimate more precise.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Find the critical value \(z_{a / 2}\) that corresponds to the given confidence level. $$98 \%$$

Use the given data to find the minimum sample size required to estimate a population proportion or percentage. An epidemiologist plans to conduct a survey to estimate the percentage of women who give birth. How many women must be surveyed in order to be \(99 \%\) confident that the estimated percentage is in error by no more than two percentage points? a. Assume that nothing is known about the percentage to be estimated. b. Assume that a prior study conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau showed that \(82 \%\) of women give birth. c. What is wrong with surveying randomly selected adult women?

Assume that we want to construct a confidence interval. Do one of the following, as appropriate: (a) Find the critical value \(t_{\alpha / 2}\) (b) find the critical value \(z_{\alpha / 2},\) or \((c)\) state that neither the normal distribution nor the \(t\) distribution applies. Here are summary statistics for randomly selected weights of newborn girls: \(n=205, \bar{x}=30.4 \mathrm{hg}, s=7.1 \mathrm{hg}\) (based on Data Set 4 "Births" in Appendix B). The confidence level is \(95 \%\)

Use the given data to find the minimum sample size required to estimate a population proportion or percentage. Find the sample size needed to estimate the percentage of California residents who are left-handed Use a margin of error of three percentage points, and use a confidence level of \(99 \% .\) a. Assume that \(\hat{p}\) and \(\hat{q}\) are unknown. b. Assume that based on prior studies, about \(10 \%\) of Californians are left- handed. c. How do the results from parts (a) and (b) change if the entire United States is used instead of California?

Use the relatively small number of given bootstrap samples to construct the confidence interval. In a Consumer Reports Research Center survey, women were asked if they purchase books online, and responses included these: no, yes, no, no. Letting "yes" = 1 and letting "no" = 0, here are ten bootstrap samples for those responses: \(\\{0,0,0,0\\},\\{1,0,1,0\\} \\{1,0,1,0\\},\\{0,0,0,0\\},\\{0,0,0,0\\},\\{0,1,0,0\\},\\{0,0,0,0\\},\\{0,0,0,0\\},\\{0,1,0,0\\},\\{1,1,0,0\\} .\) Using only the ten given bootstrap samples, construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the proportion of women who said that they purchase books online.

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