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College Presidents There are about 4200 college presidents in the United States, and they have annual incomes with a distribution that is skewed instead of being normal. Many different samples of 40 college presidents are randomly selected, and the mean annual income is computed for each sample. a. What is the approximate shape of the distribution of the sample means (uniform, normal, skewed, other)? b. What value do the sample means target? That is, what is the mean of all such sample means?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Normal; b. Population mean.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Distribution of Sample Means

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) states that for a sufficiently large sample size, the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normal, regardless of the shape of the population distribution. Since the sample size here is 40, which is generally considered large, we can apply the CLT.
02

Shape of the Distribution of Sample Means

Based on the Central Limit Theorem, the distribution of sample means will be approximately normal, even though the population distribution of annual incomes is skewed. Therefore, the shape is normal.
03

Target of Sample Means

According to the Central Limit Theorem, the mean of the sample means will equal the mean of the population. Hence, the sample means target the population mean.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Means Distribution
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is key to understanding the distribution of sample means. According to the CLT, when we take many samples from a population and compute their means, the distribution of these sample means will form a normal curve, or a bell-like shape, provided the sample size is large enough (typically 30 or more).

In our exercise, even though the annual incomes of college presidents are skewed, once we take samples of size 40 and compute the means, those means will be approximately normally distributed. This shift to a normal distribution occurs because averaging reduces the impact of extreme values.

Remember, the normal distribution is symmetrical and centered around the mean, which simplifies many statistical analyses. Knowing that the sample means form a normal distribution allows us to anticipate the behavior of these averages and make accurate predictions.
Population Mean
In the exercise, it is important to identify what the sample means target. The Central Limit Theorem also tells us that the mean of the sample means will be equal to the population mean.

This means that if we calculate the average of all computed sample means, it will converge to the true average annual income of all 4200 college presidents in the US. This property is incredibly useful because it ensures our sampling method is unbiased, and the sample means provide a good estimate of the population mean.

So, no matter how skewed our population data might be, by taking multiple samples and averaging them, we can accurately estimate the population mean. This concept underpins many inferential statistics techniques, giving us a reliable method to draw conclusions about large populations based on smaller, manageable samples.
Sample Size Importance
The importance of sample size cannot be overstated when applying the Central Limit Theorem. For the theorem to hold true and for the sample means to form a normal distribution, a sufficiently large sample size is essential.

In our case, the sample size is 40. While the exact number can vary, statisticians commonly use 30 as a general benchmark for a 'large enough' sample. Larger samples better approximate the normal distribution because they reduce variability and provide more accurate representations of the population mean.

Small sample sizes might not fully capture the diversity of the population, leading to less reliable results. Therefore, always aim for larger sample sizes to ensure the robustness of your statistical analysis. Not only does a larger sample size help in the normality of the distribution of sample means, but it also increases the precision of the estimates, resulting in tighter confidence intervals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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Based on a study by Dr. P. Sorita at Indiana University, assume that \(12 \%\) of us have green eyes. In a study of 650 people, it is found that 86 of them have green eyes. a. Find the probability of at least 86 people with green eyes among 650 randomly selected people. b. Is 86 people with green eyes significantly high?

Water Taxi Safety Passengers died when a water taxi sank in Baltimore's Inner Harbor. Men are typically heavier than women and children, so when loading a water taxi, assume a worst-case scenario in which all passengers are men. Assume that weights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 189 lb and a standard deviation of 39 lb (based on Data Set 1 "Body Data" in Appendix B). The water taxi that sank had a stated capacity of 25 passengers, and the boat was rated for a load limit of 3500 lb. a. Given that the water taxi that sank was rated for a load limit of 3500 lb, what is the maximum mean weight of the passengers if the boat is filled to the stated capacity of 25 passengers? b. If the water taxi is filled with 25 randomly selected men, what is the probability that their mean weight exceeds the value from part (a)? c. After the water taxi sank, the weight assumptions were revised so that the new capacity became 20 passengers. If the water taxi is filled with 20 randomly selected men, what is the probability that their mean weight exceeds 175 lb, which is the maximum mean weight that does not cause the total load to exceed 3500 lb? d. Is the new capacity of 20 passengers safe?

Use the data in the table below for sitting adult males and females (based on anthropometric survey data from Gordon, Churchill, et al.). These data are used often in the design of different seats, including aircraft seats, train seats, theater seats, and classroom seats. (Hint: Draw a graph in each case.) $$\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|} \hline & \text { Mean } & \text { St. Dev. } & \text { Distribution } \\ \hline \text { Males } & 23.5 \mathrm{in} . & 1.1 \mathrm{in} . & \text { Normal } \\ \hline \text { Females } & 22.7 \mathrm{in} . & 1.0 \mathrm{in} . & \text { Normal } \\ \hline \end{array}$$ Find the probability that a male has a back-to-knee length between 22.0 in. and 24.0 in.

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